Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-3   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS Jul08 Jun13 May30 Oct04 Sep20 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  HASTY LADY Jul08 Jun13 Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
3  MORE MUCHO Jul09 Jun18 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
4  IMMACULATE HEART Jul08 Jun13 Oct18 Aug23 Jul26 (shanyfelt valerie )RIVERA R 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
5  SWEET BELEN Jul22 Jul09 May30 May22 Mar28 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE Jul22 Jun18 May30 May08 Apr11 (rotunno sydne)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00    
7  SIERRA DIAMOND May04 Apr24 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-2   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Jun13 May15 Oct28 Oct06 Sep20 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
2  WETZEL Jul16 Jun22 May22 Dec28 Nov09 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
3  FIRST SONG Jun22 Jun10 May15 May04 Apr09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50    
4  INDIAN FEVER Jul09 Oct02 Aug28 Jan25 Dec30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  MO DONT NO Jul02 Jun13 May15 Oct28 Oct04 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
6  MANGA MAN Jul09 Jun22 Jun07 May27 May04 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HISTORYINTHEMAKING Jul09 Jun28 Jun18 May29 Feb21 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00    
2  KISSING MEDALS Jul09 Jun17 May28 May13 Apr22 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80    
3  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jul03 Jun10 May20 Oct02 Sep21 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.50    
4  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Jul18 Jul09 Jun18 May20 May08 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 28% 2.60    
5  VILLAGE CAT Jun18 Oct12 Sep14 Jul18 Jun14 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
6  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Jul10 Feb20 Jan10 Dec05 Nov06 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MAS CERVEZA Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May28 May15 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
2  RED HEAD KID Jun22 May23 May09 Nov30 Oct30 (fern)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANIMO ROBERTO Jul04 Jun19 May30 May07 Mar25 (gonzalez ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00    
4  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Jul10 Jun17 May20 Apr25 Oct28 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  ZAKARIA Jul10 Jun17 Feb20 Dec13 Nov14 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 13% 6.90    
6  DR. ZARNETT Jul10 Jun22 May27 May15 Nov30 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 3.50    
 
TDN-5   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXONERATED PREZ Jun26 May23 Apr23 Jan30 Jan01 (genovese l)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  CUGINE Jul09 Jun24 May20 Dec20 Nov29 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50    
3  BLESS THE KITTEN Jul15 May22 Apr22 Mar28 Mar07 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BREEZY MONEY Jul15 Jul03 Jan24 Dec21 Dec05 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  MASTER OF WAR Jul18 Jun27 Jun03 Nov13 Oct24 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 10.00    
6  BOURBON WISDOM Jul09 May30 Oct13 Sep18 Aug30 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
 
TDN-6   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIONA Jul10 Jun22 Jun03 May06 Feb13 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50    
2  CEVICHE Jul10 Jun22 Jun11 May27 May01 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 7% 13.60    
3  TONALA Jul01 May30 May08 Mar28 Mar12 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
4  LA CUMPARSITA Jul15 Jul03 Jun22 Jun03 May23 (bail)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 67% 0.50    
5  RAINBOW SHIP Jul03 Jun11 Apr30 Apr11 Feb13 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
SCR  ELIKA Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 Nov01 Oct23 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCAPTURED LYON Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 Nov16 Nov02 (erdel john)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
2  AWESOME ENOUGH Jul08 Jun13 May23 Apr25 Apr09 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  BROADWAY JONES Jul08 Jun17 May13 Mar20 Mar05 (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
4  FISHING FOR FUN Jul09 Dec06 Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
5  K P SILVER BULLET Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 May22 Apr30 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  MARLEY LUCK Jul08 Jun17 May27 May08 Apr13 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
7  PRACTICAL MAN Jul15 Jun10 May17 Apr15 Feb20 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.00    
 
TDN-8   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Jul08 Jun13 May21 Apr29 Jan30 (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jul08 Jun24 Jun07 May23 May09 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00    
3  BEN DIESEL Jul08 Jun22 Jun05 Apr26 Mar17 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  ROAD TO STARDOM Jun18 May27 Feb17 Jan21 Jan10 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 29% 2.50    
5  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Jul11 May21 May07 Apr14 Mar22 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60    
6  HITSVILLE Jul08 Jun13 May28 Jan30 Jan03 (brow)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.