Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $21.50 $9.50 79%
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6-5 $17.55 $11.55 193%
CTD-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.30 $2.30 38%
CTD-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $20.80 $16.80 420%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/7/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $75.80 $63.80 532%
    TRI (2/4)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7-2 $70.15 $58.15 485%
    DD (4/6/2)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $198.00 $186.00 1550%
    PK3 (3/2)-(4/6/2)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  ALL-2-4 $44.80 $32.80 273%
CTD-5   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $14.80 $8.80 147%
Simulator Race results
 
CTD-1   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :453       1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIPPER'S PRIDE 1 3 2nk 23   11 15 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.75 W
  (by KLIMT out of ZAPHIA by BERNSTEIN)
6  TICKET TO THE TOP 6 2 1nk 13   21 25 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.75 P
  (by TAPITURE out of FINE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  GRATED COCONUT 5 4 43¼ 35   33½ 37¼ (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80 18% 4.40 1.10 S
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
3  MARAMAX 3 5 55¼ 48   46½ 412¼ (kettleson al)NATERA KEIHTON 119 12.00 13.20  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
4  EDDY BEAR 4 6 67¾ 612   616½ 521 (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 13.90  
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
2  BURNING UP 2 1 3.2 59   516½ 623 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 119 8.00 26.75  
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CTD-2   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124 1:373   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 11 1nk (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 15.00 13.10  
3  WANDERING WEST 3 5 21½ 31½ 21½ 21 2nk (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 55% 0.80 1.95 P
4  KAUAI DAN 4 4 41¾ 21 31½ 44 38 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 120 1.60 1.45  
2  H K RAPPER 2 2 31½ 42½ 53¼ 34 410¼ (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 15% 5.70 4.50  
6  BODEMONSTER 5 3 52¾ 52½ 41¾ 56 510¾ (hedge ric)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00 4.40  
SCR  THESHACK               (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.80    
 
CTD-3   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:231 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NORTHERN JEWEL 2 2 53¼ 54½   21 11½ (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50 9% 9.60 3.15 W
1  ROUGH CUSTOMER 1 1 1nk 11½   11 21½ (scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 122 10.00 4.05  
5  SMART CAT 5 4 2nk 21½   34 36½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 12.00 6.90  
6  HANDSOME HENRY 6 5 4¾ 32   66 47 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.00 17% 4.90 3.45  
4  MACHINE (ARG) 4 6 64¼ 64½   45 57 (gourde)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 48% 1.10 4.50  
3  PACHECO 3 7 74¾ 77   55 68 (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 8.30  
7  TAPFERSURE 7 3 3½ 42½   710 713¾ (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 6.00 9.20  
 
CTD-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :462       1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FAVORITE LIGHT 4 1 11½ 1½   13 13½ (brown shelle)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 W
7  KISS ME HELLO 7 2 31½ 2½   23 23½ (kingston robe)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 ★ 2.00 P
2  SIX SHOTS OF T 2 6 53 56   57 36½ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 1.60 73% 0.40 1.20 S
6  GWIZZ 6 4 21½ 31   34 47¼ (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 20.00 20.90  
5  NO MOR DISCO 5 3 42 44   46 58¾ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 ★ 5.80  
8  VIOLET CITY 8 5 65½ 69   612 615 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 114 8.00 43.90  
3  ANTIGUA BAY 3 8 813½ 716   724 729½ (cone rodney)LUNAN RICHARD 122 30.00 35.40  
1  REMAIN CALM 1 7 711½ 818½   832 840 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 125 20.00 16.05  
 
CTD-5   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE 5 1 11 11   11½ 1¼ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 24% 3.20 6.40 W
7  WHISKARITA 6 6 55 33   21½ 2¼ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 2.55  
4  GO MAMA 3 3 21 21   32½ 31½ (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 33% 2.00 3.20 S
1  GRIGORO 1 7 76½ 65½   44½ 43 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 3.25  
5  WITT'S TENNY TEN 4 4 33 44   54½ 53 (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 10.00 5.85  
8  HENRY'S GAMBLE 7 5 45 54   69½ 611¾ (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 13% 6.40 8.00  
2  FRAN FROM PERU 2 2 65½ 713½   715½ 719¾ (heggie r)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 20.00 29.30  
SCR  PRANCE               (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00    
 
CTD-6   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:114 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 5 2 41 21½ 21 1nk 12¾ (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00 5.20  
9  SHARP DRESSED BEAU 9 4 1nk 11½ 11 2nk 22¾ (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 8.00 29% 2.40 5.55 P
6  UPO 6 9 73¼ 75¼ 66 45 35¼ (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
8  BACKSTREET BOBBY 8 5 3½ 31½ 32½ 34 47¼ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 3.00 5% 18.60 2.65  
1  LONESOME CAT 1 3 2nk 64¼ 78 66¼ 511¼ (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 21.85  
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS 7 1 52 43 43½ 56 611¼ (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50 22% 3.50 6.45  
3  ESCROW STYLE 3 7 83¼ 86¼ 88¼ 76¾ 711½ (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00 21.20  
4  MAGICAL LADY 4 6 62¼ 53¼ 53½ 810¾ 816¾ (cone rodney)BRYAN D 122 20.00 8.35  
2  LIGHTENING ANNA 2 8 97¼ 910¼ 914¼ 912¾ 917 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00 6.00  
 
CTD-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERDITION 1 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 11 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 8.20  
3  CLUB CHAMP 3 4 51¼ 41¼   3½ 21 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 51% 1.00 2.10 P
4  CASHLINGS 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 31¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 12.00 8.95  
2  TUCKER TIME 2 9 96 94½   62¾ 42 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 ★ 10.85  
7  CARSON'S LEGACY 7 8 83 73¼   51¾ 52 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00 38.90  
5  DUNE D'ORO 5 2 31 51¼   73¾ 62¾ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
9  BROWNING ISLAND 9 6 41¼ 3.2   41½ 73 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 125 4.00 4.30  
8  EXPLODE 8 7 62¾ 62¼   84¾ 84 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 21% 3.80 3.20  
6  ADRIEN'S AURORA 6 5 73 83½   95¼ 95 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 15.00 19.25  
 
CTD-8   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AL REICHERT 3 2 32½ 31   1nk 1¼ (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 16.50  
2  BRODY'S PAL 2 7 22 2½   2nk 2¼ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 122 6.00 14% 6.30 7.60 P
8  BIG BAD INTAGLIO 8 5 88 88   43½ 34½ (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 122 3.00 18% 4.70 3.70 S
5  SPOT ON DUDE 5 9 64½ 44   54½ 45 (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 20.00 4.55  
1  BOBS BUDDY 1 1 12 1½   31 55¾ (ward ande)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 26% 2.80 3.60  
9  VANTASTICCANAVERAL 9 6 77 76½   66½ 67 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 8.00 16.05  
4  YES NO MAYBE SO 4 8 911 912   78 77¾ (heggi)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00 13% 6.70 13.25  
7  DADDY'S PEPPER 7 4 53½ 55   88½ 812¼ (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 10.00 6.50  
6  PADDYS ROCKET 6 3 43½ 66½   911 915 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 6.55  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.