Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-2   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-3   Win (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $46.40  
TDN-5   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-6   Win (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $19.60 $19.60 11.60
TDN-7   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-8   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROWDY DAISY 7 1 42 3.2   1½ 11¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 W
3  MAGICGIRL 3 3 11½ 2nk   2½ 21¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 17% 4.80 6.30 P
5  CHARGINA 5 2 21½ 1nk   32 33½ (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 121 3.50 18% 4.60 3.30 S
6  CHERU 6 6 84 76¼   56 43½ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 16.20  
1  SKY 1 8 53½ 65¾   76¼ 56¼ (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 74.30  
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS 2 5 32 44¼   46 66¾ (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 9.10  
4  KRABI 4 7 63¾ 54¼   66¼ 77¼ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
8  HERO'S DAUGHTER 8 4 73¾ 812¼   824¼ 834¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00 53.10  
 
TDN-2   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MUGSY MALONE 2 1 12 13 12½ 12½ 12 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 3.50 18% 4.60 2.50 W
1  RANDELLO 1 3 43 23 22½ 22½ 22 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 8.00 1.80  
7  MISTER MOBIL 5 2 32 45½ 48½ 48 39¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
6  SAMMY'S SMILE 4 4 22 35½ 38½ 37½ 411¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00 2.50  
5  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 3 5 54½ 57 510 510 512½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 39% 1.50 5.90  
SCR  AFJAN               (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
SCR  MY BROTHER CAM               (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:003     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN 3 4 1½ 11   14 14 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 1.80 25% 3.10 0.30 W
1  FORMYBOYS 1 5 31½ 21   24 24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 5.50  
5  ANYGIVENDAY 5 7 77½ 68½   511½ 311 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 22% 3.50 6.90 S
8  WHY KENNY WHY 8 1 41½ 31½   38½ 411¼ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
2  DON'T TIZ MAX 2 8 54½ 56   49½ 511¾ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 20% 4.10 12.70  
6  SKUNK APE 6 3 65½ 79½   615 618½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 10.00 42.60  
4  TURKODANCER 4 6 811½ 814½   721 725¼ (langley joshua)BAEZ M 119 15.00 ######  
7  MR SIX 7 2 2½ 43½   8100 8100 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 31.30  
 
TDN-4   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:151     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GEH SCHNELL 4 4 53 53½ 31½ 2½ 1nk ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 8.00 22.20  
1  KLAATU 1 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 2nk (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 2.00 2.30  
3  OPEN OUT 3 2 31 31 41¾ 32 34½ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00 5% 19.00 11.10 S
6  CANDY CRUSHEM 6 5 42½ 42 51¾ 43½ 45½ (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 47% 1.10 1.80  
2  LEXATOGA 2 6 69 66 62¾ 64 56¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 4.20  
5  UNIDENTIFIED MAN 5 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 53½ 69¼ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 2.50 12% 7.10 2.90  
 
TDN-5   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:144     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MY SUZIE Q 2 4 22 1nk 11½ 12½ 16 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 115 3.50 37% 1.70 0.80 W
1  CRY IF I WANT TO 1 1 55½ 53½ 43 22½ 26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 2.00 4.50  
6  SAKONNA 6 2 12 2nk 54 32½ 37 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5.50  
3  NOT TODAY 3 5 45½ 42½ 21½ 43½ 49¾ (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
4  GRAY ENOUGH 4 3 33 31½ 33 54½ 514¼ (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00 10.10  
5  FLATTERING HEART 5 6 67 65 68½ 612½ 627 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 25% 3.00 4.70  
 
TDN-6   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:02     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI CANCION 1 4 1nk 11   12 13¼ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 14% 6.00 8.80 W
5  COWGIRLS HUMOR 4 3 44½ 47½   32½ 23¼ (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 6% 16.50 6.40 P
7  THIRTY SOMETHING 6 2 3½ 21   22 37 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 48% 1.10 0.20 S
6  BOOKMASTER 5 1 54¾ 57½   47½ 412¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 34.40  
3  THE LITTLE THINGS 2 5 2nk 32½   58½ 522¼ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 6% 17.10 7.10  
4  BLUE MOJITO 3 6 64¾ 611½   620½ 650 (crumley jevon)PEREZ A 119 10.00 25.80  
SCR  DEBBIE'S DREAM               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:141     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PACE 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 12 14 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 121 2.00 36% 1.80 0.90 W
6  MONEY ROOM 6 6 31 31½ 31½ 32 24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.50 2.40  
4  QUICK QUICK WHIT 4 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 22 34 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.50 42% 1.40 3.00 S
7  EL BAMBINO 7 5 43 54 56 55 47¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 17.30  
5  FALK 5 7 74½ 43 42½ 44½ 510½ (winters michelle)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 20.00  
2  BLUNDER 2 4 53½ 65 68½ 610 620 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
1  RULE IT 1 2 63½ 76½ 711 711½ 721½ (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 ★ 34.00  
 
TDN-8   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPELLCAST 5 2 12 13½ 12½ 14 15¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 59% 0.70 0.50 W
4  WHO DA BOSS 4 4 55 57½ 22½ 24 25¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 12% 7.10 1.90 P
3  KNOCK WOOD 3 5 44½ 46 36½ 38½ 311¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 21.10 S
6  MAN'S CHOICE 6 3 22 23½ 57½ 410½ 414¾ (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 119 15.00 56.90  
2  INTO GOLD 2 1 33 34½ 47½ 511 520 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 8.00  
1  VENTURE ON 1 6 67½ 69½ 610½ 614½ 624½ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 14.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.