Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTD-2   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTD-3   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTD-4   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTD-5   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTD-6   Win (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTD-7   Win (5/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTD-8   Win (1/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTD-9   Win (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTD-1   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROSWAY Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30   (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 120 1.60    
BORN ON FIRE Sep01 Jun10 Apr23 Mar19 Dec30 (bell ken)BRYAN D 120 3.50    
BEAUGATTI Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 Nov05 Oct14 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
AMEER Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
CHESTER SLEW Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 123 8.00    
 
CTD-2   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHURAZ Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24   (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 20.00    
FOUR O SIX CREED Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 1.00 58% 0.70    
H K MELODY Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun09 May26 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 15.00    
CALI CONQUEST Aug18 Aug04 Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 (cone rodney)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 10.00    
HANDSOME HENRY Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
KAUAI DAN Aug26 Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 122 1.20 16% 5.20    
 
CTD-3   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINE (ARG) Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (gourdeau)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
SPORTSCARR Sep01 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 8.00    
BOBS BUDDY Sep01 Jul30       (ward anderson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
DOUSEAWHATISEA Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Oct08 (zielke madison)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
LAHUN Jul29 Jul01 Jun09 May06 Oct28 (kingston ka)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 4.50    
LIFES ADVENTURE Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 (anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
CTD-4   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAYMEN DAY Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00    
NIGHT FLYER Aug19 Aug02 Jul07 Jun16 May12 (smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.20 54% 0.90    
SWIFT SWALLOW Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 May27 Oct21 (hedge r)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 8.00 6% 15.00    
VIVIEN'S CHARM Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 125 4.50    
SECRET HAVEN Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 May21 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.00    
VALUE DANCER Jun23 May13 Apr08 Mar15 Feb21 (bro)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
SAVYSKYE Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun23 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 123 20.00    
 
CTD-5   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN RHONDA Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (smith k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 13% 6.40    
RECIO'S SKYE         (anderso)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 15.00    
BUNNY NOREEN Aug11 Jul29 Jul01 Jun09   (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
NO MORE JO KING Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 (rober)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 6.00    
MISS MCBRIDE Sep01 Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 Jan06 (anderson g)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00    
MONOPOLIZE Jun02 May26 Oct29 Sep23   (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
WOMANONTHEWARPATH Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00    
 
CTD-6   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYE TOAST Sep01 Aug18       (petrowski jo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
RAUSTY TREASURE Jul30 Jun30       (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 5.00    
REAL JUSTICE Sep01 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 May27 (kettleson a)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50    
VIOLET CITY Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 8.00    
REMAIN CALM Sep01 Jul30 Jun23 May26 May13 (heggie r)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 7% 13.60    
WIZARDOFMENLOPARK Sep01 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun19 (o'hagan co)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
ZURI RISASI Sep01 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 19% 4.10    
JOKERS R WILD Sep01 Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 May13 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 15.00 9% 10.70    
 
CTD-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANFORALLSEASONS Sep09 Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 (wyn)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00    
SHARP DRESSED BEAU Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun10 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
ISLE OF SKYE Aug13 Jul22 Jun09 May26 Apr01 (o'hagan co)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00    
HARD TO COME HOME Sep01 Aug25 Aug12 Jun30 May26 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00    
PRESS GANG Aug18 Aug04 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 (humbke chery)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
AWHITESPORTSCOAT Aug12 Jul22 Jun09 May26 May12 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 15% 5.80    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 119 10.00    
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May26 (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
CTD-8   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXAMINER Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 Jun16 (humbke chery)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
DAD'S LEGACY Sep10 Jul30 Jul16 May06 Oct22 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 10% 8.90    
BIG AL'S VISION Sep01 Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 Jun23 (frey carson)RIZO ALEXIS 125 15.00    
JUMEIRAH COAST Sep01 Jul22 Jun16 Jun03 Oct22 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00    
TAPIT TO THE WIRE Aug13 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (roberts)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00    
DUNE D'ORO Aug13 Aug04 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 4.00    
LITTLE CHICAGO Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
PERDITION Aug26 Aug18 Aug12 Jul22 Jun30 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
CTD-9   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE EM HECK BECK Sep01 Aug18 Jul09 Jun03 Mar15 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Aug13 Aug06 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 (cone rodney)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50    
SMASH FACTOR Jul23 Apr08       (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 15% 5.50    
WYE CROSS Jul21 Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 May27 (smith r)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
CARSON'S LEGACY Sep01 Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 Jul21 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
MCKENZIE RED Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Sep11 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 15% 5.90    
YORKTOWN Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 (petro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00    
REDNECK REMARK Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 (mcdonald a)NELSON DANE 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.