Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/4)-(4/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4/5)-(2/1) 8 $0.20 $1.60 
ASD-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/1)-(3/2/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/2/4)-(1/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3)-(3/7/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-8   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSE LIMIT Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 Jun14 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  CLUB CHAMP Sep06 Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  UNBROKEN STAR Sep11 Jul17 Jun19 Jun07 Apr18 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.60    
4  SMART CALL Sep11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  TOP OF THE ROCK Aug22 Jul30 Jul22 Jun10 Sep24 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00    
6  LOAD ABROAD Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 Jun30 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 5.00    
 
ASD-2   09/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE TOE Sep13 Aug28 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  MAGIC CARPET Sep06 Aug21 Jul12 Jul05 Jun28 (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.60    
3  MUROMEC Aug29 Aug21 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 10.00    
4  GENTRIFIED Sep12 Aug21 Jul15 Feb15 Jan07 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  OUT ON SATURDAY Sep12 Aug29 Aug21 Jul19 May23 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00    
 
ASD-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Winnipeg Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKIN' RIFFS Aug09 Jul24 Jul04     (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 10.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
2  HAPPY HOUR Aug21         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WILDABOUTSHOPPING by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  KONTIE Sep04 Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 119 7.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MILK RUN by RUNNING STAG)
4  CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN Aug30 Aug09 Jul04     (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 0.50 41% 1.50    
  (by RELOAD out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
5  JUSTLEMMEATEM Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jul04   (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
 
ASD-4   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S STREAK Aug30 Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 May22 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  STAY HAPPY Aug30 Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 May29 (brown jared)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
3  SLAATS Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jul29 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.00    
4  CHICAGO'S GRAY Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 10.00    
5  ADAM'S CREED Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 Jun21 May30 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00    
SCR  GRAY ADMIRAL Sep11 Aug30 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
 
ASD-5   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jun12 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 25.00    
2  OUR PETUNIA Sep06 Aug29 Jul29 Jul23 Jun24 (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 121 6.00 11% 7.70    
3  MISS Z Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 Jul05 Jun21 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 1.80 63% 0.60    
4  ASTARTOBE Sep06 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS M J Sep04 Aug29 Aug16 Jul05 Jun14 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00    
SCR  HARLONS COMMISION Sep13 Aug28 Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 116 10.00    
7  THATSALOTOFBLING Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 121 3.00    
 
ASD-6   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET DESIGN Sep13 Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
2  SHOTGUN ONE Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 25.00    
3  GUARANTEEDDELIVERY Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Jul11 Jun19 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  CUSS'N CAT Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 May29 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 116 2.50    
SCR  CALL THE COPS Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Jul05 Jun21 (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00    
6  GOING SUCCESS Sep04 Aug23 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00    
SCR  AMMA'S STAR Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 (desjarla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
 
ASD-7   09/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATURDAY SERVICE Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jul26 Jun28 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 8.00    
2  MISS PARFAIT Sep06 Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 Jul05 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 6.00    
3  MAIBELLA Aug29 Aug14 Jun19 Jun06 Sep20 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Sep06 Aug09 Aug01 Jul26 Jul05 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60    
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jul18 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 12.00 17% 4.80    
6  FAVORITE Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul09 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 118 10.00    
7  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Sep13 Sep04 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 123 5.00 21% 3.90    
 
ASD-8   09/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Cup Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN AMAZON Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 114 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
2  CONVENTION (IRE) Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  BIG NICK Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
4  MAGIC TIGER Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
5  BLAZING BO Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun26 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 20.00    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
6  RACE HOME Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 Apr24 Feb18 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
7  MCKAGUE Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 Sep13 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of NORTHERN COTTON by HIGH COTTON)
8  MANO DURA Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jun17 Jun10 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.