Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-9   WIN (5/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $25.80 $17.80 223%
    EXA (5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-9 $30.80 $18.80 157%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DAVID'S SONGS 6 1 14 1   13 15 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 38% 1.60 0.80 W
MASKED MAN 4 5 45 34   23 25 (sacco d)BRAVO J 119 4.50 5.10  
SILVER POCKET 1 3 5 5   4 3 (cash ru)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 20.40  
ARTETA 5 2 24 2   36 410¾ (weaver georg)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.50  
REGULAR ARMY 2 6 613½ 613½   613½ 518¼ (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00 6.90  
WARD LEADER 3 4 34 4   512½ 625 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00 7% 12.40 22.30  
SCR  EGYPTIAN QUEST               (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.00    
SCR  FRANKIE G               (cash ru)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 12.00    
SCR  OMINOUS DUDE               (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00    
SCR  SIG               (rivera justin)LUNDIE KEVIN 123 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIE BREAKER 6 3 31 1nk   1 1 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 24% 3.20 0.80 W
XCELLENT MEN 1 6 43 32   2 2 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50 21% 3.80 2.00 P
KERN RIVER 5 1 21 2nk   33 37 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00 18% 4.50 18.40 S
QUINCY MARKET 2 4 54 6   49 410½ (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 5.60  
IT'S A PITY 4 5 77 7   510 510½ (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00 61.40  
PAPA DO PAPA DO 3 7 65 55   710½ 617¾ (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00 26.60  
DUDEWITHANAME 7 2 11 4   610½ 724 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 6.00 11.30  
 
MTH-3   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND HEIST 1 2 31 2nk   1 1 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 5.90  
AGARRAMESIPUEDES 4 4 510½ 59   5 2 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 2.00  
CONGRESSMAN 3 1 11 1nk   2 35 (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 121 2.00 70% 0.40 0.80 S
BIG BEEMSTER 5 3 4 32   3 4 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50 9.20  
RYAN'S FLEET 2 5 21 43   4 511¾ (leung carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
SCR  THESEGUYSGOTGAME               (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 3.00    
 
MTH-4   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:161 1:294   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE GLOW 4 3 4 3 2nk 1nk 1nk (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 48% 1.10 0.90 W
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNLIT FOREST by BERNARDINI)
10  WOLF BEACH 6 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 2nk (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 20.00 7.60  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHANNEL PRINCESS by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
STONINGTON 3 5 3 4 4 34 3 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00 11% 8.40 4.50 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of AUNT SALLY by LITTLE BELIE)
BRIGHT ANGEL (IRE) 5 6 6 6 6 5 4 (davis e)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00 11% 8.40 14.20  
  (by DARK ANGEL out of WITNESSED by AUTHORIZED)
PARLAY FOR DESTINY 2 1 5 5 54 45 57 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00 4.30  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of SWEET DESTINY by STRONG PERFORMANCE)
UNCLE TIMMY 1 4 1½ 1½ 31 6 611¼ (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 5.80  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOMETHINGELSE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
SCR  DIRAND (IRE)               (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 5.00    
  (by SOTTSASS out of UNAIDED by DANSILI)
SCR  EARLY ADOPTER (GB)               (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of SILK SARI by DALAKHANI)
SCR  EXTRAORDINARY ONE (GB)               (davis d)COTTO L 117 15.00    
  (by MAYSON out of UTRINQUE PARATUS by SEA THE MOON)
SCR  OUTRUNNER               (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GALE FORCE by CAT THIEF)
SCR  PLEASANT FANTASY               (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of STARSHIP FANTASY by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
MTH-5   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:231 :47 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO 2 3 4 3   2½ 11 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 4.50 7.10  
LARAMORE 1 2 11 11   1½ 21 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 3.00 23% 3.30 1.80 P
FOREST MAIDEN 5 4 53 53   5 3 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 3.50 3.80  
CEDAR VALLEY 6 1 21 21   3 4 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
BULLET ON TAP 3 5 32 42   4 5 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 5.00 6.30  
OSCAR GAZE 4 6 64 6   6 6 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 26% 2.90 2.10  
SCR  MISS CASEY               (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
 
MTH-6   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREETHIRTYTHREE 7 3 2½ 31 3½ 1nk 1 (hernandez jo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 12% 7.20 1.60 W
DUAL MONARCHY 6 5 42 5 2nk 2nk 2 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 5.00 2.90  
YORK TAVERN 3 1 5 41 1nk 3 3 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00 9.60  
CURLINS CRUZIN 2 4 3 1½ 4¾ 4 410 (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00 16% 5.20 6.50  
INDEPENDENT PAUL 1 2 1½ 2½ 5 5 513¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 3.50 41% 1.50 3.40  
SHEER DOMINANCE 4 7 712½ 712 712¼ 712½ 614¼ (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 4.50 9.70  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 5 6 6 63 6 610½ 719½ (jones eduardo )TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00 31.30  
SCR  PAL               (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
 
MTH-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:214 :454 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S K MOON 6 2 27 23   13 1 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 123 3.50 8% 12.00 1.90 W
I WANT RUFFLES 1 7 38 3   23 2 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 15% 5.80 1.60 P
BAHAMIAN BABY 7 3 713 710¾   56 3 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 8.00 11.90  
AZTECA STARDUST 4 6 512 610½   67 4 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 10.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
APPLE SAUCY 3 5 612 510½   7 5 (yanez )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 20.00 25.70  
JAMS TOP SHELF 2 4 49 4   45 611¼ (jennings jose)IORIO MELISSA 118 30.00 30.80  
MARYVIC 5 1 17 13   35 718¾ (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 57% 0.80 2.30  
SCR  PESADILLA CHANEL               (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  VALENTINA SKY               (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY DECISION 4 1 1½ 1½   11 1 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.00 1.20  
QUEEN TAPITURE 6 5 6 31   21 2 (hernand)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
CANDY ARCADE 5 6 52 53   44 3 (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 8% 11.90 12.60 S
PARISIAN VIBE 7 4 2½ 2½   34 4 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00 16.20  
PONTIFFANY 2 3 31 43   5 5 (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 19.50  
SASSY CHARLEE 3 2 42 6   6 612¾ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 60% 0.70 2.50  
TAPIT'S GIRL 1 7 7 7   7 715½ (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 3.80  
SCR  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND               (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS               (mazza j)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  THE FURMANATOR               (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
 
MTH-9   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT THUNDER 3 7 7 7   5 1hd (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90 W
PARADISE VALLEY 8 2 4 1nk   1½ 2hd (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 9% 10.20 1.20 P
RIVER DOG 1 6 1½ 2nk   2½ 3½ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 5.70  
LET'S GO MARK 7 1 5 4   3 4 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 12.00 22.20  
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 4 3 2½ 3½   4 5 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 9.40  
FLYING LIAM 6 4 6 6   7 66 (margotta antho)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00 11.00  
EASY ACTION 2 5 31 52   6 7 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 25% 3.10 3.60  
GREELEY AND BEN 5 8 8 8   810½ 812¾ (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 35% 1.90 9.20  
SCR  YOUNG SQUIRE               (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
 
MTH-10   08/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYCOON (GB) 4 3 24 2½ 1nk 1½ 1 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 1.00  
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 3 2 34 31 2nk 2½ 2 (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.50 44% 1.30 3.10 P
ACHILLES HEEL 2 5 4 41 5 3 3 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 3.50 4.40  
BRASSTOWN 6 1 14 1½ 3 44 46 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 6.00 7.00  
DURKIN'S CALL 5 4 5 5 43 57 517 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 12% 7.70 11.70  
GLIDING AFLEET 1 6 6 6 618¼ 622 644¼ (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 11% 8.50 10.50  
SCR  CUMBERLAND BLUES               (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00    
SCR  PREDICTED               (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.