Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (8/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.80 $1.80 23%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EKATI'S WAY 7 2 31½ 22   12 19¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 11% 8.30 0.30 W
8  COLOR BEARER 8 1 73 45   36 29¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 16.10  
2  ROLL A QUARTERS 2 6 11½ 12   22 311¼ (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 4.10  
5  WOLFINE 5 4 52¾ 77   711½ 413 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00 48% 1.10 12.50  
1  HARTSTEIN 1 5 41¾ 34½   46 513 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 20.50  
3  RUN RED RUN 3 7 62¾ 55   57 613¾ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 40.70  
6  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 6 3 21½ 66   68 714 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 4.00 12% 7.10 10.00  
4  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 4 8 88 815   816½ 818¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 92.30  
 
TDN-2   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROCKSTAR RO 7 2 56 22½   12½ 14¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 27% 2.80 3.90 W
5  SMOKIN' HOT 4 3 32½ 32½   33½ 24¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 4.00  
1  JOKEMEISTER 1 7 12½ 12½   22½ 34¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 15.20  
3  CRYO 3 8 66½ 65   44 44¾ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00 35.20  
9  REAL NAUGHTY 8 1 44 43   54 56¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 5.00 21% 3.90 0.70  
6  MAKING ME CRAZY 5 4 89½ 78½   79 611½ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
2  POWERFUL MOON 2 5 22½ 54   66½ 711¾ (ray)GIRON ALEJANDRO 121 10.00 73.00  
7  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 6 6 79 89½   811 829¾ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 24% 3.10 10.20  
SCR  THE DRAKE               (flores chri)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DISTORTED SECRETS 2 3 21½ 2nk   11½ 13¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 2.40  
6  WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 11½ 1nk   21½ 23¾ (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 10.20  
4  BLUSHING BETTY 3 4 43 31   31½ 33¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 53% 0.90 1.50 S
5  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 4 6 64½ 54   53½ 44¼ (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 6.00 11.40  
1  MALICED 1 5 31½ 43   42½ 55¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 4.50 12% 7.60 3.60  
8  R THREE ANGELS 6 2 54 66½   68½ 613½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
SCR  SONNET               (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT VISION               (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
 
TDN-4   07/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :474       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STREETS OF WAR 2 2 11 13   15½ 18½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 31% 2.20 0.40 W
  (by WAR OF WILL out of RUE DE L'ANGE by STREET SENSE)
1  ED'S REWARD 1 3 31½ 34½   25½ 28½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LEONA'S REWARD by PARENTS' REWARD)
3  CHALON'S FIRST 3 6 62½ 45   37 310½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 5.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of CHALON by DIALED IN)
4  JENN SWEET JENN 4 5 52 55½   58 413½ (rin)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 8.00 14% 6.20 26.20  
  (by DAK ATTACK out of GISELLE MA BELLE by INDIAN OCEAN)
6  MY BABY BULLET 5 1 21 23   48 517¼ (langley )FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00 30.70  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
7  SLEW CROWN 6 4 42 65½   610 620 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 21% 3.70 6.90  
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CLOUDY DAY by CROWN OF THORNS)
SCR  PAMMY SUE               (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 115 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CHARM CITY GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
TDN-5   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAHM TEQUILA 7 2 44½ 43   22½ 1nk (lopez enriqu)HALDAR J 123 2.00 3.00  
2  MON CAMO 2 3 31½ 31   12½ 2nk (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 33% 2.10 2.90 P
1  BAD LITTLE BEAST 1 6 66 58½   57¼ 32¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 1.80 10% 9.50 3.20 S
4  FIRST CITIZEN 4 5 21 2½   32½ 42¾ (jackson r)PEREZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.50 1.70  
6  MASTER 6 1 11 1½   42¾ 57 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 15.00 13.40  
3  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 3 7 76½ 79   610¼ 67¼ (schuster ro)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 15.00 41.60  
5  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 5 4 55 69   711¾ 713 (winters michell)FELICIANO R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 43.90  
 
TDN-6   07/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:141     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOUSED 2 1 21 2½ 2nk 12 15½ (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 0.20  
4  GRAND DEAL 3 3 32 44 45½ 36 25½ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 10.00 16.30  
1  CAPTURE MI 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 22 36¾ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 17.60 11.80 S
5  PLEASANT VALIANT 4 4 42½ 32 33 47 47¾ (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.50  
SCR  ARMOR PIERCING               (vlaun m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 1.60    
 
TDN-7   07/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:143     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WORKING HOLIDAY 7 3 42 3½ 2nk 11 11 (trevino g)PEREZ A 115 5.00 16.20  
4  SURPRISED GEM 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 21 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.70 P
2  QADIRA 2 2 2½ 2½ 35 35 35¾ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 18% 4.50 0.40 S
1  UNESCORTED 1 7 53 64¾ 69½ 410½ 48 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 35% 1.80 4.70  
5  MO RISSA 5 4 31 42 58 513½ 516 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 12.00  
6  HEART OF THE BEAST 6 6 65 52¼ 47 617½ 631¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 10.00  
3  MALI BALI 3 5 711 716¾ 721½ 728 742 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 15% 5.60 9.60  
 
TDN-8   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOUD PRINCESS 6 3 32 31   2nk 12½ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 41.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
8  VAL'S TWINSTAR 8 1 21 1nk   1nk 22½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 49% 1.10 0.60 P
  (by TWINSPIRED out of FABLED STAR by OFFLEE WILD)
3  MANDAVILLA 3 8 811¼ 89½   55½ 32½ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 13.30  
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
2  ROLLIN FREEDOM 2 5 42½ 43   43½ 42¾ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 47.60  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
5  JUSTWORTHASHOT 5 6 54 65½   65¾ 56¼ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
4  SMARTASSET 4 4 11 2nk   32½ 68¼ (cline c)RIVERA R 123 4.50 9% 10.50 5.10  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
7  J. P INDY 7 2 64 54   77¼ 710½ (cline rober)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 31.20  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  FLAME FOR REAL 1 7 74¼ 76½   88¼ 813¼ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 22% 3.50 2.60  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.