Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(2/3/4)-(6/3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/3/4/7)-(1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/4/7)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/7)-(1/6/3)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/2/3)-(5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/3/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/3/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY AND SHORTY Jun25 Jun04 May15 Apr24 Oct12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
2  STARS N SPACE Jun27 May22 May07 Apr04 Mar06 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  STONE COLD CAT Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr23 Apr08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 10.00    
4  OL' NED Dec14 Nov27 Oct04 Sep06 Jul08 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 6.00    
5  REINVESTEDINTEREST Jun25 Jun04 May04 Apr04 Feb13 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Jul10 May28 May07 Oct21 Oct04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  DASH OF FIRE Jun25 Jun11 May22 Apr24 Apr02 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK OUT LINE Jul09 Jun10 Apr29 Apr04 Mar17 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
2  CHLOES ANGEL Jun27 Jan23 Jan01 Nov29 Nov01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  LARSA Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun26 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
4  HITCH CITY Jul04 May28 Apr30 Sep26 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARTIES CRYPTONITE May18 Apr04 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
6  FABULOUS CLOWN Jun27 Feb13 Dec30 Dec13 Nov28 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 ★    
7  COWCHI Jun10 Apr29 Mar17 Mar06 Feb27 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING LUCKY Jul01 Jun17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Jul01 Jun17 Feb19 Feb07 Jan23 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 123 10.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
3  THELMA LUCILLE Jul01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
4  VICTORIA COMMAND Jun12 May27 Oct28 Oct10 Sep21 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 15% 5.70    
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
SCR  MI CANCION Jun12 May27 May08 Feb19 Dec11 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
6  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Jun12 May27 May07 Apr22 Apr08 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  DEBBIE'S DREAM Jul01 Nov28       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZA out of MS. G Q by MERCER MILL)
8  RALPH'S LIL' VICKY Jul01         (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  THIRTY SOMETHING Jul01 Jun18 May29 May08 Apr08 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  CORAL RIVERS May07         (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 5.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TDN-4   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE RED MAN Jul03 Jun25 Jun08 May28 May07 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  UNCAPTURED LYON Jul03 Jun17 Nov16 Nov02 Oct09 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 8.00    
3  ON HIS TOES May15 Apr24 Apr09 Feb22 Jan27 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  ARMOR PIERCING Jun25 Jun08 May28 Jan15 Jan01 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
5  GIZMO'S MISSION Jun25 Jun08 May15 Jan15 Dec27 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
6  TOYI Jul03 Jun25 May28 May07 Apr24 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
TDN-5   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Jul04 Jun11 May28 Apr02 Mar12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 May18 May06 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  POWER BANKER May30 May04 Apr02 Mar13 Feb29 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LA ROSA Jun27 May30 May09 Sep30 Aug24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50    
5  WINDY LU WHO Jun19 May09 Apr30 Apr03 Mar18 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  HIGH FIRE Jun27 May30 May09 Apr13 Mar26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-6   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Jun25 Jun08 May28 May14 Apr19 (rini anthony)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
2  VOORHEES Jun25 Oct19 Oct05 Sep04 Aug08 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
SCR  FLAWLESS CAT Jun08 May14 Mar26 Mar04 Sep20 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
4  SKYHOOPER Jul08 Jun25 Apr19 Mar13 Feb21 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
5  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Jun27 Jun08 May18 May06 Feb01 (meyers shan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  RANSAM PAYNTER Jun25 Apr08 Mar28 Mar13 Feb22 (vecchio car)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Jul02 Jun13 May22 Mar27 Mar19 (murillo rodriguez)YARANGA Y 123 12.00    
2  I GOT HOPE Jun08 Apr04 Mar06 Feb27 Dec18 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SOLE FACTOR May21 Apr30 Apr11 Nov02 Sep18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE Jun27 Jun11 May21 May13 Apr30 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  GAIL'S DANCER Jun27 Jun08 Oct10 Aug22 Jul19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
6  CATABOUT Jun25 May18 May04 Apr24 Mar26 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGGUA Jun25 Jun08 May18 May01 Apr01 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
2  VERBIER (IRE) Jul05 Jun13 May23 May12 Apr26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  GOTTA GO GATOR Jun27 Jun08 Jul15 Jun23 May27 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOHNNNY'S GAME Jun27 Jun08 Mar08 Feb10 Jan21 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  MARSICO Jun25 Jun08 Sep20 Aug30 Aug08 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 ★    
6  STEVIE T Jun27 Jun15 May30 May01 Apr24 (faulkner rodn)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
7  SIR Jul08 Jun08 May14 Apr12 Mar22 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.