Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (8/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (7/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (9/1/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (9/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (5/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (9/11/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-11   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEVER NIGHT         (mcpeek kenne)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
AU CONTRAIRE         (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
FUN TO TAP         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
BESTFRIEND ROCKET Jul27         (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
COMES A TIME         (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
TRACKING ERROR         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
ROOKIE CARD Aug24         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.20 58% 0.70    
 
BAQ-2   09/21/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVEN STREET Aug15 Jul04 May27 Apr20 Feb10 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
1A  BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Sep11 Jun13 May12 Apr21 Mar09 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 8.00    
ANACONDA Sep05 Jul15 Jun10 May06 Apr15 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50    
TWENTY SIX BLACK Aug24 Jul12 Jun08 May18 Jul20 (de hor)SANTANA JR 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
STEADY ON Sep01 Jul20 Jun23 Apr01 Mar04 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  VACATION DANCE Aug24 Jun15 Mar01 Nov18 Oct27 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
RUNNINGWSCISSORS Aug24 Jul26 Jun23 May11 Apr07 (schettino d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 6.00 7% 14.20    
BIZ BIZ BUZZ Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 May05 Dec31 (maker michae)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
SCR  STRAIGHT ARROW Nov24 Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 Aug23 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  ALPINE THUNDER Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 Jun12 Apr21 (padilla-preciado er)RIDER TBA 123 1.60    
 
BAQ-3   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS Sep01 Jul26 May11 Apr19 Apr05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING Sep01 Jul26 Jun21 May26 May02 (padilla-preci)NUNEZ Y 123 2.00    
ALWAYS CHARMING Nov30 Oct01 Sep04 Jul15 Jun17 (klesaris p)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jun29 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Mar21 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
GANGLY Sep01 Jul12 Mar31 Dec24 Oct22 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
THANK YOU JON Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May17 May05 (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
BRONX BOMBER Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 May05 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 121 20.00 7% 14.10    
EMERALD FOREST Aug29 Jul19 Jun09 May10 Apr05 (baker charlt)RIVERA R 121 10.00 7% 13.50    
AFTERNOON HEAT Aug29 Jul26 Jul07 Jun27 May19 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 4.50 42% 1.40    
COMMERCE COMET Aug22 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 Nov16 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
BAQ-4   09/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSTABLE PRINCE Aug17 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Apr21 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 7% 13.30    
MR. PAPAGIORGIO Aug07 Jun15 Jun07 May10 Apr19 (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00    
NIGHT EFFECT Jul31 Jul18 May27 May18 Apr27 (samsundar ro)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
STORMING CHROME Aug17 Jun22 May18 Apr28 Mar30 (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 5% 17.50    
J J'S JOKER Aug11 Jun29 May12 Mar10 Feb19 (de h)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
STRAPPED Aug31 Jul27 May18 Oct07 Sep28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
BRIGADE COMMANDER Aug23 Jul21 May27 Apr19 Mar07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
EMIRATES ROAD Aug30 Aug02 Jun29 May27 Feb02 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN ALL MY DREAMS Aug25 Jun08 Apr26     (dutrow ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY M'S GIRL Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 Jun08   (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
SHE'S A NATURAL Jul05 Jun14 Apr21 Apr14 Mar22 (sciacca g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 30.00    
BOMB SQUAD Sep02 Aug01 Nov05 Jul29 Jun17 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Jul27 Jul05 Nov02 Sep15   (gargan dann)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00    
AUTUMN Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 Jun08 Apr25 (martin carl)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.00    
GALLANT GRETA Aug25 Aug02       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
DANCIN JANE Sep02         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
LUNA PATINA Aug25 Jun14 May04 Mar22 Mar02 (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
10  TIZALLMINE Aug24         (metivier )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
SCR  CAPITAL SPENDING Aug25 Jul27 Jun21 May25 Apr25 (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
SCR  EMPIRE MAGIC Aug24 Jul07 May24     (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE MON Sep01 Aug17 Jun08 Apr18 Feb18 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Aug24 Jul25 Jan06 Nov11   (diprima )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
OCTOBER BLISS Sep02 Jul25 Jul14 Jun22 May09 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 124 20.00    
YORK TAVERN Aug18 Jul14 Jul05 Jun15 May23 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Aug21 Jul20 Jun08 May05 Mar22 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
ICE ROAD Aug21 Jun28 Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 (rodriguez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHALKY CAT Aug16 Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00    
IRIE MAN Sep01 Aug16 Jul24 May25 May10 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
BEARY FUNNY Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun14 May18 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
10  I LOVE CARA May02 Apr19 Mar16 Feb29 Jan19 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNY BE         (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
REVIVALISM Aug01         (weaver george)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 15.00    
SCR  HANG ON FORTHERIDE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
CORVUS Aug03 Jul12       (jimenez jos)CAMACHO JR 119 10.00 7% 14.00    
PROBABILITY Aug03         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 67% 0.50    
HAVE A CIGAR         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
CADDIEMASTER Jul07         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
MAN IN FINANCE         (gargan danny)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SUNDAY GILT         (englehart jeremia)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 5% 18.50    
10  HURRICANE BAIN         (baker charlton)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
11  DARK MAGIC Aug30         (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
12  LIBERTY RISING         (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
SCR  SKYTOWN Aug21         (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50    
SCR  HIT THE POST Sep02         (giddings mel)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
SCR  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Sep02         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
SCR  DAYTONA GOLD         (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 Noble Damsel Purse ($175K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN CLUB Aug31 Jul20 Jun15 May18 Mar23 (sisterson j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
FIVE TOWNS (GB) Aug10 May18 Apr20 Mar23 Feb24 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00    
POCA MUCHA Jul31 Dec30 Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EDICT (ARG) Jun16 May24 May12 Mar16 Feb17 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 12.00    
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Jun20 Nov12 Apr14 Nov27 Oct01 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
BREATH AWAY (GB) Aug16 Jun20 May17 Dec23 Nov05 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) Aug16 Jul06 May26 Dec26 Dec03 (cox h)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
SCR  SAFFRON MOON Nov23 Oct07 Aug17 Dec24 Apr27 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00    
MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) Aug14 Jul04 Apr21 Nov04   (brown chad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Sep01 Jul14 Jun21 Aug30 Jul30 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/21/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COIF Jul14 Jun16 May17     (brown chad)SANTANA JR 121 5.00    
SCR  FASHION VICTIM         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
STRIFE Aug23 Jul14 Jun16 Apr28   (clement chr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
MY EXECUTIVE SWEET Aug17         (huertas ni)DAVIS A 124 50.00    
OUT TOO LATE (GB) Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 Aug13   (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
SHOP LIFTING Aug22 Jun30 May27 Nov19 Nov04 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
AWAIT         (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
FUNDAMENTALLY Sep21 Aug05       (brown chad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00    
WUDHOOH Aug11 Jul21 Jun15 Mar29   (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
FANCY QUALITY (GB)         (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
SCR  CHARDAN Aug22 Jun28 Apr28 Mar31   (doyle g)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
11  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) Aug25 Jul14 Jun06 Sep17   (mott willi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCELLENT TIMING Jun27 Jun09 May02 Apr12 Mar10 (noda orla)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
GENERAL BANKER Aug28 Jul27 Feb17 Jan28 Jan18 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
REDDINGTON Jul25 Jun27 Jun01 May19 Apr06 (barker edwa)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00    
PRINTRACK Aug10 Jul25 Jun30 Apr27 Mar30 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 8% 11.40    
CHILENO Mar29 Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 Jul13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
D DAY SKY Aug17 Jul21 May18 Apr05 Jan13 (giangiuli)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
KYSER         (salazar ma)SANTANA JR 122 50.00    
FIERY HEART Jul08 Jun11 Nov14 Oct09 Sep20 (hennig mark)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 50.00    
KEY POINT Aug01 Sep24 Aug26 May12 Apr01 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  CLASSIFY Aug23 Jul19 May27 May04 Mar31 (joseph a)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
11  REYNOLDS CHANNEL Aug24 Jul13 Jun15 May19 Apr18 (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
12  ESCALATION CLAUSE Nov11         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
13  J D FACTOR Aug18 Jun17 May05 Mar24 Jan28 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-11   09/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ ROLL Aug15 Jul27 Jun20 Apr28 Nov03 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
B D SAINTS Aug25 Aug15 Jul18 Jun06 Dec16 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
FAKE CELEBRITY Oct27 Sep04       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 7% 12.60    
RABAJA Aug24 Jul27 Jun14 Apr27 Nov03 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
TOMACON Aug15 Jul11 Apr20 Mar24   (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DOLLY'S BANK Aug29 Jul28 Jun30 May27 Apr27 (winney )HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
COURTLY BANKER Aug15 Jul18 Jun16 Apr27 Mar31 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50 69% 0.50    
AMERICAN GRANT Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Jun07 Apr28 (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
KING FREUD Aug04 Jun30 Jun14 May27 Apr28 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
10  A LISTER Aug04 Jul05 Jun22 May03 Mar21 (pringle e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
11  BLAME IT ON DADDY Feb03 Nov11 Oct20 Aug03 Jul02 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
12  WITHIN VIEW Aug11 Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 May17 (sells rache)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE Aug24 Jul28 Jun20 Nov19 Oct27 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  WILLINTORISKITALL Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 May27 Sep17 (d'angelo)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN REALM Aug15 Jun29 May11 Mar24   (gargan danny)RIDER TBA 120 1.40    
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY Aug16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.