Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(4/6/2)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
CTD-5   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (9/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/8)-(3/8/5)-(1/8/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/2/5)-(3/8/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/5)-(1/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-8   WIN (1/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIPPER'S PRIDE Aug05         (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by KLIMT out of ZAPHIA by BERNSTEIN)
2  BURNING UP Sep23 Sep01 Aug19     (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 119 8.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  MARAMAX         (kettleson al)NATERA KEIHTON 119 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
4  EDDY BEAR Sep23         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
5  GRATED COCONUT Aug25 Aug05       (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80 18% 4.40    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
6  TICKET TO THE TOP         (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of FINE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CTD-2   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST Sep30 Sep17 Aug18 Aug04 Jul22 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 15.00    
2  H K RAPPER Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
3  WANDERING WEST Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 Jul09 Jun09 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  KAUAI DAN Sep30 Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul22 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 120 1.60    
SCR  THESHACK Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 Jul08 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.80    
6  BODEMONSTER Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Aug18 Apr05 (hedge ric)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00    
 
CTD-3   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGH CUSTOMER Oct01 Sep16 Aug29 Aug22 Aug07 (scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 122 10.00    
2  NORTHERN JEWEL Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
3  PACHECO Sep30 Sep16 Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00    
4  MACHINE (ARG) Sep30 Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 (gourde)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  SMART CAT Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul23 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 12.00    
6  HANDSOME HENRY Sep30 Sep17 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
7  TAPFERSURE Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 May27 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 6.00    
 
CTD-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMAIN CALM Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jun23 May26 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 125 20.00    
2  SIX SHOTS OF T Oct01 Sep01 Jul29 Jul16 Jun10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 1.60 73% 0.40    
3  ANTIGUA BAY Sep24 Jun23 Jun02     (cone rodney)LUNAN RICHARD 122 30.00    
4  FAVORITE LIGHT Oct01 Sep13 Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 (brown shelle)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NO MOR DISCO Oct01         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 ★    
6  GWIZZ Oct01 May07       (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 20.00    
7  KISS ME HELLO Oct07 Sep01 Aug05 Jul23 May27 (kingston robe)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 ★    
8  VIOLET CITY Sep17 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 114 8.00    
 
CTD-5   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIGORO Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 4.50    
2  FRAN FROM PERU Oct07 Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 (heggie r)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
SCR  PRANCE Sep30 Sep24 Sep16 May02 Apr10 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00    
4  GO MAMA Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 Jun02 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  WITT'S TENNY TEN Oct01 Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 10.00    
6  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Oct07 Sep30 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 24% 3.20    
7  WHISKARITA Oct08 Sep30 Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
8  HENRY'S GAMBLE Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 13% 6.40    
 
CTD-6   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME CAT Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
2  LIGHTENING ANNA Oct01 Jun30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct15 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00    
3  ESCROW STYLE Sep24 Sep16 Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00    
4  MAGICAL LADY Sep30 Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Jul23 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 122 20.00    
5  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Oct07 Sep17 Aug13 Aug06 Jul21 (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00    
6  UPO Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
8  BACKSTREET BOBBY Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 3.00 5% 18.60    
9  SHARP DRESSED BEAU Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 8.00 29% 2.40    
 
CTD-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERDITION Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 Aug18 Aug12 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00    
2  TUCKER TIME Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 ★    
3  CLUB CHAMP Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 51% 1.00    
4  CASHLINGS Sep23 Sep01 Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 12.00    
5  DUNE D'ORO Oct07 Oct01 Sep17 Aug13 Aug04 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ADRIEN'S AURORA Jul28 Jun03 May06 Oct22 Oct01 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 15.00    
7  CARSON'S LEGACY Oct01 Sep24 Sep17 Sep01 Aug25 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00    
8  EXPLODE Oct01 Aug26 Jun24 Jun10 May26 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 21% 3.80    
9  BROWNING ISLAND Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 Sep11 Aug29 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 125 4.00    
 
CTD-8   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBS BUDDY Sep17 Sep01 Jul30     (ward ande)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  BRODY'S PAL Oct08 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug13 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
3  AL REICHERT Sep23 Sep01 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00    
4  YES NO MAYBE SO Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (heggi)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00 13% 6.70    
5  SPOT ON DUDE Sep23 Sep01 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 20.00    
6  PADDYS ROCKET Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00    
7  DADDY'S PEPPER Oct08 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 10.00    
8  BIG BAD INTAGLIO Oct01 Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
9  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.