Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.94 $9.94 1.94
CD-2   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.88 $6.88 2.88
CD-3   Win (3/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.22 $12.22 4.22
CD-4   Win (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
CD-5   Win (7/9/3/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $9.70 $9.70  
CD-6   Win (2/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $24.16  
CD-7   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.06 $3.06  
CD-8   Win (5/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.04 $5.04  
CD-9   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.94 $13.94 7.94
CD-10   Win (12/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $4.72 $4.72  
CD-11   Win (11/1/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $6.72 $6.72  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:212 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE ON GRACE 1 2 31 32½   1½ 13¾ (demeritte l)BEALMEAR C 112 3.50 38% 1.60 3.97 W
8  LA BUKANA 6 1 1½ 21½   3½ 23¾ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 11% 8.40 2.35 P
11  STREAKING 9 4 2½ 11½   2½ 34¼ (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★ 3.34 S
4  MOM'S CHEESECAKE 3 5 73 64   44 46¾ (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 21.90  
9  CO HEART 7 7 99¼ 88¼   67 59½ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 27.94  
3  TAKE WINGS 2 6 41½ 74¼   77¼ 612 (lynch a)NELSON TYRONE 119 8.00 23% 3.40 5.87  
6  SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN 5 9 63 42½   55 712½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 3.90  
5  TON A LAUGHS 4 8 89 98¾   810¼ 815 (anderson l)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.90  
10  MADAME MARKIEVICZ 8 3 52 53   911¼ 923 (desormeaux kei)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 28.07  
SCR  HONEYBEEBOBBIE               (gonzalez)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 30.00    
SCR  LOVEBUG               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00    
SCR  SPLOTCH               (calhoun wil)TORRES A 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   09/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:112 1:371   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEST SELLER 3 1 21 21 1½ 11 11 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 64% 0.60 2.44 W
4  DIVINELY BOLT 4 5 31½ 32 31 21 21 (simms jr)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.41 P
2  ROSIE'S HALO 2 4 52½ 52½ 62½ 32½ 31 (crichton rohan)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 3.07  
6  KLIMT'S MUSE 6 6 63 63½ 42 43½ 46 (humphries thomas)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 8.58  
1  TIFFANY TWIST 1 2 42 42 52½ 64½ 56¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 ★ 2.31  
5  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 5 3 11 11 2½ 54½ 614 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 5.07  
 
CD-3   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 5 2 1½ 11½   14 1¾ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 27% 2.70 5.11 W
8  BACKGROUND 7 4 52½ 42½   24 2¾ (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.71 P
4  FRIAR LAURENCE 4 1 42 53½   44½ 32 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 6.00 5.56 DQ↓4
2  J. P. RACE 2 6 62½ 64½   55½ 42½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 1.75  
3  PAYNE 3 7 77 76   65¾ 52¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00 28% 2.50 2.76  
7  JACKMAN 6 3 31 21½   34½ 66 (compton gre)TORRES A 122 6.00 21% 3.70 5.19  
1  THE QUEENS JULES 1 5 2½ 32   76¾ 76 (van thoma)MONCADA IRVING 115 12.00 17.05  
SCR  SUMMER SPLASH               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 2.50    
 
CD-4   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PISTOL 6 2 2½ 2½   2nk 11¼ (van tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 53% 0.90 1.42 W
7  ERVADEAN 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 21¼ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 3.39  
4  AUNT BECCA 2 5 41½ 32½   33½ 35½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 2.74  
2  OLGA 1 6 31½ 43   45½ 47½ (blair jorda)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
5  CHARRIERE 3 4 62½ 54½   57 510½ (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00 13% 6.50 4.34  
6  ALTERED SHOT 4 3 52 65   67¼ 610¾ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 23.13  
SCR  AMERICAN STARLET               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MADISON               (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.80    
 
CD-5   09/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HEAVENVILLE 5 1 1½ 11 1½ 12½ 13¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 34% 2.00 3.85 W
8  LIMITED EDITION 6 10 83½ 83¼ 47½ 48 23¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.25  
13  HASTEN 11 3 2½ 21 2½ 22½ 33¼ (simms jr)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 81.18  
2  ORTHO STAR 1 8 104½ 63 36½ 36½ 44 (granitz antho)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
3  STIGLETS 2 4 73 73¼ 710 510 511¼ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 7% 14.40 7.33  
12  KNOCK KNOCK JOKE 10 7 41½ 93¾ 911¼ 613 612 (orseno f)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.99  
4  WINNING FORTUNE 3 9 115 104¾ 1011¾ 715½ 718½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 20.38  
11  BIG WALK 9 11 94 115 811 817 822 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 68.62  
10  SCOTCH CHOCOLATE 8 6 31 52½ 58½ 917½ 925¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 15.00 15.39  
9  SPEECHLESS 7 2 62 42 68½ 1019 1030¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 33% 2.10 1.63  
5  CASH THE MONEY 4 5 51½ 32 1116¼ 1127 1149½ (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 12.63  
SCR  ROTHKO               (cox h)TORRES A 119 3.50    
SCR  START TO WIN               (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
 
CD-6   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:213 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TEXAS TOWN 7 1 2nk 1nk   12½ 1¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 11.08  
6  JUSTIFREAK 5 7 67¾ 66½   53¾ 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 16% 5.10 1.12 P
2  PAY ZONE 2 3 57¼ 56   43½ 31 (crichton roha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 36% 1.80 12.65 S
9  ALDER 8 4 43¾ 32½   22½ 44 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00 14% 6.30 5.72  
1  SHIRL'S BEE 1 2 1nk 2nk   32½ 54¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 4.73  
3  ONE GIANT LEAP 3 6 89¼ 810   66¼ 65¼ (hartman chr)BEALMEAR C 114 3.50 6.97  
7  TRIPLE TREA 6 8 79¼ 79½   87¼ 76 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.58  
4  CAPER'S HOOLEY 4 5 33½ 43½   76¾ 87¾ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 15.00 13.41  
SCR  SILVER HALO               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/21/2024 6270ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bourbon Flight Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:11 1:353   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BATTEN DOWN 3 2 1½ 1½ 11½ 15½ 15¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.20 47% 1.10 0.53 W
6  HADES 6 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 25½ 25¾ (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.58 P
2  ELEPHANTS EAR 2 5 44 44½ 43½ 37 38½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 8.68  
4  MUGATU 4 3 55 55 54 58½ 411½ (engler jeff)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 27.04  
1  NEXT LEVEL 1 4 2½ 2½ 21½ 48 513½ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.22  
5  REAL MACHO 5 6 67 67 64¼ 611 616¼ (crichton roh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8.42  
 
CD-8   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Fasig-Tipton Dogwood Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:093     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MY MANE SQUEEZE 4 6 72 41½   12 15 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.52 W
2  FIBBER 2 1 2nk 31   32½ 25 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 25% 3.00 3.25 P
8  LEGADEMA 7 3 3½ 2½   22 38 (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 10% 9.20 9.53 S
1  UPHILL DANCE 1 8 82½ 73½   55½ 49¼ (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
6  NEOM BEACH 5 4 1nk 1½   44 510¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 24.14  
9  HALINA'S FORTE 8 2 51¾ 51½   66 611¾ (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 3.57  
3  REAGAN'S FLAME 3 5 4¾ 84½   89 713 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 17.64  
7  MANAMA GOLD 6 7 61¾ 63   77½ 813¼ (pletcher a)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 6.50  
SCR  CAP CLASSIQUE               (russell brittany )LANERIE J 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harrods Creek Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:091     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HENRO 3 5 63½ 52¼   4¾ 11¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.97 W
1  JEFFERSON STREET 1 3 42 42   52¼ 21¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 2.94  
7  DILGER (IRE) 6 6 31½ 3½   1nk 31¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 8.55  
6  ILLUMINARE 5 4 2½ 2½   2nk 44½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.44  
2  VALENTINE CANDY 2 1 1½ 1½   3½ 54¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.77  
4  WILLY D'S 4 2 52½ 64¼   65¾ 66¼ (compton gre)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 25.92  
SCR  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF               (foster er)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   09/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Seneca Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:124 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MISS JUSTIFY 8 1 42½ 31½ 2nk 11 1½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 49% 1.10 1.36 W
9  LIFE TALK 6 5 53½ 52½ 42 33 2½ (pletcher todd)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 23% 3.40 8.02 P
8  CHATALAS 5 3 11 11 1nk 21 32¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 122 4.50 5.21  
7  HERE'S THE SPIDER 4 8 74 63 52¼ 44 42¾ (fernandez edward)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00 58.04  
5  NEON ICON 3 6 85 84 74¾ 77½ 54½ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 7.50  
10  HOME GAME 7 2 21 21 31 65½ 66¼ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 7.91  
4  LITTLE JAMIE 2 4 32 41½ 62¾ 54½ 77 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
1  MIDSHIPMAN'S DANCE 1 7 63½ 73½ 86¾ 819½ 840½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 5% 19.00 22.08  
SCR  ALPINE PRINCESS               (cox h)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  DAZZLING MOVE               (trombetta mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
SCR  EVERLAND               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
SCR  JUST BE QUIET               (gorham ro)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
SCR  LETSTALKABOUTME               (green troy)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
 
CD-11   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:211 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  UNDERCOVER 11 1 61¾ 2½   11½ 12 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 38% 1.60 2.36 W
3  JUST A COED 3 6 51¼ 31   32½ 22 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 12% 7.00 3.79 P
5  SANG 5 4 2nk 1½   21½ 32¼ (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 5.00 9.24  
8  PRETTY PERTINENT 8 7 73¼ 75   54½ 42½ (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.23  
2  PAHOEHOE D'ORO 2 10 31 51½   43 53 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 3.86  
10  TAKA 10 9 86¾ 86   76 64¾ (von d)TORRES A 121 20.00 32.05  
7  CAPTIVE HEART 7 11 97¼ 97   87 76¼ (catalano wayne)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 12.89  
1  CRUISE MISSILE 1 5 1nk 41   65 88½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 17% 4.80 6.59  
9  PALMILLA'S BET 9 2 119½ 1011½   1011½ 911 (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 20.00 99.45  
12  DANCING PRINCESS 12 8 1210 1114   1114 1013¼ (spicer t)JURADO EDDIE 121 15.00 56.95  
6  GO PURPLE 6 3 41¼ 64   99 1113½ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00 10% 9.20 19.32  
4  MILVEN 4 12 107½ 1214¼   1221 1229¼ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 27.22  
SCR  BARBANERA               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
SCR  FLAT STORMIN               (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00    
SCR  PERFORMABILITY               (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
SCR  UNO LE               (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.