Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $15.60 $9.60 160%
    DD (2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-2 $54.80 $42.80 357%
CTD-8   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.80 $5.80 73%
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $30.70 $6.70 28%
    DD (6/5/4)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-6 $42.20 $18.20 76%
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(6/5/4)-(1/5/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-6-6 $40.95 $4.95 14%

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-3   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:211 :44 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPACTO 2 2 12 12   12 1 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 45% 1.20 1.05 W
SLEW'S BAK 5 4 45 3   34 2 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 10.00 6.35  
STONE CARVER 3 3 22 22   22 3 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 16% 5.30 2.80 S
I'M DASHING 4 5 5 5   5 4 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 7.35  
QUINTO SOL 1 1 34 46   4 55 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.50 4.60  
 
CTD-4   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARSON'S LEGACY 2 4 5 4   3 1nk (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80 W
MR. KALYPSO 5 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 2nk (buehler r)BRYAN D 125 3.00 3.15  
MOONSHINE NOW 4 3 32 1nk   2½ 3¼ (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 125 4.50 8.35  
SIMMS 1 6 6 5   5 4 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50 4.80  
SMASH FACTOR 6 5 1nk 3.2   4 5 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.60 73% 0.40 0.95  
VISION QUEST 3 1 4 6   614½ 620½ (petrowski)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 20.00 5% 19.00 43.15  
 
CTD-5   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S THE GOLD 2 4 4 32 21 2½ 1nk (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5.75  
THE BEAT 3 2 2nk 2nk 11 1½ 2nk (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 2.50 17% 5.00 3.65 P
ESTIFRAAD 4 1 32 4 5 33 34 (humbke c)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00 15% 5.50 4.00 S
RUNNINFORCOVER 6 5 67 6 65 5 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 4.50  
LONESOME CAT 1 3 1nk 1nk 31 44 58 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 2.75  
ESCROW STYLE 5 6 5 53 4 66 6 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.00 34% 1.90 4.95  
 
CTD-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:231 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIE SOCKS 1 1 2½ 2½   1 11 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60 55% 0.80 1.15 W
ALBERTA 2 7 79 59   3 21 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 6.00 8.25  
HERE'S LEXIE 6 3 1½ 1½   2 35 (nichols)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.00 3.80 S
SHES A COOL CAT 8 5 68 69   4 4 (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.25  
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL 5 2 33 47   5 5 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 15.00 35.60  
DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE 4 8 57 7   6 6 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 117 12.00 18% 4.60 15.65  
MILITARY SASS 3 4 45 3   711¼ 712½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 4.85  
ANTIGUA BAY 7 6 813 817½   821¼ 826¾ (cone rodney)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00 35.95  
 
CTD-7   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCE 6 6 42 4   13 17 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 1.60 65% 0.50 1.35 W
BEAUTIFUL BABE 3 3 2½ 1nk   23 27 (calhoun )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 20.00 40.40  
SWIFT SWALLOW 4 4 53 5   3 3 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.15 S
SASSY CINDERELLA 8 7 74 7   4 410¼ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 3.20  
MISTY MATT 5 8 87 8   7 511¼ (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 8% 10.90 5.60  
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 7 5 31 2nk   5 612¼ (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 3.00 8.00  
SAVYSKYE 2 2 1½ 31   67 713½ (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 125 20.00 27.50  
CUVEE TEE 1 1 63 6   89 813½ (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 120 15.00 31.95  
 
CTD-8   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:124     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBATE 6 3 2 2½   12 1 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
SHAKINOFFTHERUST 5 2 3 33   22 2 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 P
I SAID QUIET 2 7 87 6   5 3 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 4.00 6.80  
STUBBORN LOVE 7 4 4 4   4 4 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 123 10.00 9% 10.50 9.00  
ANNA'S IMAGE 4 1 1 1½   3 5 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 115 15.00 26.10  
KEEPMEINPOWER 1 5 55 7   6 6 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 35% 1.80 4.80  
DARLA'S FURY 3 6 6 5   7 7 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00 6.90  
ARANY 8 8 7 811½   817¾ 823½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 115 20.00 51.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.