Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/4/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/4/10/7)-(1/3/4/10/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(6/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(6/9/2/7)-(6/4/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/7)-(6/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/7)-(6/9/2/7)-(6/9/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/2/7)-(6/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/7)-(6/4/3/8)-(5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/3/8)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/8)-(5/1)-(6/3/2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/3/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(5/3/2)-(7/3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(7/3/5/1)-(3/7/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(3/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE MOMENT Jun27 May30       (hurley l)FELICIANO R 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  RAY'S EMPIRE Jun27 Jun18 May22 May07 Apr09 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
3  BLUE NOMORE Jun22 Jun07 May04 Apr10 Mar08 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  CANNON MAN Jun27 May31 May13 Oct31 Oct12 (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 115 6.00 ★    
5  IVORY SKY Feb07 Dec16 Dec09 Jan21 Dec10 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
6  GRAY TORMENTOR Jun27 Jun12 May30 May13 Apr23 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00    
7  K C OUTWORK Jul03 Apr23 Mar28     (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPIRIT OF AKRON Jun27 Jun18 May28 May04 Apr09 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 20.00    
9  SMOKE SCREEN Jun12 May30 May13 Mar28 Mar05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00    
10  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jun27 Jun08 May22 Jan31 Jan16 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T POKE THE CAT Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 Dec22 Dec06 (loaiza ilmar)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00    
2  ICE BLAST Jun24 Jun03 May09 Apr22 Mar27 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  BOSS BEAR Jun13 May18 May04 Apr25 Feb28 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 121 8.00    
4  KADESH Jun24 Jun03 Apr22 Mar17 Feb24 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
5  RANDELLO Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr23 Apr16 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 8.00    
6  SWEEPING GIANT Jun24 Jun03 May09 Feb11 Jan06 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  VAIL OF HONOR Jul01 Mar20 Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 (higham nicole)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR CLINE Jul05 Jun01 May10 Aug18 Jul19 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
9  THAT'S THE WAY Jun22 May27 May04 Apr04 Mar20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-3   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROWDY DAISY Jun12 May22 Apr22 Mar02 Feb04 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 6.00    
2  THINK IT THRU Jun12 Mar05 Jan02 Nov20 Oct31 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
3  OUT MY DEAR Jun11 May21 Oct10 Sep11 Aug14 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 13% 6.90    
4  AUSTRIAN NAVY Jul03 Jun12 Mar03 Dec10 Nov24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 14% 5.90    
5  SHEZ SHACKED UP Dec13 Nov02 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
6  LA CUMPARSITA Jul03 Jun22 Jun03 May23 May13 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
7  MISS SHADY Jun24 Jun12 May22 May04 Apr01 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 121 4.00    
8  LOFTY COWTOWN Jun22 Dec21 Nov16 Oct23 Sep22 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITE Jun22 Jun10 May23 Jan11 Dec28 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAVEN MOON Jun07 May01 Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
3  SAMMY'S SMILE Jun27 Jun10 May14 Apr23 Sep18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
4  HENRY MAC Jun07 May01 Dec26 Dec04 Nov14 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.00 ★    
5  FAIR AND SQUARE Jun27 Jun07 May14 Oct28 Sep13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  WICKED WARRIOR Jun13 May15 Oct28 Oct02 Aug30 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 ★    
7  TANTRUM Jun27 Jun07 May14 Apr09 Nov14 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILLIGAN Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr23 Mar17 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOURBON OVER ICE Jun25 Jun11 May23 May13 Dec06 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jun25 Apr09 Mar26 Mar13 Feb19 (vecchio car)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 2.00 17% 4.90    
4  NICHOLAS JAMES Jun25 May04 Apr02 Mar17 Jan30 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
5  KOSCIUSZKO Jun24 Jun05 May13 Apr13 Apr02 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
6  MUNI MUNI SLEW Jun24 Jun05 May13 Apr30 Dec30 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Jun24 May30 May13 Apr25 Apr10 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINTOF ATTRACTION Jun18 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14   (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
2  PENNY'S TREASURE Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec06 Nov07 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOMINUS O'S ME Jul02 Jun17 May28 Dec21 Dec11 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
4  EXTRA CRAFTY Jun19 May29 Apr01 Mar14 Feb24 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 2.50    
5  WHISKEY DIAMOND Jun19 Feb15 Jan17 Oct03 Sep16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 57% 0.80    
6  CRYSTAL M Jun19 May29 May06 Mar27 Mar14 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID'S GEM Jun24 May08 Apr08 Mar19 Feb06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  NIGHT TIME RULER Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 Apr02 (urieta johann)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00    
3  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  BLESS THE KITTEN May22 Apr22 Mar28 Mar07 Jan31 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
5  BREEZY MONEY Jul03 Jan24 Dec21 Dec05 Nov14 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 8% 10.80    
6  PRACTICAL MAN Jun10 May17 Apr15 Feb20 Jan22 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50    
7  FAT DADDY Jun12 May30 Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
TDN-8   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUITOS M Jul01 Jun12 May29 May13 Nov22 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 10.00    
2  SADIE'S SILVER KID Jun26 Jun08 May21 Oct28   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 6.00    
3  GOLDEN FLAG Jun26 May31 May18 Apr27 Apr13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 45% 1.20    
4  ROLL ON BIG O Jun26 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 Sep05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLLIE'S FOLLY Jun26 May13 Apr22 Mar25 Feb15 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00    
6  MAMAS HOME COOKING May31 May17 May04 Oct04 Sep13 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 5% 17.50    
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jun26 Jun05 May21 Apr11 Jan18 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  SOCIAL HISTORY Jun26 May21 May01 Feb08 Jan24 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.