The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-1   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 4.90
CTD-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $14.50 -4.00
CTD-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 1.30
CTD-4   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.90 -6.00
CTD-5   Win (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 -0.70
CTD-6   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $6.90 -4.00
CTD-7   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
CTD-8   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $21.20 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-1   10/15/2023 2310ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
:222 :40         :40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE LIKES WINNING 1 3 11     13 13 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 122 1.60 22% 3.60 3.45 W
HOCKEYDAYINCANADA 4 2 21     34 23 (o'hagan c)CHASE RICHARD 117 4.50 3.85  
EL PASO 2 1 31     23 33 (cone rodney)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80 1.90  
COOL MOOD (BRZ) 5 4 46     513½ 410¼ (smith rob)LUNAN RICHARD 119 3.50 19% 4.30 6.60  
JOKERSRWILD AGAIN 3 5 57     412 511 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 6.00 2.60  
 
CTD-2   10/15/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
:223 :461 1:12     1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUVEE TEE 4 5 56 3½   11(ward ande)CHASE RICHARD 118 10.00 6.25  
SWIFT SWALLOW 2 1 4 4   22(hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 123 1.60 42% 1.40 1.70 P
REBATE 1 4 21 2nk   33 3(smith ro)NATERA KEIHTON 122 1.40 1.45  
PERPETUAL BLISS 5 2 3 5   46 4(grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.50 16% 5.40 3.35  
ARANY 3 3 11 1nk   5100 5100 (cone rodney)MARTIN ANDRE 122 20.00 25.05  
 
CTD-3   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:23 :464 1:11 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAATS 5 3 42 4 21 118 (anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.60 54% 0.80 1.65 W
KYSTONE 3 5 3 3 32 328 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 122 6.00 9.85  
QUINTO SOL 2 2 2½ 2nk 11 239 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 2.20  
I'M DASHING 4 4 5 5 5 48 410 (zielke madison)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 11% 7.80 4.05  
SMART PLAY 1 1 1½ 1nk 4 59 512¾ (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 4.50 4.10  
 
CTD-4   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:231 :464       1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING SUN 2 1 11 1½   11(kettleson aliv)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 5.95  
TENDER LOVE 6 5 3 3   22(leech willi)ZENTENO JR 122 1.40 35% 1.80 2.10 P
STARMA 5 2 21 2½   333 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 7.50  
DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE 1 6 68 510½   4410½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 117 12.00 27.45  
SHES A COOL CAT 3 3 57 4   5510½ (davies dean)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 8% 10.80 9.35  
GOTTALOVETHATGIRL 4 4 4 614½   624¾ 630½ (kingston karline)NELSON DANE 122 1.20 35% 1.90 1.15  
 
CTD-5   10/15/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
:222 :444 1:103     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 3 5 5 414½   31¾ (humbke cheryl)NATERA KEIHTON 120 3.50 14% 6.30 1.65 W
LAHUN 6 3 24 26   12¾ (kingston ka)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 1.00 40% 1.50 1.95 P
LAST OF WAR 2 4 4 517   53(heggie rod)SIMPSON W 123 15.00 11.40  
AMEER 1 1 3 314   44(biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 4.50 4.45  
LOLLIPOP KID 5 2 14 16   25(brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 120 6.00 18% 4.50 4.65  
SUPER D'ORO 4 6 616½ 632   625½ 627¾ (brown a)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 30.00 38.20  
SCR  THE ITALIAN MAN               (heggie rod)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
 
CTD-6   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:232 :472       1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL CUES 2 1 11 1nk   1½ 1½ (smith crai)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 115 4.00 2.45  
GOLDIE SOCKS 3 2 21 2nk   2½ 2½ (kingston ro)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 3.00 4.55  
QUEEN RHONDA 5 4 32 3.2   31 31 (smith k)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40 S
KEEPMEINPOWER 4 5 53 4   43 43 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50 24% 3.20 3.80  
ANNA'S IMAGE 1 3 42 5   56 5(smith rober)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 3.85  
SCR  FAMILY IS GOLD               (heggie )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 15.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL SPIRIT               (pozzo jack)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
 
CTD-7   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:221 :453       1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO CREEK 2 6 44 4   11nk (robertso)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00 13% 6.80 2.45 W
MONOPOLIZE 5 7 6 6   32nk (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.00 35% 1.90 6.70 P
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 1 1 11 2½   23(anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 8.00 7.40  
MISS MCBRIDE 6 4 55 5   55 4(anderson g)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 5.00 3.00  
OLIVE'S CANDY 3 2 3 32   44 5(gardipy jr)SIMPSON W 122 3.50 4.95  
NO MORE JO KING 4 5 7 710½   66(rober)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 4.50 14% 6.10 11.35  
WHERE'S THE PUMPS 7 3 21 1½   79 710½ (kingston karline)NELSON DANE 122 10.00 6.15  
 
CTD-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:221 :45 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO MAGIC 1 4 4 44   31(grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 9.60  
ESTIFRAAD 7 5 5 55   2½ 2(frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 6.00  
BON PRIX 6 3 3.2 22   42 3(wyness j)STEADMAN LEON 125 8.00 12% 7.20 7.10 S
BRODY'S STREAK 4 1 1nk 12   1½ 4(gardipy tom)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 38% 1.70 3.75  
BARE BACK JACK 3 7 7 7   554 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 27% 2.70 1.25  
LIGHT FAST FEET 5 2 2nk 34   610½ 611½ (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 20.00 28.40  
TRUMP UM 2 6 6 6   730½ 739¼ (wise richar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 10.00 6.65  
SCR  BORKAN               (brown r)SIMPSON W 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.