Handicappers' Racing Form

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Grants Pass
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GRP-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
GRP-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
GRP-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
GRP-6   Win (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
GRP-7   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
GRP-8   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
GRP-1   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY Aug26 Aug09       (pollard e)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00    
LUTE'S DIAMOND Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 May29 (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50    
PACKRAT BRANT Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 Jun25 (stewart larry)SMITH E 126 4.00    
HAKUNUI Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 Jul13 Jul02 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 1.60 70% 0.40    
SHERRYS BABY Jun25 Jun10 Dec07 Dec01 Nov18 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
GRP-3   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT HELEN Aug26 Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 1.60    
SERAPHIMZALE         (williams gabri)SMITH E 126 4.00 27% 2.80    
IM IN IT TO WIN IT         (guerrero emil)GUERRERO C 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
MISCHIEF MAME Aug09 Jul08 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (harris john)IRONEYES R 119 3.00    
MANUELS TABLE Aug12 Aug09       (mcdevitt )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 6.00    
 
GRP-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Aug26 Aug03 Jul28 Jun18 Mar31 (perez serg)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50    
CAL'S GIRL Jul01 Aug11 Jun21     (bumgardne)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Aug26 Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 21% 3.70    
LOW DOSE Aug26 Aug20 Aug10 Jul07 Jun18 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 53% 0.90    
FIRE ESCAPE Aug27 Aug20 Jun23 Jun04 Jan14 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 3.00    
MO SUGAFOOT Aug25 Aug18 Jul02 Jun24 Jun18 (beckner ter)IRONEYES R 121 6.00    
 
GRP-6   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL NERVES Aug25 Aug18 Aug09 Jul12 Jul01 (hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 4.00 17% 4.80    
MISSY PARKER Aug19 Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 Jun10 (pollard e)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
ARCTIC FIRE Aug25 Aug11 Jun17 Jun10 Apr02 (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 Jul02 Jun11 (lawrence heath)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 10.00 6% 16.20    
CALIFORNIA HALO Aug18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 Jul23 (silva-mart)AMADOR RUIZ 124 4.50    
ALY'S NATION Oct16 Sep04 Aug12 Jul22 Jul16 (kowalsky harley)ANAYA V 126 15.00    
SCR  SHESALILRUNAWAY Aug18 Aug10 Jul09 Jul01 Jun11 (harris j)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 3.00    
JADED SECRETS Sep03 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 Mar08 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
GRP-7   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLAF Aug12 Aug10 Jul04 Jun25 Jul13 (madrigal gilbe)GARCIA G 126 15.00    
ROMAN RUSH Aug10 Jul04 Jun25 Jun09 Aug27 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
SPEEDY TOM Aug25 Aug18 Jul29 Jul23 Jul04 (guerrero emil)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  HAWK HILL Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun16 (kowalsky harley)ANAYA V 126 3.50    
MATTAWA N THAT Aug12 Jul04 Jun24 Aug26 Aug11 (boyle mary)SMITH E 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
MR. BUGS Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 (perez serg)AMADOR RUIZ 126 4.00    
TRUE FRIEND Aug19 Aug11 Jun25 Jan11   (abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 8.00    
 
GRP-8   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREXTON Jul02 Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 Feb25 (craig james)IRONEYES R 121 6.00    
MASHHAD FLATS Aug27 Aug13 Aug03 Jul04 Jun17 (cantrell margi)SMITH E 126 2.50    
SIR LAUGHALOT Aug26 Aug19 Aug11 Jun25 Jun18 (abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  HYDROGEN Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00    
FOSTER BOI Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 (perez serg)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.