Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $33.40 $9.40 39%
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  3-7-5 $71.60 $23.60 49%
PID-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6-3 $12.40 $8.40 210%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIRST FORAY 2 2 11½ 1½   12 16¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 13% 6.90 1.10 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of STIFLING by FLATTER)
5  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE 4 4 21½ 2½   22 26¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 57% 0.80 1.00 P
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
4  ROCK TUNE 3 3 31½ 33   34½ 39 (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 10.00 6.50  
  (by SHOW TUNE out of LESLY'S BACK by ROCK SLIDE)
2  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE 1 5 43½ 44   46½ 49½ (montford leslie)LLOYD W 124 6.00 9% 9.80 17.40  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
6  CHANNEL ME IN 5 1 54½ 55½   511 518 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 120 8.00 12.90  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY AUDUBON by AMERICAIN)
SCR  CHEERFUL TROUT               (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 3.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
 
PID-2   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SEMINARIAN 3 1 22 26 23 21½ 12 (lecesse )GALLARDO A 120 2.50 16% 5.30 1.50 W
7  HURRICANE DUDE 7 3 12 16 13 11½ 22 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 19% 4.30 3.10 P
5  WHISKEY OR WINE 5 2 35½ 36½ 36 36 35½ (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 113 2.00 40% 1.50 2.90 S
2  HOLLYWOOD HERO 2 5 68 510 48½ 48 48½ (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 5.00 5.90  
1  TORREFACTOR 1 7 718 725½ 717½ 615 517¼ (amaya joan)BAYS BROOKE 113 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
4  MY DUDE BILLY 4 6 46 49 510½ 512 619½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00 24.10  
6  SHADY BOY 6 4 57 610½ 613½ 715½ 721 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00 10.00  
 
PID-3   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:14 1:374   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MY NOBLE KNIGHT 3 3 52¼ 42 31½ 2nk 1¾ (rivera xavie)ALENCAR WALBER 118 2.50 4.20  
5  TAP THE SKY 5 1 11 11 11 1nk 2¾ (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 37% 1.70 4.90 P
6  KNIGHT LEGEND 6 5 21 21 21 31½ 35 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 4.00  
1  COLONEL POPPY 1 6 63¾ 63¼ 42½ 53¼ 47¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.50 21% 3.70 1.60  
2  ZINFATUATION 2 4 42 52¼ 63 43 57¾ (norris step)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
4  EVERDOIT 4 2 31 31 52½ 63¼ 69¼ (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 1.80 3.30  
 
PID-4   09/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOTITO 5 5 76½ 75¼   42½ 1nk (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 2.80  
3  SOLAIR 3 7 55½ 53½   21 2nk (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.00 24% 3.20 5.30 P
2  WILD DELIGHT 2 4 32½ 2½   11 3¼ (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00 14% 6.30 1.30 S
1  WHEELINGNDEALING 1 6 44 42½   31 43 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 9% 9.70 5.90  
6  BOURBON BLAST 6 1 65½ 63¾   64¼ 55¼ (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 11.40  
4  SONET'S NAME 4 3 22 3½   52¾ 67¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 9.30  
7  EVERY LITTLE BIT 7 2 12 1½   76¼ 712 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00 13% 6.60 27.60  
 
PID-5   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOR SPRING SPIRIT 6 2 11 11   13½ 16½ (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.50 W
3  WEEKEND CONCERTO 3 7 64 53½   55½ 26½ (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 36% 1.70 7.20 P
1  DRUM AND DRUMMER 1 4 32½ 32½   34 37½ (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00 5.30  
2  NEON DEION 2 6 75 74½   44½ 47¾ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 12.00 5% 18.50 26.10  
4  DISCO CENTS 4 3 21 21   23½ 59 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 4.50 8.40  
5  TWELVETWO 5 5 42½ 42½   66 612½ (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
7  AWESOME FANTASY 7 1 53 64   79 715 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.50 13.30  
 
PID-6   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE CONNECTOR 4 1 23½ 23   22 1½ (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50 4.90  
7  ENJOY THE MUSIC 7 2 35½ 34   34 2½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 45% 1.20 4.10 P
3  STANHOPE 3 4 13½ 13   12 31¼ (vitali marcu)AYALA J 122 4.00 ★ 1.10 S
5  GUACO 5 7 57½ 56   57½ 41¾ (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 10.50  
2  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 2 5 47 45½   46½ 52¼ (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
6  TONY SMALL 6 3 711 710½   610 65¾ (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 3.00 10.00  
1  DETROIT CITY 1 6 610 69½   711½ 711½ (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 22% 3.50 5.00  
 
PID-7   09/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:12 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RACE CRAFT 4 2 23½ 25 22½ 2nk 12 (maker michael)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
3  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE 2 3 35 36½ 34½ 31½ 22 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 47% 1.10 0.50 P
5  E MINOR 3 1 13½ 15 12½ 1nk 33 (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 7.00  
2  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 1 4 47½ 48 47½ 46 412¾ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 7.60  
SCR  DECLARED               (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50    
SCR  GOODIE GOOMER               (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 1.80    
 
PID-8   09/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:103     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HE'S ON THE FLY 3 2 2nk 21   3½ 11 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00 35.30  
4  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 4 7 87¼ 75   41½ 21 (brooks geral)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 10.10  
7  EXTRA MEDIUM 7 3 43 31½   1½ 32½ (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 39% 1.50 1.20 S
1  BEACH HOLIDAY 1 8 77¼ 85¼   61¾ 42¾ (skawinski c)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
2  UNCLE JOCK 2 6 55½ 53½   51¾ 52¾ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 29% 2.40 3.80  
5  CREATIVE CHOICE 5 5 65¾ 64½   73¼ 64½ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
8  SAMURAI LEGACY 8 1 1nk 11   2½ 75¼ (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 4.00 5.60  
6  MUTTLEY 6 4 32½ 41½   83½ 87 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 8.00 30.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.