Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lethbridge
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LBG-9   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $17.30 $11.30 188%

Simulator Race results

 
LBG-4   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:113         1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH OF GLORY 4 5 53 4   32 11 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 0.80  
RIDGEFIELD ROCKET 5 2 1½ 11   11 21 (birdrattler)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 35% 1.90 5.45 P
MY FATHER'S EYES 1 3 2½ 21   21 3 (brown p)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 2.50 2.10  
SAYITALL 3 1 43 32   42 4 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 4.50 19% 4.20 11.50  
MOORE'S MIRACLE 2 4 31 5   5 5100 (rowe michael)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00 11.45  
 
LBG-5   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:12         1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME EARLY SHIRLEY 4 2 11 11   1nk 1¾ (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 5.60  
SAND WALKER 2 3 21 21   2nk 2¾ (depew jim)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00 58% 0.70 0.45 P
OCANERA 3 4 43 42   4 3 (oberholtzer danie)ROCHA O 124 10.00 3.65  
CONVICT PIKE 1 1 32 32   31 45 (bensmiller bu)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 7.00 14% 6.10 6.30  
SCR  CANDY RED               (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.00    
 
LBG-6   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($7.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
1:11         1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIZZLE N SUSIE 3 3 3.2 2nk   12 1 (blattler c)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 5.65  
BELLA NOCHE 4 4 4 4   33 2 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.50 6.95  
TEGAN'SBESTWILKO 2 2 2nk 1nk   22 3 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 5.00 26% 2.90 0.95 S
SEVEN POINTS 5 5 5 5   5 44 (oberholtzer danie)BUGEAUD L 124 2.50 8.90  
LANDRY KYLE 1 1 1nk 3.2   44 5 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 39% 1.60 2.25  
 
LBG-7   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CLASSY 4 6 65 6   4 1 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 0.50 65% 0.50 0.20 W
SUGAR MOON 1 2 2 2   21 2 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 9.95  
ROTTEN TO THE CORE 6 5 3 3   32 3 (mcconaghie shawn)ROCHA O 124 10.00 15.80  
ARTISAN DANCER 5 1 1 1   11 4 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.50 9% 9.60 6.15  
PRINCESS PAISLEY 3 4 5 5   5 5 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 15.95  
FOREST SONG 2 3 43 4   64 69 (schmitt b)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
 
LBG-8   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
1:274         1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEE CLASS 6 2 5 3.2   3.2 1 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 2.20  
CLEVER CONNECTION 2 4 4 4   4¾ 2 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.50 13% 6.40 6.30 P
DOT AND DASH 3 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 3 (rowe michael)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 1.60 56% 0.80 1.35 S
WE NEED V L TS PLZ 1 5 2nk 1nk   2nk 4 (miyashiro ta)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
STAY OUTA MY WAY 4 1 3.2 5   5 512½ (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 7.00 5.10  
BLACK WOLF 5 6 6 610¼   6 616 (smith darcy)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00 19.65  
 
LBG-9   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
See original race card.
1:283         1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAN FROM PERU 6 4 7 7   6 1¼ (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 23% 3.30 7.65 W
LLYRA 4 2 52 5   43 2¼ (mcconaghi)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00 13.00  
WICKED WOMAN 2 5 4 3.2   11 3½ (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 20% 3.90 2.20 S
BACK INTHAT ACTION 7 1 3½ 4   21 4 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 12.00 8.90  
CHICLE SPARKS 1 6 1½ 1nk   53 510½ (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 6.00 2.20  
COUNTESS CAT 3 3 2½ 2nk   32 611½ (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.50 7.25  
SHOUT 5 7 6 6   75 716¾ (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00 20% 4.10 5.15  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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