Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-7   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTD-8   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTD-9   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTD-10   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00
CTD-11   Win (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTD-7   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILKSTONE Aug25 Aug05 Jul21     (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.50    
ITSALLGOODMAN Sep16 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21   (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 55% 0.80    
JODEYS LIL PAIN Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21   (anderson go)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 6.00    
B B'S WILDFIRE Sep23         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 15.00    
JUMP THE QUEUE Aug19         (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
 
CTD-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILIN EVIE Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Oct01 Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 21% 3.90    
THRILL OF THE NITE Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 32% 2.20    
DIXIE MO Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 Jun21 Jun05 (wise richar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00    
LITTLE HARPER Sep30 Sep10 Jul30 Jul23 Jul09 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00    
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Sep30 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
CTD-9   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR SUNSHINE Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun10 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
ALBERTA BERBON Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul16   (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
SMOKIN JOY Oct01 Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 121 20.00    
BUSTER BRADY Jun10 May06 Aug06     (depew jim)NELSON DANE 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
BRYNN'S DREAM Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
WISH ON A STAR Oct01 Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 May06 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
KISS ME HELLO Sep01 Aug05 Jul23 May27 May06 (kingston robert)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00    
 
CTD-10   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S THE GOLD Sep24 Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 (gilkyson ashle)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00    
SCR  GRAY ADMIRAL Sep11 Aug30 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 (wise a)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  FLASHFORDANI Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 Jun02 (kingston ka)ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SAXON SAGA Sep23 Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 (frey carson)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
WALKTHELINE Sep23 Aug25 Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 (mcdonald ro)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 4.00    
TOOL TIME Sep10 Aug11 Jul22 Jun23 Jun03 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50    
MOUNT ASGARD Oct02 Sep18 Aug22 Aug01 Jun11 (kingston c)BRYAN D 123 20.00    
 
CTD-11   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Sep17 Aug13 Aug06 Jul21 Jun23 (cone rodney)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 4.50 7% 12.60    
DUNE D'ORO Oct01 Sep17 Aug13 Aug04 Jul23 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 20.00    
COMMON KNOWLEDGE Sep30 Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 Jun30 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
ISLE OF SKYE Sep30 Sep17 Aug13 Jul22 Jun09 (o'hagan co)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 56% 0.80    
EXAMINER Oct01 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 8% 11.70    
PUMP THE BRAKES Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50    
BIG AL'S VISION Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 Aug04 Jul23 (frey carson)RIZO ALEXIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
BACKSTREET BOBBY Sep23 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.