Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (10/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/5/3)-(10/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/5/3)-(10/5/3)-(10/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-9   WIN (5/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER POCKET Jun22         (cash russ)BOCACHICA J 114 8.00    
REGULAR ARMY Nov04         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
WARD LEADER         (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00 7% 12.40    
MASKED MAN         (sacco d)BRAVO J 119 4.50    
ARTETA Jul07 May16 Apr06 Sep01 Jul15 (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  FRANKIE G Jun16 Jun01 Jul23 Jul01   (cash ru)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 12.00    
SCR  SIG Jul06 Jun02 May18 Feb03 Oct08 (rivera justin)LUNDIE KEVIN 123 10.00    
SCR  EGYPTIAN QUEST Jul31 Jul04 Dec05 Oct27 Oct12 (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.00    
SCR  OMINOUS DUDE Jul13 Jun09 May04     (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00    
10  DAVID'S SONGS May23 Apr27 Apr04 Mar01 Feb03 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 38% 1.60    
 
MTH-2   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XCELLENT MEN Aug07 May19 Apr11 Mar24 Mar09 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
QUINCY MARKET Jul27 Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar29 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
PAPA DO PAPA DO Jul20 Jul07 Apr24 Feb29 Feb01 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S A PITY Jul27 Jul10 Jun16 Jun03 May14 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00    
KERN RIVER Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 Jan01 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00 18% 4.50    
TIE BREAKER Jul27 Jul13 May09 Apr18 Jul21 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
DUDEWITHANAME Aug09 Jul19 Jul07 May27 Aug13 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 6.00    
 
MTH-3   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THESEGUYSGOTGAME Jul17 Jun21 Jun02 May06 Mar20 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 3.00    
DIAMOND HEIST Aug07 Mar22 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00    
RYAN'S FLEET May29 May30 May10 Apr17 Mar13 (leung carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
CONGRESSMAN Aug03 Jun09 Feb18 Jan06 May07 (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 121 2.00 70% 0.40    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Mar30 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
BIG BEEMSTER Feb05 Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 Oct24 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50    
 
MTH-4   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIRAND (IRE)         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 5.00    
  (by SOTTSASS out of UNAIDED by DANSILI)
UNCLE TIMMY Jul27         (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOMETHINGELSE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
SCR  OUTRUNNER         (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GALE FORCE by CAT THIEF)
PARLAY FOR DESTINY Jul28         (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of SWEET DESTINY by STRONG PERFORMANCE)
STONINGTON         (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by HARD SPUN out of AUNT SALLY by LITTLE BELIE)
JUNGLE GLOW Jul27 Jun21       (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNLIT FOREST by BERNARDINI)
BRIGHT ANGEL (IRE)         (davis e)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00 11% 8.40    
  (by DARK ANGEL out of WITNESSED by AUTHORIZED)
SCR  PLEASANT FANTASY Aug04         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of STARSHIP FANTASY by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  EARLY ADOPTER (GB)         (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of SILK SARI by DALAKHANI)
10  WOLF BEACH Jul27         (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHANNEL PRINCESS by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  EXTRAORDINARY ONE (GB) Aug14         (davis d)COTTO L 117 15.00    
  (by MAYSON out of UTRINQUE PARATUS by SEA THE MOON)
 
MTH-5   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARAMORE Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr17 Apr02 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 3.00 23% 3.30    
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Jul14 Apr02 Mar18 Feb21 Feb07 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 4.50    
SCR  MISS CASEY Aug11 Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Apr24 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
BULLET ON TAP Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 Apr30 Apr22 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
OSCAR GAZE Jul14 Jun30 Jun07 Apr10 Mar13 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
FOREST MAIDEN Jul14 Jun21 Jun08 May14 Apr02 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 3.50    
CEDAR VALLEY Jul04 May27 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEPENDENT PAUL Jul14 May18 May12 Apr20 Apr05 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 3.50 41% 1.50    
CURLINS CRUZIN Jul22 Jun25 Jun09 Mar23 Feb29 (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
YORK TAVERN Jul14 Jul05 Jun15 May23 Apr25 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00    
SHEER DOMINANCE Jul24 Jul06 May21 May08 Apr01 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 4.50    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Aug03 Jul24 Jul06 Jun30 Jun14 (jones eduardo )TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DUAL MONARCHY Jul14 Jun23 May25 May01 Apr11 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 5.00    
SCR  PAL Jul13 Jul04 Jun21 May26 Oct13 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
THREETHIRTYTHREE Jul13 Jul06 Jun02 Apr13 Mar10 (hernandez jo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
MTH-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VALENTINA SKY         (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50    
I WANT RUFFLES Mar27 Mar06 Feb03 Dec03   (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
JAMS TOP SHELF Jun22 Jul30 Jun18 May27 Nov17 (jennings jose)IORIO MELISSA 118 30.00    
APPLE SAUCY Aug07 Jun30 Jun02 May03 Apr21 (yanez )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  PESADILLA CHANEL Aug11 Oct26       (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
AZTECA STARDUST Aug04 Jul06 Jun21 May26 May02 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
MARYVIC Jul27 Jul14 Apr27     (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 57% 0.80    
S K MOON Aug04 Jul28 Jul12 Jul06 Jun22 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 123 3.50 8% 12.00    
BAHAMIAN BABY Aug04 Jul27 Apr28 Mar30 Feb24 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 8.00    
 
MTH-8   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE FURMANATOR Jul28 Jun26 Jun11 May06 Apr23 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
TAPIT'S GIRL Jul28 Jun29 Jun22 May25 Sep06 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00    
SCR  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Jul04 Jun20 Jun08 Nov24 Nov02 (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00    
PONTIFFANY Jul27 Jul03 Jun17 May27 Apr24 (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
SASSY CHARLEE Jul28 Jun28 Apr24 Mar24 Feb11 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
HOLIDAY DECISION Aug03 Jul07 Feb10 Dec18 Jul26 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.00    
CANDY ARCADE Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 May26 Apr19 (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
QUEEN TAPITURE Aug03 Jul26 Jun30 May18 Sep01 (hernand)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
PARISIAN VIBE Aug04 Jul04 Jun22 Apr24 Apr02 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Jul19 Jun15 Jun08 Feb08 Jan31 (mazza j)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
 
MTH-9   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER DOG Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar24 Oct16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
EASY ACTION Apr05 Mar03 Jan27 Nov11 Sep22 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
GOT THUNDER Aug10 Jul25 Jul18 May11 Apr27 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Jul20 Jul07 Jun30 May26 Mar30 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
GREELEY AND BEN Jul19 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 Dec23 (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
FLYING LIAM Jul05 Jun23 Mar03 Dec26 Nov19 (margotta antho)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00    
LET'S GO MARK Aug10 Jun29 Feb11 Jan06 Dec20 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 12.00    
SCR  YOUNG SQUIRE Jun25 Jun08 Apr22 Mar20 Feb09 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
PARADISE VALLEY Jul08 Jun11 Nov20 Oct27 Oct13 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 9% 10.20    
 
MTH-10   08/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PREDICTED Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 May18 May04 (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00    
GLIDING AFLEET Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar20 Mar03 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 11% 8.50    
ACHILLES HEEL Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 May26 Mar20 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 3.50    
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Aug03 Jul27 May25 Mar17 Feb11 (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
TYCOON (GB) Aug11 Jun29 Apr29 Apr08 Mar12 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 May18 Sep22 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00    
DURKIN'S CALL Aug11 Jul27 Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 12% 7.70    
BRASSTOWN Aug03 Jun29 Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.