Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(6/5/4)-(1/5/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-8   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-3   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINTO SOL Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun17 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.50    
2  IMPACTO Aug25 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 45% 1.20    
3  STONE CARVER Aug25 Aug04 Jun28 Jun03 Aug20 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  I'M DASHING Aug25 Jul22 Jun24 Dec02 Oct27 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00    
5  SLEW'S BAK Aug25 Aug04 Jul23 Jun16 May28 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 10.00    
 
CTD-4   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMMS Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50    
2  CARSON'S LEGACY Sep17 Sep01 Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VISION QUEST Aug25 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 Nov05 (petrowski)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOONSHINE NOW May27 Apr19 Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 125 4.50    
5  MR. KALYPSO Sep01 Aug13 Jul21 Jul07 Oct01 (buehler r)BRYAN D 125 3.00    
6  SMASH FACTOR Sep17 Jul23 Apr08     (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.60 73% 0.40    
 
CTD-5   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME CAT Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50    
2  WHERE'S THE GOLD Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 Nov05 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
3  THE BEAT Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  ESTIFRAAD Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 (humbke c)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 6.00 15% 5.50    
5  ESCROW STYLE Sep16 Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  RUNNINFORCOVER Sep01 Aug25 Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50    
 
CTD-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDIE SOCKS Aug19 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May26 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
2  ALBERTA Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jul01 Jun16 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 6.00    
3  MILITARY SASS Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 Jun09   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50    
4  DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE         (k)GRIFFITH DELANE 117 12.00 18% 4.60    
5  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 15.00    
6  HERE'S LEXIE Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jul29 Jul08 (nichols)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.00 ★    
7  ANTIGUA BAY Jun23 Jun02       (cone rodney)LAHOE RUJA 125 20.00    
8  SHES A COOL CAT Aug26 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun09 (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-7   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUVEE TEE Sep01 Aug13 Aug05 May27 Oct07 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 120 15.00    
2  SAVYSKYE Sep17 Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 125 20.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL BABE Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 May13 (calhoun )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 20.00    
4  SWIFT SWALLOW Sep17 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 May27 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISTY MATT Sep10 Sep01 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 8% 10.90    
6  PRANCE Sep16 May02 Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 1.60 65% 0.50    
7  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Sep10 Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 3.00    
8  SASSY CINDERELLA Sep16 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul30 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 ★    
 
CTD-8   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINPOWER Aug18 Aug05 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  I SAID QUIET Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul09 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 4.00    
3  DARLA'S FURY Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00    
4  ANNA'S IMAGE Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 115 15.00    
5  SHAKINOFFTHERUST Sep10 Aug04 Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  REBATE Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  STUBBORN LOVE Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jul08 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 123 10.00 9% 10.50    
8  ARANY Aug26 Aug06 Jun09 May06   (c)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.