Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
TDN-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.00  
TDN-3   Win (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
TDN-4   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-5   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-6   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $10.60  
TDN-7   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $16.00  
TDN-8   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY AND SHORTY 1 4 1½ 1nk   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 32% 2.20 2.80 W
REINVESTEDINTEREST 5 3 2½ 2nk   2 2 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 42% 1.40 0.50 P
STONE COLD CAT 3 5 77 6   3 36 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 10.00 16.10  
DASH OF FIRE 7 1 66 7   511½ 411¼ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 45.60  
STARS N SPACE 2 7 4 34   4 512¾ (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 6 2 5 58   613½ 617¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
OL' NED 4 6 33 4   718½ 728¾ (cline c)BRACHO A 119 6.00 15.40  
 
TDN-2   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK OUT LINE 1 7 64 6   2nk 1 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 5.50  
FABULOUS CLOWN 6 1 4 5   5½ 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 1.70 P
LARSA 3 5 22 2   61 32 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 22% 3.50 5.20 S
CHLOES ANGEL 2 6 5 43   4¼ 42 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 50% 1.00 2.90  
COWCHI 7 2 3 3   1nk 5 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 9.50  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 5 3 78 710¼   75 64 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 16.80  
HITCH CITY 4 4 12 1   3.2 7 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
 
TDN-3   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:171     1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 5 8 8 54 31 1½ 1 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.20 W
THELMA LUCILLE 3 1 5 6 2nk 2½ 2 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 4.00 16% 5.30 2.10 P
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 2 4 6 43 5 4 3 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 123 10.00 6.80  
VICTORIA COMMAND 4 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 3 412¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 15% 5.70 24.50  
SOMETHING LUCKY 1 5 1nk 2nk 6 613½ 519¼ (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 12.30  
THIRTY SOMETHING 8 3 4 31 4 5 621¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 3.00  
RALPH'S LIL' VICKY 7 7 7 8 7 715½ 729½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 21.70  
DEBBIE'S DREAM 6 6 31 7 814¾ 825½ 844½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  CORAL RIVERS               (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 5.00    
SCR  MI CANCION               (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 20.00    
 
TDN-4   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOYI 6 2 21 1nk   11 12 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 17% 5.00 1.50 W
GIZMO'S MISSION 5 4 11 2nk   21 22 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 6.30  
ON HIS TOES 3 3 31 3   33 3 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00 8% 11.30 11.00 S
ARMOR PIERCING 4 1 4 4   44 4 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 3.00 6.80  
THE RED MAN 1 6 610 612¾   67 5 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.50  
UNCAPTURED LYON 2 5 56 5   56 6 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 8.00 10.10  
 
TDN-5   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:14     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY LU WHO 5 3 35 3 1nk 12 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.20 W
LA ROSA 4 6 5 57 4¾ 22 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 1.60  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 2 4 23 2 2nk 32 3 (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 12% 7.40 18.00 S
HIGH FIRE 6 5 6 610 5 46 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 7.10  
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 1 1 13 1 3½ 58 516¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 17.70  
POWER BANKER 3 2 45 4 6 611½ 619 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
 
TDN-6   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOORHEES 1 4 22 1½   1 1½ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 4.30  
SKYHOOPER 2 1 32 2½   2 2½ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 1.30  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 3 3 4 42   3 3½ (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.80 S
RANSAM PAYNTER 4 2 12 3   414½ 417¼ (vecchio caryn)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 2.50 2.90  
SCR  FLAWLESS CAT               (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
SCR  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL               (rini anthony)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
 
TDN-7   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATABOUT 6 1 32 3   32 1¼ (murillo-rodrig)HALDAR J 123 4.50 7.00  
GAIL'S DANCER 5 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 5.70  
CAUSE OF LOVE 4 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 3¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 34% 1.90 0.20 S
STATE OF GRACE 1 5 4 4   4 4 (murillo a)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 25.90  
SOLE FACTOR 3 3 64 6   5 510½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 31% 2.20 11.40  
I GOT HOPE 2 6 5 5   610½ 611¾ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
 
TDN-8   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:142     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERBIER (IRE) 2 2 11 11 1 1 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 1.60 47% 1.10 0.10 W
JOHNNNY'S GAME 4 4 42 5 4 35 2 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 27% 2.70 12.10 P
STEVIE T 6 6 64 42 2 2 3 (faulkner rodney)BRACHO A 119 8.00 27.20  
SIR 7 5 53 21 3 46 4 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 8.90  
GOTTA GO GATOR 3 7 75 6 66 611 516½ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 35.90  
ELEGGUA 1 1 32 7 710 714 624½ (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 40.30  
MARSICO 5 3 21 31 54 511 726½ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 8.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.