Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/3)-(5/4/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/3)-(5/4/9/3/2)-(5/4/9/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/4/9/3)-(8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9/3)-(8/5/4)-(1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/4)-(8/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/4)-(8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/4)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4)-(1/4/7)-(2/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(2/3/1)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(1/6/5)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/1)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/4/3)-(2/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS Jan22 Jan02 Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
2  WORTHY OPPONENT Jul03 Jun11 May20 Oct28 Oct13 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 ★    
3  BEAT THE DEALER Jun12 Dec07 Nov14 Oct11 Sep25 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Jul04 Jun11 May27 Oct30 Sep27 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 9% 9.90    
5  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Jun26 Dec26 Dec12 Nov21 Oct28 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 62% 0.60    
6  HOPPY GILMORE May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 Jan31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
SCR  KARAMEL CORN Jul03 Jun25 May27 May14 May01 (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
8  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jul02 Jun22 May18 Oct28 Oct10 (morales m)PEREZ A 123 10.00    
9  OAKEN Jul04 Dec12 Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 7% 13.00    
10  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Nov06 Oct12 Sep01 Aug12 Aug01 (overho)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
 
TDN-2   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER OF WAR Jun27 Jun03 Nov13 Oct24 Oct06 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
2  ORO DE MORO MORO Jul02 Jun22 May30 May14 Apr30 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
3  CONTROLLER Jun22 May29 Jan01 Dec18 Nov30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 ★    
4  TONKAWA SPRINGS Jul08 May17 Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  K P SILVER BULLET Jun27 Jun04 May22 Apr30 Oct21 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  SCRIMPER Jun22 Jun05 May15 Apr13 Nov15 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
7  OILER Jun27 Jun15 Jun01 May22 Nov23 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
8  TIER ONE Jun28 Jun12 May14 May09 Nov29 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-3   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICK CAN FIX Jun25 Jun07 Mar20 Feb23 Nov21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  ATTACK ANGLE Jul03 Jun05 May20 Feb19 Feb06 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
SCR  NEBULOSA Jun25 Jun04 May15 Apr23 Oct13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00    
4  CLASSIC MO Oct13 Sep20 Sep04 Aug03 Jun20 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  ACCURATE Jan24 Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Oct12 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
6  SWEET LEMON DROP Jul03 Jun11 May20 Aug03 Jul11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
7  RED HOT POWER Jul02 Jun25 Jun12 Jun04 May22 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE DANCE Jul09 Jun13 May21 Sep05 Aug08 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOMENT TO SHINE Sep21 Jun11 Dec07 Nov16   (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  MANAGING MISCHIEF May11 Mar30 Feb28 Feb10 Jan13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  CASTLE MAGIC May21 Nov15 Oct30 Sep25 Aug15 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
SCR  OUR LAST SONG Jun19 May28 Oct02 Sep21 Aug31 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 8.00    
6  DANCE MY WAY Jul04 Jun04 May13 Apr12 Mar21 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
 
TDN-5   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLINTHEROUGH Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May15 Apr22 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jul04 Jun13 May21 Apr25 Apr13 (faulkner rod)HALDAR J 119 2.00    
3  CONTESSINA Jun24 Apr22 Apr04 Mar07 Nov07 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
4  BEAUTY IN MOTION Jul04 Jun10 May15 Apr25 Dec27 (urieta joha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50    
5  ELIKA Jul04 Jun17 Nov01 Oct23 Oct05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLUEBIRD SING Jun24 May29 Sep09 Jul01 Jun11 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 10.00 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-6   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARSH TRUTH Jun27 May28 May07 Feb24 Feb08 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  NOAH MY BABY Jun18 May07 Mar28 Mar14 Feb24 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 5.00    
3  WILDCAT PRIDE Jun18 May28 May07 Nov27 Oct25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 72% 0.40    
4  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jul01 Jun17 May28 May07 Apr22 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50    
5  SHOWTIME BOY Jun18 May28 Apr27 Nov27 Oct25 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
6  LOTSA MATCHA Oct10 May08 Mar20 Feb21 Jan19 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Jun25 Jun05 Apr29 Oct13 Sep27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
2  MUCHO PRIMO Jun26 Jun05 May14 May01 Jan01 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 3.50 ★    
3  FOREIGN Jun25 Jun11 May20 Feb27 Feb05 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  VICTORY DIVISION Jun25 Jun10 May27 May15 Apr22 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
5  BABA LOOEY Jun26 Jun04 May20 Jan24 Dec04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  JACK BE FAST Jul04 Jun25 Jun11 Jan02 Dec19 (castillo ja)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 12.00    
7  THE MAN CAN Jun25 Jun11 May27 May14 Apr23 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN Jun12 May27 May08 Nov28 Nov14 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 117 2.50    
2  FEELING EASY Jun28 Jun17 May29 May13 Apr22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  VERTISALUTE Jul01 Jun17 May27 Oct10   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.50    
4  TIERNEY Jun28 Jun12 May22 Nov30 Oct10 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Jul09 Jun18 May20 May08 Apr22 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPUNKY ONE Jun17 May29 May13 Apr22 Apr10 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.