Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $18.40  
TDN-2   Win (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-3   Win (6/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-5   Win (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.20  
TDN-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-7   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-8   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $22.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPECIALIZED 2 7 61¾ 41¾   21 1nk (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 8.20  
8  EXCITEMENT 7 1 41¼ 31½   31 2nk (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 14% 5.90 2.90 P
1  RECKLESS L J 1 6 51¾ 52¼   41¼ 31¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 3.10  
4  SIMPLY VALID 3 5 1nk 1nk   11 42 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS 4 2 2nk 2nk   51¼ 55¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 38% 1.60 2.20  
7  WETZEL 6 4 75¼ 76¾   66¼ 65½ (radosevich justi)DIAZ I 123 6.00 15.30  
6  OKLAHOMA JOE 5 3 31 63¼   76½ 710 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 24% 3.10 8.00  
SCR  CHIEF BUCKEYE               (salcedo ra)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BAXLEY 3 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 12¼ (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 50% 1.00 0.40 W
7  NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS 7 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 22¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 19% 4.10 4.70 P
2  LAST COOKIE 2 7 65¾ 52¾   32½ 34¼ (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 13.30  
8  SKYPASS 8 1 4¼ 42½   54¼ 46¾ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 47.30  
4  GUT INSTINCT 4 4 3.2 31½   44 57½ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 4.50 5% 19.00 19.10  
6  GLOBAL PRIDE 6 2 52¼ 63¼   65¼ 67½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 5.50  
5  BOURBON ON FIRE 5 6 79¾ 78¼   76¾ 79½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
1  CLOAK AND DAGGER 1 8 810 810¼   88¾ 810 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 117 8.00 32.30  
 
TDN-3   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRINCESS HALIME 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 1½ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 2.00  
6  VILLAGE QUEEN 6 3 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 2½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 P
5  TEAM GOLD DIGGER 5 4 42 32½ 44½ 34½ 34½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 7.40  
4  PRANCIPANTS 4 2 53 64 64¾ 45½ 47½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 4.00 13% 6.70 6.70  
2  CHESS NOT CHECKERS 2 6 64½ 54 34 57½ 516¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
1  SING SCAT 1 5 32 43 54¾ 69½ 616¼ (mendieta alejandr)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 10% 8.80 4.10  
7  UNWHIRLED 7 7 76 77½ 712¾ 717½ 726½ (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 16.00  
 
TDN-4   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NAMBITI 3 4 31½ 21½   22½ 11 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 3.30  
6  POWERFUL PHIL 5 1 11 11½   12½ 21 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 38% 1.60 2.40 P
2  PECKS NOT BAD 2 3 21 42   33 33½ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 3.50  
1  OHIO EAGLE 1 5 54½ 55½   57 43¾ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 4.50 5% 18.90 16.50  
4  PLAY BALL 4 2 42 32   45½ 55½ (urieta johanna)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00 17% 4.80 1.30  
SCR  WEEKEND BUZZ               (white t)CLEMENTE ALFRED 121 6.00    
 
TDN-5   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MOBIL 1 5 2nk 2nk 31 2nk 12½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 1.60  
7  OAKS HONEY 7 4 42½ 41¾ 41¼ 4¾ 22½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.00 55% 0.80 1.50 P
5  VISUAL MISSION 5 3 31 3.2 1nk 1nk 33 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 7% 13.50 3.60 S
3  PRIVATE DRIVE 3 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 3.2 45¼ (guidry terrance)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.50 15% 5.70 7.20  
2  MONSTER HUNTER 2 6 63¼ 53¼ 56¼ 56¾ 514½ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 50.00  
6  SERVE REVENGE COLD 6 7 52¾ 63¼ 66¾ 66¾ 614½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
4  RED COMET 4 2 74¼ 74¼ 711¾ 7100 7100 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00 39.00  
 
TDN-6   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YIPPEE KI YAY 1 4 21½ 21   15 11½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 46% 1.20 0.70 W
2  AFLEET O ME 2 5 47 47   35 21½ (flores christ)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 21% 3.70 4.30 P
4  GOOD MUSIC 4 3 35 33½   45½ 34 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 5.80  
5  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 5 2 11½ 11   25 46½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 110 2.50 2.90  
3  TAMMY'S TOY 3 6 610½ 611½   59 58 (brown)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
6  ORLEANS STORM 6 1 57 59   615 617¾ (gonzalez donaciano)VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00 39.20  
 
TDN-7   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EMPIRE'S FIRE 1 3 1½ 1nk   13½ 11½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 50% 1.00 0.70 W
5  MR LOOOCH 3 1 31½ 32   23½ 21½ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 121 3.00 11% 8.00 4.30 P
4  STAGE NAME 2 4 45½ 46   45½ 31¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 2.50  
6  HIP HIP HOORAY 4 2 2½ 2nk   34½ 47¾ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 5.00 4.20  
SCR  OHIO PLAYER               (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  ROLL A QUARTERS               (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00    
 
TDN-8   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:141     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PALACE 1 5 42½ 3½ 2nk 1½ 11½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 10.00  
3  KEY TO SUCCESS 3 1 63 52½ 42¼ 34 21½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 0.10  
4  SUZY Q THE QUEEN 4 3 11½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 32½ (brown)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 6.00 14.70  
6  CANDYMONIUM 6 4 32 41½ 53¾ 58½ 48¼ (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 48% 1.10 6.90  
2  SHEWEARSMYRING 2 2 53 63 64¾ 69 510 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 121 4.50 16% 5.30 22.60  
5  KRABI 5 6 21½ 1nk 32 47 610 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 37.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.