Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $9.70 $5.70 143%
ASD-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $7.50 $3.50 88%
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-1 $6.25 $4.25 213%
ASD-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20  7-3-5 $7.97 $6.77 564%
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3)-(3/7/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60  3/6-3-7 $7.60 $4.00 111%
ASD-8   EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $18.50 $6.50 54%
    DD (3/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $13.85 $1.85 15%
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-7-4 $15.22 $10.42 217%
    PK4 (3/2/4)-(1/3)-(3/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 72 $1.00 $72.00  3/6-3-7-4 $137.75 $65.75 91%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNBROKEN STAR 3 5 3½ 1½   12 13½ (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.60 2.20  
2  CLUB CHAMP 2 4 53½ 54½   56 23½ (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 11% 8.30 4.10 P
6  LOAD ABROAD 6 2 2nk 2½   22 35 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 5.00 5.15  
4  SMART CALL 4 3 41½ 31   34½ 46¾ (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 124 3.50 20% 4.00 2.45  
1  HOUSE LIMIT 1 6 66½ 67   66½ 56¾ (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.50 43% 1.30 5.70  
5  TOP OF THE ROCK 5 1 1nk 42½   45½ 67 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 13.30  
 
ASD-2   09/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:253 :49 1:143     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GENTRIFIED 4 3 31½ 3.2   2nk 11½ (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 27% 2.70 3.85 W
3  MUROMEC 3 4 44½ 44¼   44½ 21½ (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 10.00 13.05  
1  LITTLE TOE 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 32¼ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.60 S
2  MAGIC CARPET 2 2 21 2nk   32 46¼ (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.60 0.95  
SCR  OUT ON SATURDAY               (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00    
 
ASD-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Winnipeg Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN 4 3 42½ 1½   12 11¾ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 0.50 41% 1.50 0.15 W
  (by RELOAD out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
2  HAPPY HOUR 2 4 32 31   33½ 21¾ (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00 7.20  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WILDABOUTSHOPPING by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  JUSTLEMMEATEM 5 1 12 2½   22 38 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 37% 1.70 7.75 S
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
1  PICKIN' RIFFS 1 5 55 55½   58 410 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 10.00 24.40  
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
3  KONTIE 3 2 22 45½   46½ 510¾ (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 119 7.00 22.30  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MILK RUN by RUNNING STAG)
 
ASD-4   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:222 :45 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SLAATS 3 4 44 22½   22½ 11½ (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.00 1.90  
4  CHICAGO'S GRAY 4 2 11 12½   12½ 21½ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 10.00 6.45  
2  STAY HAPPY 2 3 21 45½   48 35½ (brown jared)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.40 35% 1.90 1.60 S
1  BRODY'S STREAK 1 5 33 33   35 47¾ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 8.00 21% 3.80 4.40  
5  ADAM'S CREED 5 1 54 56½   511 514¼ (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 6.60  
SCR  GRAY ADMIRAL               (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
 
ASD-5   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS Z 3 1 11 1½   1½ 1¼ (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 1.80 63% 0.60 0.30 W
7  THATSALOTOFBLING 6 4 21 2½   2½ 2¼ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 121 3.00 3.40  
4  ASTARTOBE 4 5 52¼ 43½   35 38¼ (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.15 S
2  OUR PETUNIA 2 2 31 33½   45½ 410½ (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 121 6.00 11% 7.70 24.40  
5  MISS M J 5 3 63¾ 54½   58 510½ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 16.00  
1  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE 1 6 41¼ 65½   611 616¼ (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 25.00 18.20  
SCR  HARLONS COMMISION               (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 116 10.00    
 
ASD-6   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GUARANTEEDDELIVERY 3 1 22½ 22   21½ 1½ (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 6.00 32% 2.10 2.75 W
1  SWEET DESIGN 1 4 33 44½   32 2½ (gardipy j)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 1.80 45% 1.20 0.55 P
2  SHOTGUN ONE 2 3 12½ 12   11½ 32¼ (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 25.00 8.75  
6  GOING SUCCESS 4 2 44½ 33   44½ 45¾ (gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00 5.10  
SCR  AMMA'S STAR               (desjarla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
SCR  CALL THE COPS               (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00    
SCR  CUSS'N CAT               (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 116 2.50    
 
ASD-7   09/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:15 1:281   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WHERETHEMONEYWENT 6 6 64¼ 41½   2nk 11¾ (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 123 5.00 21% 3.90 3.20 W
3  MAIBELLA 3 2 21 2½   1nk 21¾ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.00 29% 2.50 2.40 P
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT 4 3 32½ 31½   44 32¾ (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 12.00 17% 4.80 2.55 S
1  SATURDAY SERVICE 1 1 11 1½   32 43 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 8.00 10.95  
6  FAVORITE 5 5 54 64½   54¼ 54¼ (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 118 10.00 3.40  
2  MISS PARFAIT 2 4 44 52   65¾ 64½ (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 6.00 17.05  
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING               (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60    
 
ASD-8   09/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Cup Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:39   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAGIC TIGER 4 5 62¾ 66 53¼ 44½ 11 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 55% 0.80 1.90 W
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
2  CONVENTION (IRE) 2 6 84¾ 811½ 86¾ 66 21 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.60 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  RACE HOME 6 3 2½ 11 11 1½ 31 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 5.00 4.05  
  (by RACE DAY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
8  MANO DURA 8 7 52¼ 43½ 41¼ 32 41½ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50 4.15  
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
3  BIG NICK 3 2 3½ 21 21 2½ 54¼ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 124 3.00 20% 4.00 3.70  
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
5  BLAZING BO 5 8 74¾ 79½ 75¾ 55 65½ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 20.00 16.95  
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
7  MCKAGUE 7 4 1½ 31 31 76½ 78¾ (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of NORTHERN COTTON by HIGH COTTON)
1  GREEN AMAZON 1 1 42 55½ 64¼ 89½ 817¾ (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 114 30.00 47.30  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.