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Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

BAQ-1			WIN	(7/5/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$16.20			$10.20				170%
			EXA	(7/5/1)-(7/5/3/1)						9	$1.00	$9.00	5-7		$15.30			$6.30				70%
			TRI	(7/5/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)						18	$0.50	$9.00	5-7-1		$75.37			$66.37				737%
BAQ-2			DD	(7/5/1)-(3/4/6)						9	$1.00	$9.00	5-3		$25.25			$16.25				181%
BAQ-3			PK3	(7/5/1)-(3/4/6)-(8/9/7/6)						36	$1.00	$36.00	5-3-9		$94.50			$58.50				163%
BAQ-6			EXA	(9/1/6/4/2)-(9/1/6/4/2)						20	$1.00	$20.00	1-4		$22.10			$2.10				11%
			TRI	(9/1/6/4/2)-(9/1/6/4/2)-(9/1/6/4/2)						60	$0.50	$30.00	1-4-9		$35.75			$5.75				19%
BAQ-9			WIN	(5/2/4/8)						4	$2.00	$8.00	8		$30.00			$22.00				275%
			DD	(9/1/6/3)-(5/2/4/8)						16	$1.00	$16.00	1-8		$73.00			$57.00				356%

Simulator Race results


BAQ-1			09/21/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($90K)			2		ALL		PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	COMES A TIME									(cox brad)SANTANA JR 119						3.50		17%		4.80		7.10	W
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of BACHELORS WALK by STREET CRY (IRE))
7	ROOKIE CARD									(gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119						1.20		58%		0.70		0.40	P
		(by ADIOS CHARLIE out of GLAMALERT by VINDICATION)
1	FEVER NIGHT									(mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119						12.00		5%		19.00		36.50	S
		(by CURLIN out of POR QUE' TE QUIERO by A.P. INDY)
6	TRACKING ERROR									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119						5.00						21.70
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of GUIDONIA by SCAT DADDY)
3	FUN TO TAP									(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119						4.50		★				4.20
		(by TAPIT out of PLENTY O'TOOLE by RAISE A CUP)
4	BESTFRIEND ROCKET									(mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119						15.00						16.60
		(by CURLIN out of NOBLE AND A BEAUTY by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
2	AU CONTRAIRE									(antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 119						8.00						19.80
		(by TAPIT out of DREAM RUSH by WILD RUSH)

BAQ-2			09/21/2024		3960ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K)					Purse ($95K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	TWENTY SIX BLACK									(de h)SANTANA JR 125						2.50		32%		2.10		1.65	W
7	BIZ BIZ BUZZ									(maker mich)RIVERA R 121						8.00						18.40
2	ANACONDA									(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121						3.50						2.05
6	RUNNINGWSCISSORS									(schettin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123						6.00		7%		14.20		6.20
4	STEADY ON									(pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 121						6.00		22%		3.60		3.85
1A	BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB)									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121						8.00						9.50
1	HEAVEN STREET									(jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 121						8.00						9.50
SCR	ALPINE THUNDER									(padilla-preciado )RIDER TBA 123						1.60
SCR	STRAIGHT ARROW									(dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121						4.50
SCR	VACATION DANCE									(kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121						12.00

BAQ-3			09/21/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($36K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	COMMERCE COMET									(barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123						4.00		13%		6.60		3.05	W
1	JAKE ROCKS									(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121						2.00						2.95
5	THANK YOU JON									(romero)MARAGH RAMSAY 123						12.00						10.80
8	AFTERNOON HEAT									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121						4.50		42%		1.40		4.60
7	EMERALD FOREST									(baker char)RIVERA R 121						10.00		7%		13.50		10.70
2	ALWAYS CHARMING									(klesaris robert )RUIZ JORGE 121						8.00						22.60
4	GANGLY									(kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121						6.00						2.85
6	BRONX BOMBER									(barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 121						20.00		7%		14.10		20.60
SCR	BOURBON CALLING									(padilla-pre)NUNEZ Y 123						2.00
SCR	SAGAMORE MISCHIEF									(rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121						12.00

BAQ-4			09/21/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($65K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	EMIRATES ROAD									(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124						2.50		17%		5.00		1.05	W
3	NIGHT EFFECT									(samsundar )RIVERA R 124						6.00						8.60
1	UNSTABLE PRINCE									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124						5.00		7%		13.30		10.90	S
7	BRIGADE COMMANDER									(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122						3.00		44%		1.30		2.85
4	STORMING CHROME									(de h)SANTANA JR 124						10.00		5%		17.50		21.30
6	STRAPPED									(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122						4.00						5.40
5	J J'S JOKER									(de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 122						20.00						44.75
2	MR. PAPAGIORGIO									(dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120						10.00						23.50

BAQ-5			09/21/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($75K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	BOBBY M'S GIRL									(duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120						3.00		32%		2.10		2.55	W
		(by SKY MESA out of DANIELLE'S PRIDE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
6	AUTUMN									(martin ca)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124						4.00		★				4.00	P
		(by CONSTITUTION out of SAMSATIONAL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7	GALLANT GRETA									(maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120						2.50		32%		2.10		1.75	S
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
5	ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY									(gargan d)SANTANA JR 120						10.00						17.70
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
8	DANCIN JANE									(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120						8.00		11%		7.90		7.50
		(by FREUD out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
3	SHE'S A NATURAL									(sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117						30.00						54.00
		(by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
4	BOMB SQUAD									(clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124						8.00						10.70
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DAISY CUTTER by J P HAMER)
9	LUNA PATINA									(duggan dav)RIVERA R 120						12.00						28.00
		(by MALIBU MOON out of SOLO SURVIVOR by PLEASANT TAP)
1	IN ALL MY DREAMS									(dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120						12.00		5%		19.00		26.50
		(by MALIBU MOON out of HADRIANA by BODEMEISTER)
10	TIZALLMINE									(metivie)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115						30.00						93.75
		(by MINESHAFT out of TIZALLHEART by LION HEART)
SCR	CAPITAL SPENDING									(abreu jo)SANTANA JR 120						4.50
		(by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDY BELLE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR	EMPIRE MAGIC									(gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120						2.00
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of MAJESTIC HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)

BAQ-6			09/21/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SMILE MON									(atras ro)SANTANA JR 122						3.50		16%		5.10		3.15	W
4	YORK TAVERN									(potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115						8.00		5%		19.00		12.30	P
9	BEARY FUNNY									(maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122						4.00		50%		1.00		3.10	S
5	ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE									(serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124						15.00						46.00
8	IRIE MAN									(baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118						12.00						11.40
7	CHALKY CAT									(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122						2.00						1.60
6	ICE ROAD									(rodrigu)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						8.00		5%		19.00		10.80
3	OCTOBER BLISS									(brown bruc)RIVERA R 124						20.00						46.75
10	I LOVE CARA									(barrer)GRISALES DANILO 124						20.00						41.75
2	PAYNTER'S PRODIGY									(diprim)MARAGH RAMSAY 118						15.00		5%		19.00		46.00

BAQ-7			09/21/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($75K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	MAN IN FINANCE									(gargan dan)RIVERA R 119						10.00						5.10
		(by CENTRAL BANKER out of NICOLE'S MISS EL by ELTISH)
1	KENNY BE									(duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 119						10.00		5%		19.00		7.20	P
		(by COMPLEXITY out of STAY COMPOSED by BERNSTEIN)
5	PROBABILITY									(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119						3.50		67%		0.50		2.15	S
		(by IMPROBABLE out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
4	CORVUS									(jimenez j)CAMACHO JR 119						10.00		7%		14.00		15.20
		(by VINO ROSSO out of DOLORES WESTWORLD by SCAT DADDY)
11	DARK MAGIC									(mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 119						15.00						19.60
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of HEAVENLY THOUGHT by WAR FRONT)
6	HAVE A CIGAR									(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119						8.00						5.10
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIVIERA CHIC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9	SUNDAY GILT									(englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 119						6.00		5%		18.50		15.20
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
12	LIBERTY RISING									(quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119						12.00						26.75
		(by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
2	REVIVALISM									(weaver george)NAVARRO KEVIN 119						15.00						21.30
		(by AUDIBLE out of SOUTHERN STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
7	CADDIEMASTER									(de h)SANTANA JR 119						8.00		★				5.10
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of DEMOCRAT TAXES by CATIENUS)
10	HURRICANE BAIN									(baker charlton)LUZZI J 119						30.00						75.75
		(by FROSTED out of TWELVE TOES by NOT THIS TIME)
SCR	DAYTONA GOLD									(mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119						6.00
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of WAVE OF GLORY by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR	HANG ON FORTHERIDE									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119						4.50
		(by IMPROBABLE out of ELLIE'S SMILE by TAPIT)
SCR	HIT THE POST									(giddings m)RIVERA R 119						6.00
		(by KANTHAROS out of MEMENTO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	SKYTOWN									(terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 119						4.50
		(by ECHO TOWN out of TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR	TWOHONESTMISCHIEF									(ferraro james )LUZZI J 119						30.00
		(by HONEST MISCHIEF out of RAPIDO GATTA by ADIOS CHARLIE)

BAQ-8			09/21/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC12	FIRM	Noble Damsel					Purse ($175K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	OCEAN CLUB									(sisterso)SANTANA JR 124						3.50		21%		3.90		2.40	W
		(by CURLIN out of THEATRE STAR by WAR FRONT)
2	FIVE TOWNS (GB)									(motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124						6.00						4.30
		(by LORD KANALOA out of GUILTY TWELVE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6	BREATH AWAY (GB)									(clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122						8.00		10%		8.60		5.60	S
		(by BATED BREATH out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
5	ALLURING ANGEL (GB)									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122						6.00						3.20
		(by FASTNET ROCK out of ALL OF ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3	POCA MUCHA									(mott i)CARMOUCHE K 124						10.00		5%		19.00		22.60
		(by TOURIST out of LOST BADGE by BADGE OF SILVER)
9	MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE)									(brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122						4.00		40%		1.50		4.10
		(by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7	ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE)									(cox h)RIVERA R 122						10.00						10.30
		(by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	EDICT (ARG)									(donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126						12.00
		(by IL CAMPIONE out of STORMY VALERY by BERNSTEIN)
SCR	MOVIE MOXY									(rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122						2.50
		(by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR	SAFFRON MOON									(brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122						4.00
		(by MALIBU MOON out of CROCUS HILL by GREEN DANCER)
SCR	SIGNAL FROM NOISE									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122						3.50
		(by ARROGATE out of HOLIDAY SOIREE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)

BAQ-9			09/21/2024		3960ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($90K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	WUDHOOH									(pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121						10.00		5%		19.00		14.00	W
		(by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RAASIKHA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11	MONTEGO BAY (IRE)									(mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121						12.00						9.90
		(by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
9	FANCY QUALITY (GB)									(mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 121						12.00						10.00
		(by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7	FUNDAMENTALLY									(brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						6.00						6.00
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of IMPRINT by QUALITY ROAD)
1	COIF									(brown ch)SANTANA JR 121						5.00		★				4.80
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAYWORTH by ARCH)
4	OUT TOO LATE (GB)									(maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121						4.50		5%		19.00		3.00
		(by EXPERT EYE out of MISS ATOMIC BOMB by INTIKHAB)
2	STRIFE									(clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 121						4.00		20%		4.10		5.80
		(by WAR FRONT out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
5	SHOP LIFTING									(rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121						3.00		53%		0.90		4.10
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
6	AWAIT									(pletcher todd )LUZZI J 121						12.00						30.00
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of MINNELLI by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3	MY EXECUTIVE SWEET									(huertas )DAVIS A 124						50.00						93.00
		(by MICROMANAGE out of STROLL BY by STROLL)
SCR	CHARDAN									(doyle g)DAVIS KATIE 121						15.00
		(by MORE THAN READY out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
SCR	FASHION VICTIM									(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121						5.00
		(by TAPIT out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)

BAQ-10			09/21/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($92K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	REDDINGTON									(barker ed)CAMACHO JR 122						15.00						36.25
10	CLASSIFY									(joseph a)CARMOUCHE K 124						4.00		10%		8.70		4.10	P
2	GENERAL BANKER									(ferraro ja)RIVERA R 124						10.00						13.30
5	CHILENO									(rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122						6.00						7.40
12	ESCALATION CLAUSE									(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122						8.00						4.90
11	REYNOLDS CHANNEL									(mott i)DAVIS KATIE 120						3.50		29%		2.40		4.10
9	KEY POINT									(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124						4.00		31%		2.20		3.00
6	D DAY SKY									(giangiu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113						30.00						70.25
4	PRINTRACK									(rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122						12.00		8%		11.40		17.40
8	FIERY HEART									(hennig mark)NAVARRO KEVIN 122						50.00						######
13	J D FACTOR									(dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120						30.00						68.75
7	KYSER									(salazar )SANTANA JR 122						50.00						57.50
1	EXCELLENT TIMING									(noda or)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						15.00		5%		19.00		14.70

BAQ-11			09/21/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($80K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	RABAJA									(bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 120						3.50		★				4.70
2	B D SAINTS									(maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118						12.00						8.10
6	DOLLY'S BANK									(winne)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122						30.00						38.00
1	EZ ROLL									(morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118						8.00		★				4.60
3	FAKE CELEBRITY									(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122						3.50		7%		12.60		3.20
8	AMERICAN GRANT									(brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122						12.00						22.00
5	TOMACON									(duggan dav)RIVERA R 120						20.00		5%		19.00		47.25
11	BLAME IT ON DADDY									(de h)SANTANA JR 122						12.00						14.30
7	COURTLY BANKER									(tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120						2.50		69%		0.50		2.30
12	WITHIN VIEW									(sells rac)CAMACHO JR 118						20.00						67.25
10	A LISTER									(pringle)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						30.00						76.75
9	KING FREUD									(rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118						30.00						66.25
SCR	RUSSIAN REALM									(gargan danny)RIDER TBA 120						1.40
SCR	SLAPINTHEFACE									(dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 122						3.00
SCR	WILLINTORISKITALL									(d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 122						6.00
SCR	WINE RESPONSIBLY									(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118						8.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
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