The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-4   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TUP-5   Win (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $22.20 $22.20 14.20
TUP-6   Win (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $2.60 -8.00
TUP-7   Win (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.60 -8.00
TUP-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.40 -6.00
TUP-9   Win (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-4   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:104 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND RIM 2 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 31% 2.20 1.20 W
MR. WHO 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 1.60  
HOLDEN THE LUTE 3 3 3½ 3½ 3½ 3310½ (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20 S
SCR  AIRTIME               (diodoro rober)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
SCR  IMPOSSIBLE TASK               (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
SCR  TONY'S TAPIT               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00    
 
TUP-5   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARS AND BIRDIES 3 5 4 4   31(ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 4.50 11% 8.30 10.10 W
SEA BREEZE BOY 2 4 2nk 1nk   12(chambers mike)RADKE K 124 3.50 27% 2.70 4.80 P
CHIEFS BLANKET 6 1 1nk 2nk   23(evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 1.00 41% 1.40 0.10 S
HUSTO 5 3 32 32   45 4(hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
WOLF'S LIFE 1 6 5 510½   514 518½ (torres-casas)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 36.60  
JOE DID IT 4 7 712¼ 719   621 621½ (o'brien dan)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 32.10  
I'M MR. SHENANIGAN 7 2 6 615½   721½ 734 (o'brien danny)LULL E 124 12.00 49.60  
 
TUP-6   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELDORADO DREAM 4 2 3½ 21   2nk 11 (valerio raymond)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 0.30  
BIG MAMA THORNTON 1 1 1nk 11   1nk 21 (bean a)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 9% 10.40 9.10 P
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 5 6 6 3   332 (ferguson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 9% 9.90 7.90 S
THE REIGN SONG 3 3 2nk 4   45 4(ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00 29.90  
DAWN AT LAST 7 5 5¾ 6   612½ 511½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.00 5.70  
KEBA LUCKY DAY 6 4 4¾ 57   510 611½ (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 4.50 54% 0.80 7.60  
TIZ SIMPLY AWESOME 2 7 7 7   716½ 720½ (dominguez a)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 79.20  
 
TUP-7   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:224 :451 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUNCHED 5 1 1 1   11(evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 4.80  
REPLETE 1 4 2 2   22(gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 9% 9.70 2.50 P
SEAU 6 2 3 3   39 39 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 58% 0.70 0.50 S
NUMEROLOGIST 4 6 54 6   410½ 410½ (dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 27.90  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 2 5 4 4   611½ 513 (alvarez s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 22.30  
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 3 3 65 5   511½ 613¼ (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
SCR  ITALIANO               (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 7% 13.00    
 
TUP-8   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADS ESTRELLA 5 4 32 2   21 1(alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 7.20  
SWEET SONNY 8 1 12 1   11 2(uranga jesus)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 23% 3.40 6.60 P
WE ALL AGREE 7 5 4 32   334 (barrio sergio)LULL E 122 12.00 22.90  
EMILY SMILES 3 6 6 6   45 4(silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 2.70  
SAILING ALONG 1 8 8 77   67 5(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 51% 1.00 2.10  
LOCK IT DOWN 4 3 22 4   57 6(martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 15.50  
MANHATTAN CHERRY 6 2 7 87   79 7(woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 2 7 5 55   811½ 813¼ (silva-martinez al)CRUZ M 122 5.00 13.50  
 
TUP-9   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:38
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIME'S COMMITMENT 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 61% 0.60 0.70 W
UPPER ROOM 2 7 6 42   32¾ (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 16% 5.30 15.20 P
STAND TO 4 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 1.90 S
BOOMER JUSTICE 8 4 31 3½   44(barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 7.90  
TAINO HOUSE 6 8 8 8   56 5(alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
10  CHAMPS SUCCESS 9 5 5 5   669 (moreno ca)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 15.10  
TRACK BOUND 3 9 9 9   8710½ (alvarez sergi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 86.50  
RED HOT CAT 5 6 7 6   7810½ (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 44.10  
CAJUN FIRE 1 3 4 7   9912¾ (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 20.00 45.20  
SCR  ABRAAJ MIRAGE               (toye joe)RADKE K 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.