Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (6/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 3.00
TDN-3   Win (6/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-4   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-5   Win (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
TDN-6   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.20  
TDN-7   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 9.80
TDN-8   Win (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUE NOMORE 3 6 43 1nk   12½ 13¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 26% 2.90 0.60 W
1  PRIVATE MOMENT 1 7 1nk 2nk   22½ 23¾ (hurley l)FELICIANO R 117 3.50 48% 1.10 2.20 P
5  IVORY SKY 5 10 96¾ 53   47 310¼ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 3.00 11.50  
10  KINGDOM DIAMOND 10 4 75¾ 73¼   58½ 413 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 ★ 36.60  
2  RAY'S EMPIRE 2 8 2nk 31   37 516¼ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 39.20  
9  SMOKE SCREEN 9 5 65½ 85¼   610½ 616¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00 45.20  
7  K C OUTWORK 7 2 54½ 63¼   712 720¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
6  GRAY TORMENTOR 6 3 107¾ 108   914 820½ (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00 48.90  
4  CANNON MAN 4 9 86¾ 97¾   1014½ 922¾ (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 115 6.00 ★ 9.30  
8  SPIRIT OF AKRON 8 1 31 42   812½ 1022¾ (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 20.00 38.30  
 
TDN-2   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ICE BLAST 2 1 12 12 11½ 12 15¼ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 20% 4.00 4.50 W
4  KADESH 4 2 22 22 21½ 22 25¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 2.70  
5  RANDELLO 5 3 34½ 32 31½ 35 38½ (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 8.00 7.50  
1  DON'T POKE THE CAT 1 6 56 55½ 53¾ 57 49¼ (loaiza ilmar)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00 15.80  
6  SWEEPING GIANT 6 5 45 43½ 41¾ 46 59¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 27% 2.70 1.90  
7  VAIL OF HONOR 7 8 816½ 816 710¾ 711½ 611¾ (higham nicole)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
9  THAT'S THE WAY 8 7 69½ 68 68¼ 69 711¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 22% 3.50 3.70  
3  BOSS BEAR 3 4 710½ 711 811¼ 814½ 816¾ (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 121 8.00 47.10  
SCR  MR CLINE               (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AUSTRIAN NAVY 4 2 1nk 11   12 15½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 14% 5.90 0.10 W
8  LOFTY COWTOWN 8 1 31 31½   32 25½ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
2  THINK IT THRU 2 5 2nk 21   22 36¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 15.00 ######  
1  ROWDY DAISY 1 6 42 43½   46½ 412 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 20.40  
7  MISS SHADY 7 4 62¼ 53½   59 512¾ (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 121 4.00 12.00  
6  LA CUMPARSITA 6 3 72¾ 65½   613 615 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.00 31% 2.30 11.80  
5  SHEZ SHACKED UP 5 7 52¼ 77   714 720½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 76.60  
3  OUT MY DEAR 3 8 87¾ 810   817 820½ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 5.00 13% 6.90 20.30  
 
TDN-4   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAIR AND SQUARE 5 1 11 22½ 1nk 14 17½ (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 64% 0.60 0.90 W
6  WICKED WARRIOR 6 2 21 12½ 2nk 24 27½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 ★ 6.60 P
2  RAVEN MOON 2 3 32½ 44 43 47 38½ (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 119 10.00 40.10  
4  HENRY MAC 4 5 42½ 33½ 31½ 36 410¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 2.00 ★ 1.30  
3  SAMMY'S SMILE 3 4 54 55 53¼ 57½ 510¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 28.00  
7  TANTRUM 7 6 65½ 68 77¾ 611 611¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00 11.40  
1  HITE 1 7 710½ 712 66¾ 711 716½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 63.80  
 
TDN-5   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILLIGAN 1 6 1½ 1½   13 11¾ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 W
5  KOSCIUSZKO 5 2 2½ 2½   23 21¾ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 35.70  
2  BOURBON OVER ICE 2 5 51½ 42   33 32 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 5.00 11% 7.80 2.70 S
6  MUNI MUNI SLEW 6 1 62 53   55½ 44 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 36% 1.80 1.20  
4  NICHOLAS JAMES 4 3 72¼ 74¼   77 55¼ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 3.00 12.60  
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 4 41 63¼   45 66 (vecchio caryn)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 2.00 17% 4.90 3.10  
7  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 7 7 31 32   66 79 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 35.60  
 
TDN-6   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :592     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINTOF ATTRACTION 1 5 26 26½   24 1½ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 8.00 3.60  
5  WHISKEY DIAMOND 5 2 16 16½   14 2½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 P
3  DOMINUS O'S ME 3 4 46½ 49   46½ 32¼ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 19% 4.40 4.00 S
2  PENNY'S TREASURE 2 3 57½ 38½   36 43¼ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
4  EXTRA CRAFTY 4 6 69 614   59 54½ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 121 2.50 4.10  
6  CRYSTAL M 6 1 36½ 512½   610 611¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 17.70  
 
TDN-7   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID'S GEM 1 4 11½ 12   13½ 1½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
5  BREEZY MONEY 5 3 21½ 22   23½ 2½ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 8% 10.80 2.30 P
7  FAT DADDY 7 1 64 45   36 31½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 3.00 41% 1.40 1.50 S
3  OTIS OTIS OTIS 3 6 53½ 34   46 44¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.50 3.00  
4  BLESS THE KITTEN 4 7 710 67½   69 54¼ (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 10.50  
2  NIGHT TIME RULER 2 5 43 55   57½ 65¾ (urieta johanna)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 45.60  
6  PRACTICAL MAN 6 2 33 77¾   714 714¾ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 17.30  
 
TDN-8   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOLDEN FLAG 3 5 2nk 1nk   12½ 11¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 5.00 45% 1.20 2.40 W
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 7 1 67½ 56¼   46 21¾ (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.00 24% 3.20 8.80 P
2  SADIE'S SILVER KID 2 6 54½ 32   34 32 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 6.00 19.30  
5  OLLIE'S FOLLY 5 2 1nk 2nk   22½ 43¼ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00 55.50  
6  MAMAS HOME COOKING 6 7 710 78¾   59 54½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 5% 17.50 8.70  
1  MARQUITOS M 1 8 815 812¼   710½ 66½ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 123 10.00 76.10  
4  ROLL ON BIG O 4 3 43 66¾   69½ 710¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 12.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
8  SOCIAL HISTORY 8 4 3½ 42¼   812 818½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.00 0.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.