Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY Jul09 Jun18 Jun11 May27 May08 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jul01 Jun18 Mar25 Mar07 Nov06 (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  MAGICGIRL Jul08 Jun13 May22 May04 Sep27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  KRABI Jul16 Jun28 May31 May12 Apr19 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARGINA Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 May22 Apr29 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  CHERU Jul01 Jun03 Apr03 Mar04 Feb06 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00    
7  ROWDY DAISY Jul15 Jun12 May22 Apr22 Mar02 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  HERO'S DAUGHTER Jul01 Dec06 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
 
TDN-2   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANDELLO Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr23 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 8.00    
SCR  AFJAN Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar07 Feb08 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
SCR  MY BROTHER CAM Jun03 May09 Apr22 Mar27 Feb26 (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00    
4  MUGSY MALONE Jul02 May20 Jan10 Dec18 Nov15 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jul05 May15 Dec04 Nov15 Sep20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 39% 1.50    
6  SAMMY'S SMILE Jul15 Jun27 Jun10 May14 Apr23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
7  MISTER MOBIL Jul16 Jul02 Jun22 May27 May15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORMYBOYS Jun17 May28 May07 Apr08 Mar17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
2  DON'T TIZ MAX         (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 20% 4.10    
3  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Jul01 May29 May13 Apr22   (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 1.80 25% 3.10    
4  TURKODANCER Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29   (langley joshua)BAEZ M 119 15.00    
5  ANYGIVENDAY         (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  SKUNK APE Jul01 Jun12       (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 10.00    
7  MR SIX Jun17 May13       (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
8  WHY KENNY WHY Jul01 Jun12 May28 May13 Apr22 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLAATU Jul09 Jun19 May27 May09 Apr25 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 2.00    
2  LEXATOGA Jul08 Nov21 Nov01 Sep05 Aug16 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
3  OPEN OUT Jul09 Jun19 May27 Jan10 Jan01 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  GEH SCHNELL Jul09 May27 May09 Apr09 Feb05 (man)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 8.00    
5  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 May14 Apr23 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 2.50 12% 7.10    
6  CANDY CRUSHEM Jul09 Jun30 Jun08 May18 Apr22 (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
TDN-5   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRY IF I WANT TO Jul09 Jun04 May08 Apr21 Mar29 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 2.00    
2  MY SUZIE Q Jun22 May30 May01 Apr22 Mar20 (dacosta )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  NOT TODAY Jul11 Jun22 May30 May13 May01 (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRAY ENOUGH Jul11 Jun19 May20 Mar20 Feb09 (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00    
5  FLATTERING HEART Jun19 Jun04 May08 Dec29 Dec01 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  SAKONNA Jun22 Jul03 Jun06 May25 Apr11 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI CANCION Jun12 May27 May08 Feb19 Dec11 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  DEBBIE'S DREAM Jul17 Jul01 Nov28     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
3  THE LITTLE THINGS Jul01 May27       (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 6% 17.10    
4  BLUE MOJITO Jul01 May27       (crumley jevon)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
5  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jul22 Jun12 May27 May07 Feb05 (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 6% 16.50    
6  BOOKMASTER Jun18 Aug30 Aug12 Jul13 Sep29 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
7  THIRTY SOMETHING Jul17 Jul01 Jun18 May29 May08 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
TDN-7   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULE IT Jul10 Jun13 Apr21 Mar27 Mar13 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 ★    
2  BLUNDER Jul10 Jun13 Dec11 Nov01 Oct24 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PACE Jun13 May14 Apr29 May16 Apr14 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  QUICK QUICK WHIT Jul11 Jun24 Jun05 May21 Apr29 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  FALK Jun13 Jan26 Dec30 Nov21 Oct13 (winters michelle)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
6  MONEY ROOM Jul12 Jun14 May12 Apr12 Mar23 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
7  EL BAMBINO Jun27 Jun08 May06 Apr23 Apr09 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00    
 
TDN-8   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENTURE ON Jun22 Jun05 May15 Dec13 Sep28 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
2  INTO GOLD Jun28 Nov09 Oct23 Sep20 Aug24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
3  KNOCK WOOD Jun22 Jun05 Apr29 Apr01 Mar14 (tumblin )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHO DA BOSS Jun22 Jun07 May10 Mar18 Nov30 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 12% 7.10    
5  SPELLCAST Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr13 Aug12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 59% 0.70    
6  MAN'S CHOICE Jul11 Jun19 May31 May15 Apr27 (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.