The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-1   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.50 $7.50 1.50
CTD-2   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $28.20 -4.00
CTD-3   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 2.30
CTD-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $20.80 $20.80 16.80
CTD-5   Win (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 8.80
CTD-6   Win (9/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $12.40 -8.00
CTD-7   Win (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $18.40 -6.00
CTD-8   Win (1/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $35.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-1   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
:223 :453       1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPER'S PRIDE 1 3 2nk 23   11 15 (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.75 W
TICKET TO THE TOP 6 2 1nk 13   21 25 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.75 P
GRATED COCONUT 5 4 4 35   33(smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80 18% 4.40 1.10 S
MARAMAX 3 5 5 48   4412¼ (kettleson aliv)NATERA KEIHTON 119 12.00 13.20  
EDDY BEAR 4 6 6 612   616½ 521 (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 13.90  
BURNING UP 2 1 3.2 59   516½ 623 (cone rodney)ZENTENO JR 119 8.00 26.75  
 
CTD-2   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
:233 :471 1:124 1:373   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI CONQUEST 1 1 1 11 1 11 1nk (cone rodney)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 15.00 13.10  
WANDERING WEST 3 5 2 3 2 21 2nk (smith c)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 55% 0.80 1.95 P
KAUAI DAN 4 4 4 21 3 44 38 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 120 1.60 1.45  
H K RAPPER 2 2 3 4 5 34 410¼ (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 15% 5.70 4.50  
BODEMONSTER 5 3 5 5 4 56 510¾ (hedge rick)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00 4.40  
SCR  THESHACK               (nicholson davi)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.80    
 
CTD-3   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:231 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN JEWEL 2 2 5 5   21 1(cone rodney)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50 9% 9.60 3.15 W
ROUGH CUSTOMER 1 1 1nk 1   11 2(scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 122 10.00 4.05  
SMART CAT 5 4 2nk 2   34 3(rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 12.00 6.90  
HANDSOME HENRY 6 5 4¾ 32   66 47 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.00 17% 4.90 3.45  
MACHINE 4 6 6 6   45 57 (gourdeau)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 48% 1.10 4.50  
PACHECO 3 7 7 77   55 68 (kettleson aliv)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 8.30  
TAPFERSURE 7 3 3½ 4   710 713¾ (kingston karline)NELSON DANE 122 6.00 9.20  
 
CTD-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:231 :462       1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORITE LIGHT 4 1 1 1½   13 1(brown shelley)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 W
KISS ME HELLO 7 2 3 2½   23 2(kingston robert)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 2.00 P
SIX SHOTS OF T 2 6 53 56   57 3(rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 1.60 73% 0.40 1.20 S
GWIZZ 6 4 2 31   34 4(smith r)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 20.00 20.90  
NO MOR DISCO 5 3 42 44   46 5(grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 5.80  
VIOLET CITY 8 5 6 69   612 615 (smith cra)CHASE RICHARD 114 8.00 43.90  
ANTIGUA BAY 3 8 813½ 716   724 729½ (cone rodney)LUNAN RICHARD 122 30.00 35.40  
REMAIN CALM 1 7 711½ 818½   832 840 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 125 20.00 16.05  
 
CTD-5   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
:231 :464 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE 5 1 11 11   11¼ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 24% 3.20 6.40 W
WHISKARITA 6 6 55 33   22¼ (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 2.55  
GO MAMA 3 3 21 21   33(grieves ron)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 33% 2.00 3.20 S
GRIGORO 1 7 7 6   443 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 3.25  
WITT'S TENNY TEN 4 4 33 44   553 (gaskin )GASKIN ZAVIER 118 10.00 5.85  
HENRY'S GAMBLE 7 5 45 54   6611¾ (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 13% 6.40 8.00  
FRAN FROM PERU 2 2 6 713½   715½ 719¾ (heggie rod)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 20.00 29.30  
SCR  PRANCE               (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00    
 
CTD-6   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:234 :473 1:114 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 5 2 41 2 21 1nk 1(cone rodney)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00 5.20  
SHARP DRESSED BEAU 9 4 1nk 1 11 2nk 2(brown r)NELSON DANE 123 8.00 29% 2.40 5.55 P
UPO 6 9 7 7 66 45 3(hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
BACKSTREET BOBBY 8 5 3½ 3 3 34 4(biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 3.00 5% 18.60 2.65  
LONESOME CAT 1 3 2nk 6 78 6511¼ (ward anderson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 21.85  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 7 1 52 43 4 56 611¼ (kettleson a)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50 22% 3.50 6.45  
ESCROW STYLE 3 7 8 8 8 7711½ (smith c)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00 21.20  
MAGICAL LADY 4 6 6 5 5 810¾ 816¾ (cone rodney)BRYAN D 122 20.00 8.35  
LIGHTENING ANNA 2 8 9 910¼ 914¼ 912¾ 917 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00 6.00  
 
CTD-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
:232 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERDITION 1 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 11 (petrowski joan)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 8.20  
CLUB CHAMP 3 4 5 4   3½ 21 (kingston ka)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 51% 1.00 2.10 P
CASHLINGS 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 3( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 12.00 8.95  
TUCKER TIME 2 9 96 9   642 (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 10.85  
CARSON'S LEGACY 7 8 83 7   552 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00 38.90  
DUNE D'ORO 5 2 31 5   76(hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
BROWNING ISLAND 9 6 4 3.2   473 (anderson gonzalo)POON ANDREW 125 4.00 4.30  
EXPLODE 8 7 6 6   884 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 21% 3.80 3.20  
ADRIEN'S AURORA 6 5 73 8   995 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 15.00 19.25  
 
CTD-8   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:224 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AL REICHERT 3 2 3 31   1nk 1¼ (zielke madison)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 16.50  
BRODY'S PAL 2 7 22 2½   2nk 2¼ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 122 6.00 14% 6.30 7.60 P
BIG BAD INTAGLIO 8 5 88 88   43(heggie rod)NELSON DANE 122 3.00 18% 4.70 3.70 S
SPOT ON DUDE 5 9 6 44   545 (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 20.00 4.55  
BOBS BUDDY 1 1 12 1½   31 5(ward anders)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 26% 2.80 3.60  
VANTASTICCANAVERAL 9 6 77 7   667 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 122 8.00 16.05  
YES NO MAYBE SO 4 8 911 912   78 7(heggie )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00 13% 6.70 13.25  
DADDY'S PEPPER 7 4 5 55   8812¼ (cone rodney)ZENTENO JR 122 10.00 6.50  
PADDYS ROCKET 6 3 4 6   911 915 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 6.55  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.