Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-2   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-3   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-5   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-6   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-1   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWLITZ Aug20 Jul04 Jun25 Jun18 Oct15 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00    
ARCTIC FIRE Aug11 Jun17 Jun10 Apr02 Mar11 (gilmour jim)WEBB B 126 5.00    
LADY GREGORY Aug18 Jul23 Jun25 May27 May04 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 1.00 48% 1.10    
MY LITE NITE Aug09 Jul04 Jun24 Jun18 Aug11 (hof d)SMITH E 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
SPUN BEAUTIFUL Aug20 Jun23 May28 May07 Apr16 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
 
FER-2   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR GIRL ASHLEY Aug19 Aug09 Jul14 Jun03 May13 (hof bill)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
LUTE'S DIAMOND Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 May29 May14 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
ENGEE OMBEE Aug19 Jul21 Jul02 Jun18 Nov25 (hansen roger)FLORES P 126 2.50    
HAMPTONRUN Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun25 (aquino ange)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
STEEL NERVES Aug18 Aug09 Jul12 Jul01 Jun17 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 4.50 18% 4.50    
JERSEY BIRD Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jun18 Feb19 (eaton terri)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
 
FER-3   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILY PAD LAKE Aug18 Aug10 Jun24 Jun10 Jun04 (naranjo sal)JENSEN P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPANISH CHANNEL Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 May28 Apr16 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 1.80    
SCR  CAL Aug18 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jul04 Jun18 Oct15 Oct09 Aug21 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
VISION OF THE KAT Aug11 Jul04 Jun24 Jun09 Aug10 (craig ja)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00    
MO SUGAFOOT Aug18 Jul02 Jun24 Jun18 Oct16 (beckner ter)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
FER-4   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPES HOT ROCKET Aug09 Jun24 Jun17 Aug26 Aug21 (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 10.00 10% 8.90    
SMOKE AND BURN Aug12 Jul28 Aug10 Jul24 Jul03 (gilmour jim)WEBB B 126 12.00    
SCR  FULLY LOADED Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 Jul02 May28 (greiner gar)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
SNICKER'N DAN Aug19 Jul02 Jun18 Oct16 Oct08 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
PIVOTAL FEVER Aug18 Sep24 Aug28 Aug19 Jul31 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.60    
BOY HOWDY Aug12 Jul04 Jun17 Aug28 Aug21 (cantrell)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
FER-5   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY TOM Aug18 Jul29 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 13% 6.50    
PULPITS POWER Aug20 Aug12 Jun25 Jun11 Sep17 (maelfey)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 4.00    
SKEESIX Aug10 Jun25 Jun17 Aug11 Jun28 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
TIZ INDY Aug20 Aug11 Jul02 Jun17 Apr29 (guerrero )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
DUMB LUCK Aug18 Jul30 Jul22 Jun24 Aug27 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
DEBT MONGER Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun23 Dec18 (aquino m)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00    
 
FER-6   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOYT Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 May19 Apr08 (beckner teri)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80 27% 2.70    
COLTON'S TIGER Jun18 May21       (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 44% 1.30    
HOLY SMOKES Aug19         (eaton ter)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 8.00    
NOTCH Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 May28   (ledezma sergio)HERRERA HUGO 122 3.00    
FRESNO CHILE Aug04 Jul07 Jun02 Apr29 Apr08 (meier r)FLORES P 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
DRAW SOME Aug05         (eaton terri)SMITH E 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.