Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $40.00 $36.00 900%
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-1 $58.10 $52.10 868%
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-2 $22.20 $13.20 147%
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-2-3 $149.40 $131.40 730%
    DD (3/1)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $178.00 $172.00 2867%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/1)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  1-1-4 $127.00 $109.00 606%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WORTHY OPPONENT 2 5 1nk 1nk   11½ 11¼ (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 ★ 4.50  
10  CHOCOLATE RABBIT 9 1 3½ 2nk   21½ 21¼ (overho)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 14.50  
4  GOLDEN MONEY 4 4 53½ 43¼   43 32 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 9% 9.90 5.30 S
9  OAKEN 8 2 43 55¼   55 42¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 7% 13.00 2.00  
5  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 5 3 2nk 3.2   32 54¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 62% 0.60 2.10  
3  BEAT THE DEALER 3 7 87¼ 79¾   79 67¾ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
1  SERENDIPITOUS 1 6 63¾ 68¾   66 78¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00 27.30  
6  HOPPY GILMORE 6 9 98¾ 911¼   810½ 89¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 24.60  
8  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 7 8 76¼ 811¼   911 910¾ (morales m)PEREZ A 123 10.00 44.40  
SCR  KARAMEL CORN               (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SCRIMPER 6 4 21½ 2½ 1nk 11 1½ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 3.00 0.50  
2  ORO DE MORO MORO 2 6 11½ 1½ 2nk 21 2½ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 7.90  
8  TIER ONE 8 3 42½ 31 3½ 32 3½ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 38% 1.60 18.80 S
7  OILER 7 5 75½ 74½ 55 57 43½ (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 12.00 25.80  
5  K P SILVER BULLET 5 2 64½ 41½ 41½ 45 54¾ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 2.50 31% 2.20 6.90  
3  CONTROLLER 3 7 85½ 86 88¾ 69 66½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 ★ 9.00  
1  MASTER OF WAR 1 8 53 53 66½ 810½ 710½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 23.40  
4  TONKAWA SPRINGS 4 1 32 63 76¾ 79½ 811 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
 
TDN-3   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLASSIC MO 3 2 11 11½   14 16½ (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 15% 5.80 0.80 W
1  NICK CAN FIX 1 6 66¼ 66½   46 26½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70 1.80 P
6  SWEET LEMON DROP 5 4 31 21½   24 37½ (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.50 4.10  
2  ATTACK ANGLE 2 5 51¼ 32½   34 410½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 42.20  
5  ACCURATE 4 3 41¼ 55½   69¼ 515¼ (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 2.00 17.70  
7  RED HOT POWER 6 1 21 43   59 615½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
SCR  NEBULOSA               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DANCE MY WAY 5 1 42 41   1nk 1¾ (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 3.00 3.40  
2  MOMENT TO SHINE 2 4 1½ 1½   2nk 2¾ (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.40 P
3  MANAGING MISCHIEF 3 3 31 3½   41¼ 31¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 S
4  CASTLE MAGIC 4 2 55 54   52¾ 41¾ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 14.20  
1  GRACIE DANCE 1 5 2½ 2½   31 54¾ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
SCR  OUR LAST SONG               (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:15     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLINTHEROUGH 1 1 610½ 69½ 510 55 11 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.20 W
4  BEAUTY IN MOTION 4 3 1nk 11 14 13 21 (urieta joha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 5.80  
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 2 42 42½ 46 23 32½ (faulkner rod)HALDAR J 119 2.00 1.90  
3  CONTESSINA 3 6 54½ 53½ 34½ 44 47¼ (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 9.70  
6  BLUEBIRD SING 6 5 31 32 24 34 58¾ (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 10.00 18% 4.50 16.30  
5  ELIKA 5 4 2nk 21 615 6100 6100 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
 
TDN-6   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARSH TRUTH 1 6 69¼ 64¾   31 12½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 19.00 W
4  DRILIN' FOR GEMS 4 3 42¼ 21   1½ 22½ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 2.90  
5  SHOWTIME BOY 5 1 2nk 31   2½ 39 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 18.50  
6  LOTSA MATCHA 6 2 52¼ 52¾   54½ 410¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 ★ 1.60  
3  WILDCAT PRIDE 3 4 3.2 41¼   64½ 511½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 72% 0.40 1.80  
2  NOAH MY BABY 2 5 1nk 11   42 614½ (poole m)BRACHO A 115 5.00 6.20  
 
TDN-7   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VICTORY DIVISION 4 4 52¼ 21½   11 13¾ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 3.00 9% 10.40 3.60 W
2  MUCHO PRIMO 2 5 2½ 42   32 23¾ (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 3.50 ★ 2.90 P
3  FOREIGN 3 3 1½ 11½   21 36¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00 S
7  THE MAN CAN 7 1 3½ 32   57 48¼ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 11.60  
5  BABA LOOEY 5 2 42 54   68½ 511 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 64% 0.60 0.90  
1  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 1 7 74¼ 75¼   44½ 612¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 11.90  
6  JACK BE FAST 6 6 63¾ 65   710½ 713¼ (castillo ja)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 12.00 22.50  
 
TDN-8   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:152     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPUNKY ONE 5 3 32 41½ 2nk 11 14¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 6.70  
4  TIERNEY 3 1 21½ 21 1nk 21 24¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 6.00 30% 2.30 3.10 P
2  FEELING EASY 1 5 42½ 31½ 52¼ 36 310 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 43% 1.30 0.40 S
3  VERTISALUTE 2 4 54 53 41¾ 48½ 419¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.50 8.00  
5  LIGHTENING LOTTIE 4 2 11½ 11 31½ 510 523 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN               (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 117 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.