The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Grants Pass
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GRP-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $5.40 -4.00
    Exacta (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 2-4 2 0 $4.90 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 2-4-3 3 0 $14.40 0.00
GRP-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $14.60 -4.00
    Exacta (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-1 2 0 $9.50 -2.00
GRP-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
    Exacta (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4 2 0 $8.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4-1 3 0 $19.60 -6.00
GRP-6   Win (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $4.60 -8.00
    Exacta (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-8 2 0 $12.80 -12.00
GRP-7   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6 2 0 $11.90 -6.00
GRP-8   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
    Exacta (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-5 2 1 $4.40 $4.40 2.40

Simulator Race results

 
GRP-1   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
1:203         1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTE'S DIAMOND 2 2 1 11   11¾ (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50 1.70  
HAKUNUI 4 1 2 21   22¾ (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 1.60 70% 0.40 0.70 P
PACKRAT BRANT 3 5 3 5   33(stewart larry)SMITH E 126 4.00 10.60  
SHERRYS BABY 5 4 43 32   44(lopez s)LOPEZ E 123 8.00 7% 13.90 18.80  
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY 1 3 55 4   510 511 (pollard e)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 6.80  
 
GRP-3   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
:574         :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAME 4 1 13 11   11(harris john)IRONEYES R 119 3.00 6.30  
SAINT HELEN 1 2 23 31   32 2(beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 1.60 2.10  
IM IN IT TO WIN IT 3 5 33 21   23(guerrero emil)GUERRERO C 124 3.00 30% 2.30 0.70 S
SERAPHIMZALE 2 3 47 411   49 4(williams gabri)SMITH E 126 4.00 27% 2.80 6.00  
MANUELS TABLE 5 4 512 518   519 524 (mcdevitt tiffa)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 6.00 18.80  
 
GRP-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
1:023         1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE ESCAPE 5 1 13 1   112 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 3.00 2.10  
LOW DOSE 4 2 23 2   222 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 53% 0.90 1.90 P
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) 1 4 5 410   33(perez serg)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50 4.30  
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY 3 5 4 511½   511 4(beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 21% 3.70 4.00  
CAL'S GIRL 2 3 36 3   45(bumgardner jim)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
MO SUGAFOOT 6 6 613 614½   614 613¼ (beckner ter)IRONEYES R 121 6.00 6.60  
 
GRP-6   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
:583         :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA HALO 5 2 3 22   2nk 1(silva-mart)AMADOR RUIZ 124 4.50 1.30  
JADED SECRETS 7 3 12 12   1nk 2(lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 16% 5.30 2.50 P
STEEL NERVES 1 5 6 5   34 3(hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 4.00 17% 4.80 5.50 S
ARCTIC FIRE 3 6 4 4   547 (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 33% 2.00 17.00  
MISSY PARKER 2 4 5 6   659 (pollard eli)IRONEYES R 126 8.00 25.50  
ALY'S NATION 6 7 7 710½   7610¼ (kowalsky harley)ANAYA V 126 15.00 6.90  
CHEDOODLE RYLEE 4 1 22 34   46 712 (lawrence heath)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 10.00 6% 16.20 5.90  
SCR  SHESALILRUNAWAY               (harris j)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 3.00    
 
GRP-7   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN RUSH 2 2 1½ 12   111 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 W
MR. BUGS 5 6 34 3   221 (perez serg)AMADOR RUIZ 126 4.00 3.70  
TRUE FRIEND 6 3 56 5   43(abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 8.00 11.60  
MATTAWA N THAT 4 4 44 4   545 (boyle mary)SMITH E 126 3.00 31% 2.20 1.70  
SPEEDY TOM 3 1 2½ 22   356 (guerrero emil)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 6% 16.70 5.40  
MOLAF 1 5 6 69   66(madrigal gilbe)GARCIA G 126 15.00 32.70  
SCR  HAWK HILL               (kowalsky harley)ANAYA V 126 3.50    
 
GRP-8   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
1:19         1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR LAUGHALOT 3 1 1 14   15 14 (abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 23% 3.40 2.90 W
FOSTER BOI 4 4 2 24   25 24 (perez serg)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.60 37% 1.70 2.50 P
BREXTON 1 3 4 39   334 (craig james)IRONEYES R 121 6.00 10.40  
MASHHAD FLATS 2 2 3 414   411½ 4(cantrell margi)SMITH E 126 2.50 0.60  
SCR  HYDROGEN               (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.