Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (6/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS L J Jun22 Jun04 May01 Dec26 Nov20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
SCR  CHIEF BUCKEYE Jun26 Nov24 Oct28 Aug18 Jul08 (salcedo ra)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
SPECIALIZED Jun07 May18 Dec14 Nov14 Oct30 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
SIMPLY VALID Jun24 Jan25 Dec07 Nov21 Nov06 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILDCAT EXPRESS Jun18 May18 Mar11 Feb07 Dec26 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
OKLAHOMA JOE Jun17 May04 Apr09 Dec13 Nov30 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
WETZEL Jun22 May22 Dec28 Nov09 Oct23 (radosevich justi)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
EXCITEMENT Jun22 Jun07 May18 May04 Dec13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-2   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOAK AND DAGGER Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 May14 Apr14 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 117 8.00    
LAST COOKIE Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr23 Dec29 (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
BAXLEY Jun22 Oct07 Sep03     (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 50% 1.00    
GUT INSTINCT Jun22 Jun04 May14 Apr26 Mar23 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
BOURBON ON FIRE Jun24 Jun05 May14 Apr27 Apr13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GLOBAL PRIDE Jun24 Jun05 Apr29 Jan02 Dec18 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS Jun17         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 19% 4.10    
SKYPASS Jun19 May21 Mar24 Feb06 Jan25 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING SCAT Jun27 Jun13 May25 May10 Apr05 (mendieta alejandr)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 10% 8.80    
CHESS NOT CHECKERS Jun26 Mar13 Feb18 Jan24 Jan03 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS HALIME Jun26 Jun03 May09 Dec12 Nov09 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
PRANCIPANTS Jun26 May27 Apr23 Mar27 Mar13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jul01 Jun16 May27 May12 Nov13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 5.00    
VILLAGE QUEEN Jun26 Jun08 May15 Apr20 Mar30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
UNWHIRLED Jun13 May16 Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO EAGLE Jun25 Jun04 May15 Dec12 Nov07 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 4.50 5% 18.90    
PECKS NOT BAD Jun25 Jun04 May01 Apr04 Mar11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
NAMBITI Jun25 Jun11 May20 Apr29 Apr08 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
PLAY BALL Jul03 Jun22 Dec26 Nov14 Oct03 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  WEEKEND BUZZ Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr24 Mar18 (white t)CLEMENTE ALFRED 121 6.00    
POWERFUL PHIL Jun25 Jun04 May15 Apr24 Oct28 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-5   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MOBIL Jul02 Jun22 May27 May15 May04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50    
MONSTER HUNTER Jul03 Jun25 May14 Apr29 Apr02 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
PRIVATE DRIVE Jun22 Feb14 Jan23 Dec26 Dec14 (guidry terrance)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
RED COMET Jun27 Jun05 May18 May01 Apr02 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00    
VISUAL MISSION Jul02 Jun10 May08 Apr22 Apr04 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 7% 13.50    
SERVE REVENGE COLD Jun10 Jan02 Dec04 Nov07 Oct28 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
OAKS HONEY Jun10 May14 Apr22 Apr04 Jan08 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-6   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YIPPEE KI YAY May28 May07 Mar28 Feb24 Feb14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
AFLEET O ME Jun05 May09 Sep28 Sep18 Aug24 (flores christ)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
TAMMY'S TOY Jun27 May22 May01 Mar25 Mar06 (brown)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD MUSIC May30 May09 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Jun07 May06 Mar27 Mar12 Feb24 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 110 2.50    
ORLEANS STORM Jun19 May28 May21 May07 Apr24 (gonzalez donaciano)VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00    
 
TDN-7   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROLL A QUARTERS Jul04 Jun08 May04 Apr23   (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00    
SCR  OHIO PLAYER Jun22 May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb06 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
EMPIRE'S FIRE Jun07 May15 May01 Jul10 Jun15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 50% 1.00    
STAGE NAME Jul02 May20 Apr23 Jul29 Jun27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
MR LOOOCH Jun13 Jun04 May14 Dec04 Nov20 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 121 3.00 11% 8.00    
HIP HIP HOORAY Jun07 May15 Aug18 Jul10 Jun02 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 5.00    
 
TDN-8   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC PALACE Jun22 Jun03 May23 Apr03 Feb06 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
SHEWEARSMYRING Jul02 May21 Apr25 Apr13 Mar13 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
KEY TO SUCCESS Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr26 Mar09 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Jun03 May15 Apr30 Apr03 Mar13 (brown)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 6.00    
KRABI Jun28 May31 May12 Apr19 Mar09 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDYMONIUM Jun13 May30 May13 Sep14 Aug23 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.