Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
SAR-2   Win (1/6/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $26.00  
SAR-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 2.50
SAR-4   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $18.80 $18.80 12.80
SAR-5   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
SAR-6   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 2.10
SAR-7   Win (7/1/12/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
SAR-8   Win (2/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
SAR-9   Win (10/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
SAR-10   Win (5/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $29.00 $29.00 21.00
SAR-11   Win (8/2/1/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Seeking Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCELERATING 3 1 1 1   1 14 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 1.60 52% 0.90 0.40 W
CARMEN'S CANDY JAR 4 3 4 3   3 24 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 2.90  
CENTRAL TO SUCCESS 1 2 2 2   2 3 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
TRAIL OF GOLD 2 4 34 46   412 413¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 10.80  
SCR  BELLACOSE               (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:214 :46 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPITAPH 9 4 1½ 11   1 11 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 12.00  
ANNEXPERIENCE 1 8 9 88   5 21 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.50 3.15 P
MORE THERAPY 6 10 109 98   43 3 (dutrow w)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 17% 4.80 4.80 S
BLAMEITONTHESTONES 2 3 6 5   6 42 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
CALLING CARD 5 2 4 4   33 5 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 6% 14.60 3.10  
SWIFT MAGIC 3 1 33 34   2 6 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 8% 11.60 2.55  
DOOMED 4 9 8 6   8 76 (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 16.20  
10  BRIMSLEY 10 7 7 10   9 8 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 30.00 36.25  
JOEVIA'S FIRST 7 6 55 77   1012¼ 913¼ (sacco d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 27.00  
KILLYBEGS KID 8 5 2½ 21   7 1014 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 119 20.00 42.25  
SCR  BURNING MUNNY               (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
SCR  DAYTONA GOLD               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  ROCKED OUT               (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD               (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 6.00    
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF               (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 30.00    
 
SAR-3   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER SATIN 5 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 24% 3.20 3.25 W
BOURBON CHASE 3 4 4 2½   2½ 2¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 34% 2.00 2.95 P
DR. KRAFT 4 6 63 6   3 3 (englehart chris)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 2.20  
ELYSIAN MEADOWS 2 3 5 52   4 46 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 3.45  
POMPOUS PRINCE 6 1 3 3½   54 59 (ferraro anthon)COA J 126 12.00 5% 17.70 14.30  
BARESE 1 5 2½ 41   66 610¾ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 8.30  
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND               (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM West Point Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:114 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA GOLD 1 5 5 55 5 5 1hd (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 12.80 8.40 W
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 4 4 4 4 4 1½ 2hd (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 0.50 64% 0.60 0.40 P
CITY MAN 2 3 3 32 32 4 31 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 3.60  
JERRY THE NIPPER 5 2 1 1 1½ 31 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA 3 1 2 2 2½ 2½ 53 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 15.00  
 
SAR-5   08/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Albany Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:381   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANDAGATE 3 5 55 57 5 1 11 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 0.80 45% 1.20 0.70 W
DOC SULLIVAN 5 3 4 4 4 2 21 (miceli michael)CASTELLANO J 124 1.60 33% 2.00 1.45 P
LIBERTY CENTRAL 4 2 31 32 3 44 3 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 11.30  
AGGELOS THE GREAT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 3 412 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
B D SAINTS 2 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 58 512 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 19.70  
SCR  SKYLER'S STARSHIP               (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTE'S HEART 2 7 67 66   4 1 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 26% 2.90 3.05 W
TAHILA 4 4 54 5   5 2 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 49% 1.10 1.95 P
BAM'S BLISS KISS 6 1 1 1   11 32 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 8.30  
PERUGIA (IRE) 5 5 2 2   21 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 3.55  
11  KYLA'S KAUSE 8 3 32 3   31 5 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 4.20  
FROGHOLLOWSUMMER 3 2 4 43   6 6 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 119 20.00 41.00  
10  INFASTUATION 7 8 811 812½   8 710 (ryerson t)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 24.00  
VINO PAELLA 1 6 7 712   7 810¼ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
SCR  BLUE EYED SCOUT               (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  BOURBON BLANKET               (begg bentley)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  DEFLECTION POINT               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
SCR  GRACE AND GRIT               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00    
SCR  KAY CUP               (abreu r)RIDER TBA 119 3.50    
SCR  SERIOUS LADY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE THEFT               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  WILD MISCHIEF               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
 
SAR-7   08/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:134 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSY MORNING 10 5 54 54 53 3 11 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 23% 3.30 2.95 W
11  ROAGNA 8 11 10 118 106 4 21 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
12  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO 9 12 11 97 8 63 31 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 10% 8.60 3.40 S
SHE TAKES CASH 4 4 4 43 3 11 4 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 10.70  
LADY JASMINE 1 2 3 3 42 5 53 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 39.00  
STARTS NOW 2 3 6 6 63 95 6 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 9.10  
10  GRAM 7 8 9 108 74 8 7 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
14  CHASING DAYLIGHT 12 9 2 2 2½ 21 8 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 40.25  
ISLAND FOX 5 7 8 86 95 7 96 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 41% 1.50 3.85  
KANNON FIRE 11 10 1210¾ 1210 1210½ 1110¼ 10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 27.25  
LET'S CONNECT 6 6 7 7 11 1010 1110½ (mann m)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00 35.25  
JANNIE MAE 3 1 1 1 1½ 1210¾ 1213 (ferraro anthon)COA J 125 50.00 41.50  
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG               (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 50.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY               (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
SCR  SILENT MELODY               (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
SCR  TONGUE TWISTER               (handal raymond)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fleet Indian Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:143 1:39   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDED 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.75 W
DOLOMITE 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 18% 4.40 2.50 P
MY SHEA D LADY 1 5 3 32 43 34 3 (david a)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 9.40  
CALL HER BLUFF 4 3 4 42 54 4 46 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 20.10  
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 7 6 64 6 6 57 57 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 6.00 13% 6.60 2.45  
SWEET BROWN SUGAR 6 7 7 7 7 67 67 (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
MAGGY'S PALACE 5 4 53 5 33 7 712 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 22.90  
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE               (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  MY MANE SQUEEZE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.60    
 
SAR-9   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Funny Cide Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MO PLEX 7 2 21 21   3½ 1hd (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
SOONTOBEKING 6 3 4 4   1nk 2hd (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 12.20  
THE TONER 2 7 7 6   5 3 (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 20.60  
IN THE CHASE 5 1 11 11   2nk 4 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6.80  
MCDIESEL 4 5 5 3   42 5 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 32.25  
MI BAGO 3 4 31 52   6 6 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
SMILENSAYCHEESE 1 6 6 712½   7 79 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 26% 2.80 2.30  
SCR  BOSTONTONIAN               (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
SCR  FRIDAY SURPRISE               (st u)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  UNDER WHO'S RADAR               (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
 
SAR-10   08/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Yaddo Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:122 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONAGE DAYDREAM 6 2 2 21 2½ 1 1 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 8% 11.00 13.50 W
MARVELOUS MAUDE 8 5 7 75 6 6 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 7% 14.30 5.50 P
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 3 8 6 6 5 5 3 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 7.10  
STONEWALL STAR 5 1 32 42 4 3 4 (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 18.70  
SILVER SKILLET 4 4 53 32 3 2 5 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 46% 1.20 1.00  
VENTI VALENTINE 7 3 1 11 1½ 4 6 (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 8% 11.70 19.50  
LISA'S VISION 2 7 8 87 75 7 7 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 28.75  
SPINNING COLORS 1 6 43 5 8 821¼ 838 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 3.65  
SCR  SNOWY EVENING               (donk david)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
 
SAR-11   08/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:121 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH END LADY 1 1 9 7 56 3.2 1hd (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 15% 5.70 3.00 W
10  BOBBY M'S GIRL 10 9 4 4 3 1nk 2hd (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.40 P
GALLANT GRETA 3 3 8 9 99 5 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 4.90  
AUTUMN 8 5 2nk 1 12 2nk 4 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 29% 2.40 4.80  
11  TOP OF THE TABLE 11 10 6 5 7 6 5 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 42.75  
LUNA PATINA 5 6 10 1010¾ 11 8 6 (duggan david)RIVERA R 118 15.00 39.00  
CAPITAL SPENDING 2 2 5 6 6 7 7 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 18% 4.50 3.60  
SAINTE CHAPELLE 6 12 1113½ 1212¼ 1212¾ 9 8 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 16.30  
IN ALL MY DREAMS 9 8 73 8 88 109 911¾ (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 14% 6.00 10.60  
12  SINEAD 12 11 3 2 22 4 1015½ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 9.20  
ADDAGIRL ADDIE 4 7 1214½ 1110¾ 10 1112 1116¾ (davis g)LUZZI J 118 30.00 61.75  
STARSINTHECITY 7 4 1nk 3 4 1213 1219¾ (rice linda)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 31.50  
SCR  DUBAWI WOWIE               (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE               (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL               (sciacca gary)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00    
SCR  TOUR JETE               (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.