Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-2   WIN (6/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.00 $3.00 38%
TDN-4   EXA (5/1)-(5/6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $10.90 $4.90 82%
TDN-5   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.60 $6.60 83%
    DD (5/1)-(6/3/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-1 $22.30 $14.30 179%
TDN-7   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $17.80 $9.80 123%
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $32.20 $20.20 168%
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-5-7 $89.10 $65.10 271%
    SFT (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-5-7-3 $19.29 $16.89 704%
TDN-8   EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $24.80 $12.80 107%
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(3/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-3 $38.50 $22.50 141%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NOMORE 3 6 43 1nk   1 1 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 26% 2.90 0.60 W
PRIVATE MOMENT 1 7 1nk 2nk   2 2 (hurley l)FELICIANO R 117 3.50 48% 1.10 2.20 P
IVORY SKY 5 10 9 53   47 310¼ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 3.00 11.50  
10  KINGDOM DIAMOND 10 4 7 7   5 413 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 36.60  
RAY'S EMPIRE 2 8 2nk 31   37 516¼ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 39.20  
SMOKE SCREEN 9 5 6 8   610½ 616¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00 45.20  
K C OUTWORK 7 2 5 6   712 720¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
GRAY TORMENTOR 6 3 10 108   914 820½ (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00 48.90  
CANNON MAN 4 9 8 9   1014½ 922¾ (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 115 6.00 9.30  
SPIRIT OF AKRON 8 1 31 42   812½ 1022¾ (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 20.00 38.30  
 
TDN-2   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE BLAST 2 1 12 12 1 12 1 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 20% 4.00 4.50 W
KADESH 4 2 22 22 2 22 2 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 2.70  
RANDELLO 5 3 3 32 3 35 3 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 8.00 7.50  
DON'T POKE THE CAT 1 6 56 5 5 57 4 (loaiza ilmar)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00 15.80  
SWEEPING GIANT 6 5 45 4 4 46 5 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 27% 2.70 1.90  
VAIL OF HONOR 7 8 816½ 816 710¾ 711½ 611¾ (higham nicole)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
THAT'S THE WAY 8 7 6 68 6 69 711¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 22% 3.50 3.70  
BOSS BEAR 3 4 710½ 711 811¼ 814½ 816¾ (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 121 8.00 47.10  
SCR  MR CLINE               (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSTRIAN NAVY 4 2 1nk 11   12 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 14% 5.90 0.10 W
LOFTY COWTOWN 8 1 31 3   32 2 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
THINK IT THRU 2 5 2nk 21   22 3 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 15.00 ######  
ROWDY DAISY 1 6 42 4   4 412 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 20.40  
MISS SHADY 7 4 6 5   59 512¾ (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 121 4.00 12.00  
LA CUMPARSITA 6 3 7 6   613 615 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.00 31% 2.30 11.80  
SHEZ SHACKED UP 5 7 5 77   714 720½ (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 76.60  
OUT MY DEAR 3 8 8 810   817 820½ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 13% 6.90 20.30  
 
TDN-4   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR AND SQUARE 5 1 11 2 1nk 14 1 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 64% 0.60 0.90 W
WICKED WARRIOR 6 2 21 1 2nk 24 2 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 6.60 P
RAVEN MOON 2 3 3 44 43 47 3 (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 119 10.00 40.10  
HENRY MAC 4 5 4 3 3 36 410¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.00 1.30  
SAMMY'S SMILE 3 4 54 55 5 5 510¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 28.00  
TANTRUM 7 6 6 68 7 611 611¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00 11.40  
HITE 1 7 710½ 712 6 711 716½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 63.80  
 
TDN-5   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILLIGAN 1 6 1½ 1½   13 1 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 W
KOSCIUSZKO 5 2 2½ 2½   23 2 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 35.70  
BOURBON OVER ICE 2 5 5 42   33 32 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 5.00 11% 7.80 2.70 S
MUNI MUNI SLEW 6 1 62 53   5 44 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 36% 1.80 1.20  
NICHOLAS JAMES 4 3 7 7   77 5 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00 12.60  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 4 41 6   45 66 (vecchio car)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 2.00 17% 4.90 3.10  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 7 7 31 32   66 79 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 35.60  
 
TDN-6   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :592     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINTOF ATTRACTION 1 5 26 2   24 1½ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 8.00 3.60  
WHISKEY DIAMOND 5 2 16 1   14 2½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 P
DOMINUS O'S ME 3 4 4 49   4 3 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 19% 4.40 4.00 S
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 3 5 3   36 4 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
EXTRA CRAFTY 4 6 69 614   59 5 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 2.50 4.10  
CRYSTAL M 6 1 3 512½   610 611¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 17.70  
 
TDN-7   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S GEM 1 4 1 12   1 1½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
BREEZY MONEY 5 3 2 22   2 2½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 8% 10.80 2.30 P
FAT DADDY 7 1 64 45   36 3 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 3.00 41% 1.40 1.50 S
OTIS OTIS OTIS 3 6 5 34   46 4 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.50 3.00  
BLESS THE KITTEN 4 7 710 6   69 5 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 10.50  
NIGHT TIME RULER 2 5 43 55   5 6 (urieta johann)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 45.60  
PRACTICAL MAN 6 2 33 7   714 714¾ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 17.30  
 
TDN-8   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN FLAG 3 5 2nk 1nk   1 1 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 5.00 45% 1.20 2.40 W
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 7 1 6 5   46 2 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.00 24% 3.20 8.80 P
SADIE'S SILVER KID 2 6 5 32   34 32 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 6.00 19.30  
OLLIE'S FOLLY 5 2 1nk 2nk   2 4 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00 55.50  
MAMAS HOME COOKING 6 7 710 7   59 5 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 5% 17.50 8.70  
MARQUITOS M 1 8 815 812¼   710½ 6 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 10.00 76.10  
ROLL ON BIG O 4 3 43 6   6 710¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 12.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
SOCIAL HISTORY 8 4 3½ 4   812 818½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.00 0.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.