Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 0.10
CTD-4   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 9.60
CTD-5   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.50  
CTD-6   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
CTD-7   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
CTD-8   Win (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-3   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:211 :44 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPACTO 2 2 12 12   12 1 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 45% 1.20 1.05 W
SLEW'S BAK 5 4 45 3   34 2 (kingston ka)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 10.00 6.35  
STONE CARVER 3 3 22 22   22 3 (anderson g)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 16% 5.30 2.80 S
I'M DASHING 4 5 5 5   5 4 (zielke madis)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 7.35  
QUINTO SOL 1 1 34 46   4 55 (anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.50 4.60  
 
CTD-4   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARSON'S LEGACY 2 4 5 4   3 1nk (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80 W
MR. KALYPSO 5 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 2nk (buehler r)BRYAN D 125 3.00 3.15  
MOONSHINE NOW 4 3 32 1nk   2½ 3¼ (smith rob)LUNAN RICHARD 125 4.50 8.35  
SIMMS 1 6 6 5   5 4 (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50 4.80  
SMASH FACTOR 6 5 1nk 3.2   4 5 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.60 73% 0.40 0.95  
VISION QUEST 3 1 4 6   614½ 620½ (petrowski j)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 20.00 5% 19.00 43.15  
 
CTD-5   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S THE GOLD 2 4 4 32 21 2½ 1nk (gilkyson ashle)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5.75  
THE BEAT 3 2 2nk 2nk 11 1½ 2nk (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 2.50 17% 5.00 3.65 P
ESTIFRAAD 4 1 32 4 5 33 34 (humbke che)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00 15% 5.50 4.00 S
RUNNINFORCOVER 6 5 67 6 65 5 4 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 4.50  
LONESOME CAT 1 3 1nk 1nk 31 44 58 (ward anderson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 2.75  
ESCROW STYLE 5 6 5 53 4 66 6 (smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.00 34% 1.90 4.95  
 
CTD-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:231 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIE SOCKS 1 1 2½ 2½   1 11 (kingston ro)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60 55% 0.80 1.15 W
ALBERTA 2 7 79 59   3 21 (petrowski joan)NATERA KEIHTON 122 6.00 8.25  
HERE'S LEXIE 6 3 1½ 1½   2 35 (nicholson)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.00 3.80 S
SHES A COOL CAT 8 5 68 69   4 4 (davies deanne)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.25  
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL 5 2 33 47   5 5 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 15.00 35.60  
DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE 4 8 57 7   6 6 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 117 12.00 18% 4.60 15.65  
MILITARY SASS 3 4 45 3   711¼ 712½ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 4.85  
ANTIGUA BAY 7 6 813 817½   821¼ 826¾ (cone rodney)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00 35.95  
 
CTD-7   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCE 6 6 42 4   13 17 (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 1.60 65% 0.50 1.35 W
BEAUTIFUL BABE 3 3 2½ 1nk   23 27 (calhoun ki)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 20.00 40.40  
SWIFT SWALLOW 4 4 53 5   3 3 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.15 S
SASSY CINDERELLA 8 7 74 7   4 410¼ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 3.20  
MISTY MATT 5 8 87 8   7 511¼ (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 8% 10.90 5.60  
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 7 5 31 2nk   5 612¼ (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 3.00 8.00  
SAVYSKYE 2 2 1½ 31   67 713½ (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 125 20.00 27.50  
CUVEE TEE 1 1 63 6   89 813½ (ward ande)CHASE RICHARD 120 15.00 31.95  
 
CTD-8   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:124     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBATE 6 3 2 2½   12 1 (smith ro)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
SHAKINOFFTHERUST 5 2 3 33   22 2 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 P
I SAID QUIET 2 7 87 6   5 3 (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 4.00 6.80  
STUBBORN LOVE 7 4 4 4   4 4 (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 123 10.00 9% 10.50 9.00  
ANNA'S IMAGE 4 1 1 1½   3 5 (smith cra)CHASE RICHARD 115 15.00 26.10  
KEEPMEINPOWER 1 5 55 7   6 6 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 35% 1.80 4.80  
DARLA'S FURY 3 6 6 5   7 7 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00 6.90  
ARANY 8 8 7 811½   817¾ 823½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 115 20.00 51.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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