Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $7.40  
TDN-3   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
TDN-4   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $29.00 $29.00 23.00
TDN-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 10.20
TDN-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 6.60
TDN-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $9.40  
TDN-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPULENT WAYS 1 5 43 43   2½ 1 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40 W
IMMACULATE HEART 4 2 2 2   1½ 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 20% 4.10 2.50 P
SWEET BELEN 5 3 1 1   31 3 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
MORE MUCHO 3 4 5 5   4 45 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5.60  
HASTY LADY 2 6 6 610½   613 514 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 17.50  
SIERRA DIAMOND 6 1 3 3   59 614 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 3.60  
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE               (rotunno sydne)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-2   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WETZEL 2 6 5 5 4 2nk 1 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 2.70  
GONE IN A FLASH 1 4 32 32 31 31 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 33% 2.10 1.50 P
FIRST SONG 3 1 1 11 11 1nk 32 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50 3.00  
INDIAN FEVER 4 2 2 21 21 4 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 4.90 9.90  
MO DONT NO 5 3 4 42 5 5 5 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 3.00 4.70  
MANGA MAN 6 5 69 6 614¼ 615½ 619½ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 15.00 19.90  
 
TDN-3   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLAGE CAT 5 5 5 1nk   1 1¾ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 8.00 16% 5.10 3.10 W
HISTORYINTHEMAKING 1 6 3 32   2 2¾ (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00 3.60  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 3 3 6 6   4 3 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 4.20  
KISSING MEDALS 2 4 1 2nk   3 4 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 1.80  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 4 2 2 43   58 511¾ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 28% 2.60 15.20  
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 6 1 42 5   610 616¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
 
TDN-4   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HEAD KID 2 4 21 21   3.2 1 (fern)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50 W
ZAKARIA 5 2 11 11   1nk 2 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 13% 6.90 1.30 DQ↓4
DR. ZARNETT 6 1 42 42   4 32 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 3.50 5.80  
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 4 3 31 31   2nk 4 (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 62% 0.60 0.90 S
NO MAS CERVEZA 1 5 5 58   5 513¾ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 22.20  
ANIMO ROBERTO 3 6 6 610   613¾ 619¼ (gonzalez ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00 65.30  
 
TDN-5   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:134     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESS THE KITTEN 3 6 5 54 5 2nk 1½ (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 W
BOURBON WISDOM 6 4 4 31 2½ 1nk 2½ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 1.50  
CUGINE 2 3 3 4 4 4¾ 3 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 5.60  
BREEZY MONEY 4 2 1nk 11 1½ 3.2 4 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20  
EXONERATED PREZ 1 1 2nk 21 31 5 5 (genovese l)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 28% 2.60 13.70  
MASTER OF WAR 5 5 6 68 611½ 613¾ 618½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 24.90  
 
TDN-6   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:16     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEVICHE 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 12 12 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 7% 13.60 4.30 W
LA CUMPARSITA 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 22 22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 67% 0.50 0.50 P
TONALA 2 4 4 4 46 46 3 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 2.50  
RAINBOW SHIP 4 2 3 3 31 36 412½ (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 8.90  
SCR  ELIKA               (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
SCR  FIONA               (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50    
 
TDN-7   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME ENOUGH 1 3 42 3.2   14 1 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 3.70  
K P SILVER BULLET 3 5 53 5   4 2 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.00 P
FISHING FOR FUN 2 1 31 4   24 33 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 3.80  
PRACTICAL MAN 5 2 2½ 1nk   34 46 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 6.60  
MARLEY LUCK 4 4 1½ 2nk   5 519 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 30% 2.30 4.10  
SCR  BROADWAY JONES               (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED LYON               (erdel john)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEN DIESEL 3 3 43 2   1 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 1.80 41% 1.40 1.60 W
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 1 5 1 1   2 2 (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.60 P
ROAD TO STARDOM 4 2 6 6   6 35 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 29% 2.50 7.60 S
HITSVILLE 6 1 2 3   5 46 (brow)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 18.90  
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 2 6 32 5   3 5 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00 16.60  
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 5 4 5 4   4 6 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 0.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.