Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.70 $1.70 43%
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3-4 $33.70 $29.70 743%
CTD-2   DD (3/4)-(2/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $22.40 $10.40 87%

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-1   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:13 1:393   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUGATTI 3 4 1nk 2nk 12 16 1 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 1.80 32% 2.10 1.85 W
AMEER 4 5 4 4 33 26 2 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 4.50 32% 2.10 2.75 P
BORN ON FIRE 2 2 5 5 57 310 313¾ (bell ken)BRYAN D 120 3.50 10.20  
CHESTER SLEW 5 1 31 33 22 410½ 420½ (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 123 8.00 5.00  
CAROSWAY 1 3 2nk 1nk 4 514½ 527¾ (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 120 1.60 2.25  
 
CTD-2   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR O SIX CREED 2 1 2nk 1nk 2½ 1 1 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 1.00 58% 0.70 1.25 W
KAUAI DAN 6 6 42 3½ 1½ 2 2 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 1.20 16% 5.20 1.55 P
CALI CONQUEST 4 5 6 6 32 45 37 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 10.00 10.20  
HANDSOME HENRY 5 2 53 4 53 3 4 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
H K MELODY 3 4 3½ 5 42 5 510½ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 15.00 9.55  
SHURAZ 1 3 1nk 2nk 68 620½ 631 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 20.00 26.85  
 
CTD-3   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :44 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUSEAWHATISEA 4 2 1 1   17 1 (zielke madison)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 26% 2.80 0.60 W
MACHINE (ARG) 1 5 69 59   49 2 (gourde)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.50 21% 3.70 3.85 P
SPORTSCARR 2 4 5 611½   6 3 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 8.00 10.85  
LIFES ADVENTURE 6 1 2 2   27 4 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 23% 3.30 7.95  
BOBS BUDDY 3 3 3 4   5 510¼ (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 12.50  
LAHUN 5 6 4 3   39 610½ (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 4.50 11.60  
 
CTD-4   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAYMEN DAY 1 1 2nk 1nk   13 1 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00 3.25  
VALUE DANCER 6 7 77 6   3 2 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 10.00 11% 8.20 7.75 P
VIVIEN'S CHARM 4 4 4 35   4 3 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 8.25  
NIGHT FLYER 2 2 1nk 2nk   23 4 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.20 54% 0.90 1.35  
SWIFT SWALLOW 3 3 33 46   5 59 (hedge)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 8.00 6% 15.00 13.20  
SAVYSKYE 7 6 65 7   6 610¾ (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 20.00 16.95  
SECRET HAVEN 5 5 5 57   712½ 716¼ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.00 4.95  
 
CTD-5   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE JO KING 4 4 4 46   3 1nk (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 6.00 9.10  
MISS MCBRIDE 5 3 2½ 11   1 2nk (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 3.25  
WOMANONTHEWARPATH 7 1 3 3   2 3¾ (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 4.85  
MONOPOLIZE 6 7 57 57   43 4 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.50  
QUEEN RHONDA 1 6 7 6   5 58 (smith ron )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 13% 6.40 10.00  
RECIO'S SKYE 2 5 6 710½   610 610½ (ander)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 15.00 19.85  
BUNNY NOREEN 3 2 1½ 21   713½ 715¼ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 3.50 14% 6.00 6.25  
 
CTD-6   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL JUSTICE 3 4 4 3   31 1 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50 2.85  
ZURI RISASI 7 2 32 2½   1½ 2 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 19% 4.10 2.55 P
WIZARDOFMENLOPARK 6 7 7 65   53 33 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.60 S
VIOLET CITY 4 1 12 1½   2½ 4 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 119 8.00 15.60  
JOKERS R WILD 8 5 54 53   6 5 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 15.00 9% 10.70 32.65  
RAUSTY TREASURE 2 3 22 42   43 66 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 5.00 11.40  
RYE TOAST 1 8 810¾ 76   7 7 (petrowski )RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00 40.15  
REMAIN CALM 5 6 6 810   89 812¼ (heggie)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 7% 13.60 16.45  
 
CTD-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :452       1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLE OF SKYE 3 1 11 1½   13 1 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00 3.35  
BOOTIFUL ROSE 7 2 21 2½   23 2 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 119 10.00 7.70  
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 8 4 4 31   34 3 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 19% 4.20 3.75 S
HARD TO COME HOME 4 3 32 42   4 4 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 5.40  
PRESS GANG 5 6 64 54   5 59 (humbke che)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 6.00 24% 3.10 11.55  
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 6 5 7 7   7 612 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 15% 5.80 5.20  
SHARP DRESSED BEAU 2 7 5 6   6 712½ (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00 10% 8.90 4.00  
MANFORALLSEASONS 1 8 86 8   810½ 813¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00 36.25  
 
CTD-8   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG AL'S VISION 3 1 1 12   1 12 (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 125 15.00 15.65  
PERDITION 8 3 3 22   2 22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 8% 11.00 10.65 P
EXAMINER 1 4 43 5   44 33 (humbke che)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 2.00 33% 2.00 1.80 S
DAD'S LEGACY 2 5 5 4   34 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 10% 8.90 4.05  
JUMEIRAH COAST 4 6 6 6   6 5 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00 16.70  
DUNE D'ORO 6 2 2 34   5 6 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 4.00 10.10  
TAPIT TO THE WIRE 5 8 8 810   7 7 (rober)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00 4.00  
LITTLE CHICAGO 7 7 77 79   8 86 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 3.50 23% 3.30 6.50  
 
CTD-9   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 2 6 64 4¾   1½ 1 (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 2.60  
SMASH FACTOR 3 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 2 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 15% 5.50 2.15 P
MCKENZIE RED 6 3 42 5   3 3 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 15% 5.90 12.30 S
WYE CROSS 4 8 76 8   6 4 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 44% 1.30 8.85  
CARSON'S LEGACY 5 7 8 6   5 56 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 10.00 18.95  
GIVE EM HECK BECK 1 5 5 7   4 6 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 2.65  
YORKTOWN 7 4 32 3.2   7 7 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00 22.90  
REDNECK REMARK 8 1 1½ 1nk   8 812¼ (mcdonald robert)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 21.85  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.