Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CTD-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/4)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTD-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-8   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   10/15/2023 2310ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE LIKES WINNING Aug19 Aug05       (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 1.60 22% 3.60    
2  EL PASO Sep23 Sep01 Aug19     (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80    
3  JOKERSRWILD AGAIN         (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
4  HOCKEYDAYINCANADA         (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 117 4.50    
5  COOL MOOD (BRZ)         (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
CTD-2   10/15/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBATE Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 122 1.40    
2  SWIFT SWALLOW Oct08 Sep24 Sep17 Sep01 Aug11 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  ARANY Oct08 Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 Jun09 (cone rodney)MARTIN ANDRE 122 20.00    
4  CUVEE TEE Sep24 Sep01 Aug13 Aug05 May27 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 118 10.00    
5  PERPETUAL BLISS Sep01 Aug06 May27 May13 Nov04 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
CTD-3   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART PLAY Sep16 Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 May27 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
2  QUINTO SOL Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 3.50    
3  KYSTONE Oct01 Sep16 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 6.00    
4  I'M DASHING Sep24 Aug25 Jul22 Jun24 Dec02 (zielke madis)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 11% 7.80    
5  SLAATS Sep19 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.60 54% 0.80    
 
CTD-4   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE Sep24         (k)GRIFFITH DELANE 117 12.00    
2  BLAZING SUN Oct01 Sep23 Sep01     (kettleson al)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00    
3  SHES A COOL CAT Sep24 Aug26 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 (davies de)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 8% 10.80    
4  GOTTALOVETHATGIRL Sep06 Aug14       (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 1.20 35% 1.90    
5  STARMA Oct01 Sep01 Nov05 Sep23   (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00    
6  TENDER LOVE Oct01 Sep23 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
 
CTD-5   10/15/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMEER Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 4.50    
2  LAST OF WAR Oct08 Sep29 Sep09 Aug13 Jul15 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00    
3  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Oct08 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
4  SUPER D'ORO Oct08 Sep29 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 (brown)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 30.00    
SCR  THE ITALIAN MAN Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 (heggie r)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
6  LOLLIPOP KID Sep30 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  LAHUN Sep17 Jul29 Jul01 Jun09 May06 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
CTD-6   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAMILY IS GOLD Oct08 Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (heggi)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 15.00    
2  ANNA'S IMAGE Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 4.50    
3  SOCIAL CUES Jul07 Jun17 Jun02 May06 Jul09 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 115 4.00    
4  GOLDIE SOCKS Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 3.00    
5  KEEPMEINPOWER Sep24 Aug18 Aug05 Jul23 Jul07 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  QUEEN RHONDA Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (smith k)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  GRACEFUL SPIRIT Sep16 Aug11 Jul28 Sep23 Sep10 (pozzo ja)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
 
CTD-7   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Sep16 Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 8.00    
2  ECHO CREEK Sep16 Aug26 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
3  OLIVE'S CANDY Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (gardipy jr)SIMPSON W 122 3.50    
4  NO MORE JO KING Sep17 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  MONOPOLIZE Sep17 Jun02 May26 Oct29 Sep23 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  MISS MCBRIDE Sep17 Sep01 Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 5.00    
7  WHERE'S THE PUMPS Sep06 Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 10.00    
 
CTD-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MAGIC Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 May26 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00    
2  TRUMP UM Aug07 Jun12 May23 Sep19 Aug24 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 10.00    
SCR  BORKAN Sep30 Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 (brown r)SIMPSON W 125 6.00    
4  BARE BACK JACK Sep30 Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jul07 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  BRODY'S STREAK Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 (gardipy t)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
6  LIGHT FAST FEET Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 20.00    
7  BON PRIX Sep23 Sep09 Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 (wyness)STEADMAN LEON 125 8.00 12% 7.20    
8  ESTIFRAAD Sep30 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.