Handicappers' Race Results

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Ferndale
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
FER-2   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
FER-3   Win (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
FER-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
FER-5   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.80  
FER-6   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.60  

Simulator Race results

 
FER-1   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:243 :481       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY GREGORY 3 2 21 21   1½ 13 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 1.00 48% 1.10 0.60 W
SPUN BEAUTIFUL 5 5 32 43   3 23 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00 3.50  
COWLITZ 1 1 11 11   2½ 36 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 3.50  
MY LITE NITE 4 3 42 33   4 47 (hof d)SMITH E 124 3.50 20% 4.00 8.80  
ARCTIC FIRE 2 4 5 54   5 512¾ (gilmour jim)WEBB B 126 5.00 20.90  
 
FER-2   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:234 :474       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL NERVES 5 2 1nk 15   14 1 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 4.50 18% 4.50 2.80 W
OUR GIRL ASHLEY 1 3 3 25   24 2 (hof bill)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 2.00 42% 1.40 3.90 P
ENGEE OMBEE 3 5 5 5   46 3 (hansen roger)FLORES P 126 2.50 3.60  
JERSEY BIRD 6 4 4 3   35 43 (eaton terri)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 6.00 3.30  
LUTE'S DIAMOND 2 6 6 6   5 5 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 15% 5.80 2.80  
HAMPTONRUN 4 1 2nk 4   6 612¼ (aquino ange)JENSEN P 126 8.00 24.70  
 
FER-3   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:251 :494       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SUGAFOOT 3 2 3 2   1 1¾ (beckner ter)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 20% 4.10 0.30 W
VISION OF THE KAT 2 3 2½ 3   33 2¾ (craig ja)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 2.50 P
LILY PAD LAKE 1 1 1½ 1   2 3 (naranjo sal)JENSEN P 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.20 S
SCR  CAL               (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  SPANISH CHANNEL               (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 1.80    
SCR  TEASPOON OF PEPPER               (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
FER-4   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:234 :481       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKER'N DAN 3 1 2nk 11   12 12 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00 42% 1.40 2.60 W
BOY HOWDY 5 2 1nk 21   22 22 (cantrell)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 23% 3.40 2.60 P
SMOKE AND BURN 2 5 5 5   46 3 (gilmour jim)WEBB B 126 12.00 11.30  
PIVOTAL FEVER 4 4 4 44   3 44 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.60 0.90  
CAPES HOT ROCKET 1 3 33 33   5 511¼ (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 10.00 10% 8.90 19.30  
SCR  FULLY LOADED               (greiner gar)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
 
FER-5   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPITS POWER 2 5 62 4   31 1 (maelfey)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 4.00 3.90  
SPEEDY TOM 1 3 1nk 11   1½ 2 (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 13% 6.50 11.90 P
DEBT MONGER 6 4 5 6   6 3 (aquino m)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 0.90  
SKEESIX 3 2 2nk 3   42 4 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.50 38% 1.60 11.00  
TIZ INDY 4 6 3.2 21   2½ 5 (guerrero )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00 24.20  
DUMB LUCK 5 1 4¼ 53   53 6 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 24% 3.20 2.40  
 
FER-6   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:152     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW SOME 6 2 2½ 2½   1nk 1¾ (eaton terri)SMITH E 122 4.00 2.80  
FOYT 1 4 32 3   2nk 2¾ (beckner teri)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 P
FRESNO CHILE 5 6 65 5   3 3 (meier r)FLORES P 117 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
NOTCH 4 5 55 6   5 4 (ledezma sergio)HERRERA HUGO 122 3.00 4.30  
COLTON'S TIGER 2 1 1½ 1½   4 5 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 44% 1.30 10.00  
HOLY SMOKES 3 3 43 42   68 611½ (eaton ter)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 8.00 14.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.