Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-4   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-9   Win (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-4   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TONY'S TAPIT Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Feb18 Feb04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00    
SCR  AIRTIME Feb12 Nov25 Oct14 Apr01 Feb18 (diodoro rober)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
MR. WHO Feb12 Feb01 Nov13 Oct21 Oct11 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
DIAMOND RIM Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Nov28 Nov07 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
HOLDEN THE LUTE Feb15 Dec20 Nov03 Sep07 Aug18 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  IMPOSSIBLE TASK Feb12 Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 Mar31 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLF'S LIFE Feb19 Feb05 Nov24 Nov04 Aug03 (torres-casas)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
SEA BREEZE BOY Feb05 Dec30 Nov19 Sep23 Sep04 (chambers mike)RADKE K 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
PARS AND BIRDIES Feb19 Jan18 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 4.50 11% 8.30    
JOE DID IT Mar13 Feb19 Feb01 Dec17   (o'brien dan)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
HUSTO Feb12 Apr15       (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEFS BLANKET Feb19 Feb05 Dec15 Sep29 Aug24 (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 1.00 41% 1.40    
I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Apr05 Mar12       (o'brien danny)LULL E 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG MAMA THORNTON Oct13 Oct06 Sep17 Sep10 Aug18 (bean a)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
TIZ SIMPLY AWESOME Apr03 Mar13       (dominguez a)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
THE REIGN SONG Jan30 Dec12 Dec06 Nov29 Nov06 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELDORADO DREAM Feb19 Jan30 Dec12 Nov21 Oct29 (valerio raymond)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Feb19 Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 Sep27 (ferguson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 9% 9.90    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Feb06 Jul08 May02 Apr08 Mar21 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 4.50 54% 0.80    
DAWN AT LAST Feb16 Jan21 Jan01 Dec08 Dec01 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
 
TUP-7   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REPLETE Feb06 Dec18 Nov20 Sep18 Aug20 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  ITALIANO Feb19 Jan29 May06 Mar26 Mar05 (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 7% 13.00    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Feb20 Jan18 Nov21 Oct21 Sep23 (alvarez s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
AWHITESPORTSCOAT Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jun09 May26 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
NUMEROLOGIST Dec18 Nov21 Oct21 Sep03 Jul30 (dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00    
LAUNCHED Dec15 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Mar19 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00    
SEAU Dec08 Sep05 Jun17 May06 Apr19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
TUP-8   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILING ALONG Feb13 Jan30 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Feb01 Feb06 Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 (silva-martinez al)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
EMILY SMILES Dec20 Nov21 Nov13 Oct07 Aug20 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00    
LOCK IT DOWN Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 Jul19 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
DADS ESTRELLA Feb13 Dec04 Nov13 Aug13 Jul16 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
MANHATTAN CHERRY Feb01 Dec04 Nov21 Sep02 Aug02 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WE ALL AGREE Sep27 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (barrio sergio)LULL E 122 12.00    
SWEET SONNY Feb14         (uranga jesus)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-9   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Sep17 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 8.00    
CAJUN FIRE Jan30 Nov20 Oct20 Sep17 Sep04 (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 20.00    
UPPER ROOM Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul03 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
TRACK BOUND Feb20 Feb06 Jan18 Nov21 Apr02 (alvarez sergi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00    
STAND TO Feb06 Jan13 Dec10 Nov24 Sep09 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50    
RED HOT CAT Feb12 Jan29 Aug20 Apr02 Mar11 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
TAINO HOUSE Feb06 Jan19 Dec19 May14 Mar11 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
JAIME'S COMMITMENT Feb20 Feb05 Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
BOOMER JUSTICE Feb12 Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50    
10  CHAMPS SUCCESS Oct25 Oct04 Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 (moreno ca)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.