Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $7.70 $1.70 28%
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4-5 $35.50 $29.50 492%
TDN-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.20 $2.20 37%
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $29.00 $23.00 383%
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-2 $57.40 $48.40 538%
TDN-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $16.20 $10.20 170%
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-3 $38.30 $29.30 326%
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/5/2)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00  5-2-3 $878.40 $851.40 3153%
TDN-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $10.60 $6.60 165%
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-4 $9.00 $7.00 350%
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $35.50 $29.50 492%
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/1/3)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00  2-3-2 $427.80 $409.80 2277%
TDN-8   EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $20.50 $14.50 242%
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1-4 $97.80 $91.80 1530%
    PK5 (4/5/2)-(4/1/3)-(4/2)-(5/6)-(3/4/1) 108 $0.50 $54.00  2-3-2-2-3 $401.95 $347.95 644%
    PK6 (4/5/6)-(4/5/2)-(4/1/3)-(4/2)-(5/6)-(3/4/1) 324 $0.20 $64.80  5-2-3-2-2-3 $261.20 $196.40 303%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS 1 5 43 43   2½ 13¾ (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40 W
4  IMMACULATE HEART 4 2 21½ 21½   1½ 23¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 20% 4.10 2.50 P
5  SWEET BELEN 5 3 11½ 11½   31 34½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
3  MORE MUCHO 3 4 54½ 55½   44½ 45 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5.60  
2  HASTY LADY 2 6 68½ 610½   613 514 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 17.50  
7  SIERRA DIAMOND 6 1 31½ 32½   59 614 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 3.60  
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE               (rotunno syd)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-2   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WETZEL 2 6 57½ 54½ 41¼ 2nk 11½ (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 2.70  
1  GONE IN A FLASH 1 4 32 32 31 31 21½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 33% 2.10 1.50 P
3  FIRST SONG 3 1 11½ 11 11 1nk 32 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50 3.00  
4  INDIAN FEVER 4 2 21½ 21 21 41½ 43½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 4.90 9.90  
5  MO DONT NO 5 3 42½ 42 52¼ 53½ 53¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 3.00 4.70  
6  MANGA MAN 6 5 69 69½ 614¼ 615½ 619½ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 15.00 ★ 19.90  
 
TDN-3   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VILLAGE CAT 5 5 52¼ 1nk   13½ 1¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 8.00 16% 5.10 3.10 W
1  HISTORYINTHEMAKING 1 6 31½ 32   23½ 2¾ (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00 3.60  
3  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 3 3 68¼ 66½   47½ 33¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 4.20  
2  KISSING MEDALS 2 4 11½ 2nk   33½ 47½ (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 1.80  
4  LIGHTENING LOTTIE 4 2 21½ 43   58 511¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 28% 2.60 15.20  
6  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 6 1 42 54½   610 616¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
 
TDN-4   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED HEAD KID 2 4 21 21   3.2 11¼ (fe)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50 W
5  ZAKARIA 5 2 11 11   1nk 21¼ (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 13% 6.90 1.30 DQ↓4
6  DR. ZARNETT 6 1 42 42   43¾ 32 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 3.50 5.80  
4  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 4 3 31 31   2nk 42¼ (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 62% 0.60 0.90 S
1  NO MAS CERVEZA 1 5 53½ 58   59¾ 513¾ (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 22.20  
3  ANIMO ROBERTO 3 6 67½ 610   613¾ 619¼ (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00 65.30  
 
TDN-5   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:134     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLESS THE KITTEN 3 6 55¼ 54 51½ 2nk 1½ (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 W
6  BOURBON WISDOM 6 4 41¾ 31 2½ 1nk 2½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 1.50  
2  CUGINE 2 3 31½ 41½ 41½ 4¾ 31½ (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 5.60  
4  BREEZY MONEY 4 2 1nk 11 1½ 3.2 43¼ (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20  
1  EXONERATED PREZ 1 1 2nk 21 31 52¾ 53½ (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 28% 2.60 13.70  
5  MASTER OF WAR 5 5 67¾ 68 611½ 613¾ 618½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 24.90  
 
TDN-6   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:16     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CEVICHE 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 12 12 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 7% 13.60 4.30 W
4  LA CUMPARSITA 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 22 22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 67% 0.50 0.50 P
3  TONALA 2 4 44½ 46½ 46 46 36½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 2.50  
5  RAINBOW SHIP 4 2 32½ 32½ 31 36 412½ (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 8.90  
SCR  ELIKA               (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
SCR  FIONA               (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50    
 
TDN-7   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AWESOME ENOUGH 1 3 42 3.2   14 12¾ (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 ★ 3.70  
5  K P SILVER BULLET 3 5 53 52¼   44½ 22¾ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.00 P
4  FISHING FOR FUN 2 1 31 41¼   24 33 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 3.80  
7  PRACTICAL MAN 5 2 2½ 1nk   34 46 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 6.60  
6  MARLEY LUCK 4 4 1½ 2nk   56½ 519 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 30% 2.30 4.10  
SCR  BROADWAY JONES               (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED LYON               (erdel john)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEN DIESEL 3 3 43 21½   11½ 11¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 1.80 41% 1.40 1.60 W
1  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 1 5 11½ 11½   21½ 21¾ (skerrett j)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.60 P
4  ROAD TO STARDOM 4 2 63½ 66¼   66½ 35 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 29% 2.50 7.60 S
6  HITSVILLE 6 1 21½ 31½   55½ 46 (br)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 18.90  
2  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 2 6 32 52¾   33½ 56¼ (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00 16.60  
5  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 5 4 53½ 41¾   44½ 68¼ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 0.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.