Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-7   EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-5 $11.40 $7.40 185%
CTD-9   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $23.00 $17.00 283%
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $39.50 $27.50 229%
Simulator Race results
 
CTD-7   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ITSALLGOODMAN 2 1 11 12   13½ 14¼ (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 55% 0.80 0.20 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  JUMP THE QUEUE 5 2 41¼ 22   23½ 24¼ (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 11% 8.50 14.55 P
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of I BELIEVE IN ANGEL by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
4  B B'S WILDFIRE 4 4 21 33   36 35½ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 15.00 15.30  
  (by FINALITY out of KATCHIN FIRE by STORM VICTORY)
1  SILKSTONE 1 5 52¼ 55½   47 46¾ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.50 8.35  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
3  JODEYS LIL PAIN 3 3 31 45½   513 516 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 6.00 7.80  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
 
CTD-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILIN EVIE 1 1 1½ 1½   11½ 11¼ (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80 4.10  
4  DIXIE MO 4 5 55 45   32½ 21¼ (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 3.45  
2  BOOTIFUL ROSE 2 2 2½ 2½   21½ 32 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 21% 3.90 2.75 S
5  LITTLE HARPER 5 6 67½ 66½   44 44¾ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00 31.15  
3  THRILL OF THE NITE 3 3 31½ 33   56 59½ (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 32% 2.20 2.30  
6  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE 6 4 42 55½   68 610 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 6.00 20% 4.00 5.25  
 
CTD-9   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WISH ON A STAR 6 2 2nk 12   12 13 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 3.50 21% 3.80 10.50 W
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
5  BRYNN'S DREAM 5 5 52¼ 44½   22 23 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 1.60 36% 1.80 0.55 P
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
1  OUR SUNSHINE 1 3 65¼ 76½   55 34¾ (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 124 3.00 6.55  
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
2  ALBERTA BERBON 2 7 77¾ 66½   34 46½ (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 6.00 8.95  
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
7  KISS ME HELLO 7 6 41¼ 33   45 59½ (kingston robe)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 8.75  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
3  SMOKIN JOY 3 4 31 55½   77½ 611¾ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 121 20.00 64.05  
  (by ON BOARD AGAIN out of REDWATER WHAMMY by TIGER TRAP)
4  BUSTER BRADY 4 1 1nk 22   67 713¼ (depew jim)NELSON DANE 124 10.00 18% 4.60 9.40  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
 
CTD-10   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S THE GOLD 1 1 54 53   41 1¼ (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 7.95  
5  WALKTHELINE 3 2 31½ 42   2½ 2¼ (mcdonald )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 4.00 4.20  
6  TOOL TIME 4 3 11 1½   1½ 3¼ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 1.60 DH
7  MOUNT ASGARD 5 4 21 2½   3½ 3¼ (kingston c)BRYAN D 123 20.00 22.05 DH
4  SAXON SAGA 2 5 42½ 31   51½ 52 (frey carson)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 49% 1.00 1.25  
SCR  FLASHFORDANI               (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAY ADMIRAL               (wise a)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 18% 4.70    
 
CTD-11   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:232 :454       1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BACKSTREET BOBBY 8 5 31 21   21½ 1¾ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 6.00 7.30  
3  COMMON KNOWLEDGE 3 2 11 11   11½ 2¾ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 6.85  
5  EXAMINER 5 6 54 55   33½ 31¾ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 8% 11.70 2.90 S
7  BIG AL'S VISION 7 4 41½ 32½   43½ 42½ (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00 17.75  
1  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 1 8 87 87¼   64¾ 53½ (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 4.50 7% 12.60 5.40  
2  DUNE D'ORO 2 1 65 67   76¼ 65¼ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 20.00 27.25  
4  ISLE OF SKYE 4 7 75½ 77   87¼ 76¼ (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 56% 0.80 2.05  
6  PUMP THE BRAKES 6 3 21 43   53¾ 86¼ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 8.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.