Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Grants Pass
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $7.80 $3.80 95%
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-5 $4.40 $2.40 120%

Simulator Race results

 
GRP-1   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
1:203         1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTE'S DIAMOND 2 2 1 11   1 1¾ (beckner )AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50 1.70  
HAKUNUI 4 1 2 21   2 2¾ (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 1.60 70% 0.40 0.70 P
PACKRAT BRANT 3 5 3 5   3 3 (stewart larr)SMITH E 126 4.00 10.60  
SHERRYS BABY 5 4 43 32   4 4 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 123 8.00 7% 13.90 18.80  
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY 1 3 55 4   510 511 (pollard)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 6.80  
 
GRP-3   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:574         :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAME 4 1 13 11   1 1 (harris jo)IRONEYES R 119 3.00 6.30  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MAME'S FLAME by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SAINT HELEN 1 2 23 31   32 2 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 1.60 2.10  
  (by ACCLAMATION out of MONSTRO NESS by ROCK HARD TEN)
IM IN IT TO WIN IT 3 5 33 21   2 3 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 3.00 30% 2.30 0.70 S
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TRUE BELIEVER by SMART STRIKE)
SERAPHIMZALE 2 3 47 411   49 4 (williams gab)SMITH E 126 4.00 27% 2.80 6.00  
  (by FIRING LINE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MANUELS TABLE 5 4 512 518   519 524 (mcdevitt tif)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 6.00 18.80  
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of TABLE FOR ONE by RIO VERDE)
 
GRP-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
1:023         1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE ESCAPE 5 1 13 1   1 12 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 3.00 2.10  
LOW DOSE 4 2 23 2   2 22 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 53% 0.90 1.90 P
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) 1 4 5 410   3 3 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50 4.30  
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY 3 5 4 511½   511 4 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 21% 3.70 4.00  
CAL'S GIRL 2 3 36 3   4 5 (bumgardner j)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
MO SUGAFOOT 6 6 613 614½   614 613¼ (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 6.00 6.60  
 
GRP-6   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
See original race card.
:583         :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA HALO 5 2 3 22   2nk 1 (silva-ma)AMADOR RUIZ 124 4.50 1.30  
JADED SECRETS 7 3 12 12   1nk 2 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 16% 5.30 2.50 P
STEEL NERVES 1 5 6 5   34 3 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 4.00 17% 4.80 5.50 S
ARCTIC FIRE 3 6 4 4   5 47 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 33% 2.00 17.00  
MISSY PARKER 2 4 5 6   6 59 (pollard e)IRONEYES R 126 8.00 25.50  
ALY'S NATION 6 7 7 710½   7 610¼ (kowalsky harle)ANAYA V 126 15.00 6.90  
CHEDOODLE RYLEE 4 1 22 34   46 712 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 10.00 6% 16.20 5.90  
SCR  SHESALILRUNAWAY               (harris)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 3.00    
 
GRP-7   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN RUSH 2 2 1½ 12   1 11 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 W
MR. BUGS 5 6 34 3   2 21 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 126 4.00 3.70  
TRUE FRIEND 6 3 56 5   4 3 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 8.00 11.60  
MATTAWA N THAT 4 4 44 4   5 45 (boyle mary)SMITH E 126 3.00 31% 2.20 1.70  
SPEEDY TOM 3 1 2½ 22   3 56 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 6% 16.70 5.40  
MOLAF 1 5 6 69   6 6 (madrigal gil)GARCIA G 126 15.00 32.70  
SCR  HAWK HILL               (kowalsky harle)ANAYA V 126 3.50    
 
GRP-8   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
See original race card.
1:19         1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR LAUGHALOT 3 1 1 14   15 14 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 23% 3.40 2.90 W
FOSTER BOI 4 4 2 24   25 24 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.60 37% 1.70 2.50 P
BREXTON 1 3 4 39   3 34 (craig jam)IRONEYES R 121 6.00 10.40  
MASHHAD FLATS 2 2 3 414   411½ 4 (cantrell mar)SMITH E 126 2.50 0.60  
SCR  HYDROGEN               (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.