Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $11.00  
TDN-2   Win (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.00  
TDN-3   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-4   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.80  
TDN-5   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $40.00 $40.00 36.00
TDN-7   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
TDN-8   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $15.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 2 5 1nk 1nk   1 1 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 4.50  
10  CHOCOLATE RABBIT 9 1 3½ 2nk   2 2 (overholt)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 14.50  
GOLDEN MONEY 4 4 5 4   43 32 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 9% 9.90 5.30 S
OAKEN 8 2 43 5   55 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 7% 13.00 2.00  
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 5 3 2nk 3.2   32 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 62% 0.60 2.10  
BEAT THE DEALER 3 7 8 7   79 6 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
SERENDIPITOUS 1 6 6 6   66 7 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00 27.30  
HOPPY GILMORE 6 9 9 911¼   810½ 8 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 24.60  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 7 8 7 811¼   911 910¾ (morales m)PEREZ A 123 10.00 44.40  
SCR  KARAMEL CORN               (tumb)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRIMPER 6 4 2 2½ 1nk 11 1½ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 117 3.00 0.50  
ORO DE MORO MORO 2 6 1 1½ 2nk 21 2½ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 7.90  
TIER ONE 8 3 4 31 3½ 32 3½ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 38% 1.60 18.80 S
OILER 7 5 7 7 55 57 4 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 12.00 25.80  
K P SILVER BULLET 5 2 6 4 4 45 5 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 31% 2.20 6.90  
CONTROLLER 3 7 8 86 8 69 6 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 9.00  
MASTER OF WAR 1 8 53 53 6 810½ 710½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 23.40  
TONKAWA SPRINGS 4 1 32 63 7 7 811 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
 
TDN-3   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC MO 3 2 11 1   14 1 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 15% 5.80 0.80 W
NICK CAN FIX 1 6 6 6   46 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70 1.80 P
SWEET LEMON DROP 5 4 31 2   24 3 (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.50 4.10  
ATTACK ANGLE 2 5 5 3   34 410½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 42.20  
ACCURATE 4 3 4 5   6 515¼ (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 2.00 17.70  
RED HOT POWER 6 1 21 43   59 615½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
SCR  NEBULOSA               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE MY WAY 5 1 42 41   1nk 1¾ (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 3.00 3.40  
MOMENT TO SHINE 2 4 1½ 1½   2nk 2¾ (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.40 P
MANAGING MISCHIEF 3 3 31 3½   4 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 S
CASTLE MAGIC 4 2 55 54   5 4 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 14.20  
GRACIE DANCE 1 5 2½ 2½   31 5 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
SCR  OUR LAST SONG               (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:15     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARLINTHEROUGH 1 1 610½ 6 510 55 11 (genovese l)PEREZ A 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.20 W
BEAUTY IN MOTION 4 3 1nk 11 14 13 21 (urieta johann)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 5.80  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 2 42 4 46 23 3 (faulkner rodne)HALDAR J 119 2.00 1.90  
CONTESSINA 3 6 5 5 3 44 4 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 9.70  
BLUEBIRD SING 6 5 31 32 24 34 5 (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 119 10.00 18% 4.50 16.30  
ELIKA 5 4 2nk 21 615 6100 6100 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
 
TDN-6   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARSH TRUTH 1 6 6 6   31 1 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 19.00 W
DRILIN' FOR GEMS 4 3 4 21   1½ 2 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 2.90  
SHOWTIME BOY 5 1 2nk 31   2½ 39 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 18.50  
LOTSA MATCHA 6 2 5 5   5 410¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 1.60  
WILDCAT PRIDE 3 4 3.2 4   6 511½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 72% 0.40 1.80  
NOAH MY BABY 2 5 1nk 11   42 614½ (poole m)BRACHO A 115 5.00 6.20  
 
TDN-7   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY DIVISION 4 4 5 2   11 1 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 3.00 9% 10.40 3.60 W
MUCHO PRIMO 2 5 2½ 42   32 2 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 3.50 2.90 P
FOREIGN 3 3 1½ 1   21 3 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00 S
THE MAN CAN 7 1 3½ 32   57 4 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 11.60  
BABA LOOEY 5 2 42 54   6 511 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 64% 0.60 0.90  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 1 7 7 7   4 612¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 11.90  
JACK BE FAST 6 6 6 65   710½ 713¼ (castillo jabd)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 12.00 22.50  
 
TDN-8   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:152     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNKY ONE 5 3 32 4 2nk 11 1 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 6.70  
TIERNEY 3 1 2 21 1nk 21 2 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 6.00 30% 2.30 3.10 P
FEELING EASY 1 5 4 3 5 36 310 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 43% 1.30 0.40 S
VERTISALUTE 2 4 54 53 4 4 419¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.50 8.00  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 4 2 1 11 3 510 523 (dacosta ja)FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 117 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.