Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-2   Win (8/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
TDN-3   Win (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.80  
TDN-4   Win (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-5   Win (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $8.00  
TDN-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $2.40  
TDN-7   Win (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $34.40  
TDN-8   Win (8/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $84.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EKATI'S WAY 7 2 3 22   12 1 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 2.50 11% 8.30 0.30 W
COLOR BEARER 8 1 73 45   36 2 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 16.10  
ROLL A QUARTERS 2 6 1 12   22 311¼ (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 4.10  
WOLFINE 5 4 5 77   711½ 413 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00 48% 1.10 12.50  
HARTSTEIN 1 5 4 3   46 513 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 20.50  
RUN RED RUN 3 7 6 55   57 613¾ (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 40.70  
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 6 3 2 66   68 714 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 4.00 12% 7.10 10.00  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 4 8 88 815   816½ 818¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 92.30  
 
TDN-2   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 7 2 56 2   1 1 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 27% 2.80 3.90 W
SMOKIN' HOT 4 3 3 3   3 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 4.00  
JOKEMEISTER 1 7 1 1   2 3 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 15.20  
CRYO 3 8 6 65   44 4 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00 35.20  
REAL NAUGHTY 8 1 44 43   54 5 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 5.00 21% 3.90 0.70  
MAKING ME CRAZY 5 4 8 7   79 611½ (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
POWERFUL MOON 2 5 2 54   6 711¾ (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 121 10.00 73.00  
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 6 6 79 8   811 829¾ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 24% 3.10 10.20  
SCR  THE DRAKE               (flores christ)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED SECRETS 2 3 2 2nk   1 1 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 2.40  
WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 1 1nk   2 2 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 10.20  
BLUSHING BETTY 3 4 43 31   3 3 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 53% 0.90 1.50 S
TIZ INDEPENDENCE 4 6 6 54   5 4 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 123 6.00 11.40  
MALICED 1 5 3 43   4 5 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 4.50 12% 7.60 3.60  
R THREE ANGELS 6 2 54 6   6 613½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
SCR  SONNET               (rotunno r)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT VISION               (jackson r)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
 
TDN-4   07/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :474       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREETS OF WAR 2 2 11 13   1 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 31% 2.20 0.40 W
ED'S REWARD 1 3 3 3   2 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
CHALON'S FIRST 3 6 6 45   37 310½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 5.10  
JENN SWEET JENN 4 5 52 5   58 413½ (rini )GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 8.00 14% 6.20 26.20  
MY BABY BULLET 5 1 21 23   48 517¼ (langley jo)FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00 30.70  
SLEW CROWN 6 4 42 6   610 620 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 21% 3.70 6.90  
SCR  PAMMY SUE               (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 115 15.00    
 
TDN-5   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAHM TEQUILA 7 2 4 43   2 1nk (lopez enrique )HALDAR J 123 2.00 3.00  
MON CAMO 2 3 3 31   1 2nk (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 33% 2.10 2.90 P
BAD LITTLE BEAST 1 6 66 5   5 3 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 1.80 10% 9.50 3.20 S
FIRST CITIZEN 4 5 21 2½   3 4 (jackson r)PEREZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.50 1.70  
MASTER 6 1 11 1½   4 57 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 15.00 13.40  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 3 7 7 79   610¼ 6 (schuster robi)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 15.00 41.60  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 5 4 55 69   711¾ 713 (winters michelle)FELICIANO R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 43.90  
 
TDN-6   07/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:141     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSED 2 1 21 2½ 2nk 12 1 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 0.20  
GRAND DEAL 3 3 32 44 4 36 2 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 10.00 16.30  
CAPTURE MI 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 22 3 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 17.60 11.80 S
PLEASANT VALIANT 4 4 4 32 33 47 4 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.50  
SCR  ARMOR PIERCING               (vlaun man)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 1.60    
 
TDN-7   07/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:143     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKING HOLIDAY 7 3 42 3½ 2nk 11 11 (trevino g)PEREZ A 115 5.00 16.20  
SURPRISED GEM 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 21 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.70 P
QADIRA 2 2 2½ 2½ 35 35 3 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 18% 4.50 0.40 S
UNESCORTED 1 7 53 6 6 410½ 48 (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 35% 1.80 4.70  
MO RISSA 5 4 31 42 58 513½ 516 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 12.00  
HEART OF THE BEAST 6 6 65 5 47 617½ 631¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 10.00  
MALI BALI 3 5 711 716¾ 721½ 728 742 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 15% 5.60 9.60  
 
TDN-8   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD PRINCESS 6 3 32 31   2nk 1 (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 41.40  
VAL'S TWINSTAR 8 1 21 1nk   1nk 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 49% 1.10 0.60 P
MANDAVILLA 3 8 811¼ 8   5 3 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 13.30  
ROLLIN FREEDOM 2 5 4 43   4 4 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 47.60  
JUSTWORTHASHOT 5 6 54 6   6 5 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
SMARTASSET 4 4 11 2nk   3 6 (cline c)RIVERA R 123 4.50 9% 10.50 5.10  
J. P INDY 7 2 64 54   7 710½ (cline robert )PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 31.20  
FLAME FOR REAL 1 7 7 7   8 813¼ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 22% 3.50 2.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.