Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(5/1/2)-(3/2/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(3/6/2/5)-(7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(7/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(7/1/2)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(3/6)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(7/2/1/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEERFUL TROUT Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 Jul04 Jun25 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 3.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
2  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE Aug23 Jul24       (montford leslie)LLOYD W 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
3  FIRST FORAY Aug27 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12   (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 13% 6.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of STIFLING by FLATTER)
4  ROCK TUNE Apr29 Mar18 Feb14     (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by SHOW TUNE out of LESLY'S BACK by ROCK SLIDE)
5  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Jul10 Jun17 May27 Jul26   (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
6  CHANNEL ME IN Oct02         (markgraf david)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY AUDUBON by AMERICAIN)
 
PID-2   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORREFACTOR Sep03 Mar14 Mar03 Feb10 Dec22 (amaya joan)BAYS BROOKE 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLLYWOOD HERO Aug31 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun29 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 5.00    
3  SEMINARIAN Aug26 Jun26 Jun10 May29 Oct09 (lecesse )GALLARDO A 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  MY DUDE BILLY Aug26         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
5  WHISKEY OR WINE Aug14 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 Apr20 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 113 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  SHADY BOY Feb07 Dec16       (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
7  HURRICANE DUDE Aug05 Jul01       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
PID-3   09/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL POPPY Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  ZINFATUATION Aug13 Jul28 Jul07 Jun26 Jun11 (norris step)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Aug07 Jul26 Jul06 Jun24 May30 (rivera xavie)ALENCAR WALBER 118 2.50    
4  EVERDOIT Aug17 Jul27 Apr27 Apr10 Mar24 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 1.80    
5  TAP THE SKY Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 37% 1.70    
6  KNIGHT LEGEND Aug26 Oct05 Aug28 Aug08 Dec09 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
 
PID-4   09/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELINGNDEALING Aug19 Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 May27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
2  WILD DELIGHT Aug27 Jul29 Jul16 Jul04 May27 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  SOLAIR Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  SONET'S NAME Aug13 Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 Feb23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
5  MOTITO Aug19 Jul15 Jun19 Jun11 May20 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
6  BOURBON BLAST Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50    
7  EVERY LITTLE BIT Aug14 May22 Oct25 Oct02 Sep05 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
PID-5   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUM AND DRUMMER Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May31 (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00    
2  NEON DEION Sep02 Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 12.00 5% 18.50    
3  WEEKEND CONCERTO Sep02 Aug19 May17 Apr20 Mar23 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 36% 1.70    
4  DISCO CENTS Aug28 Aug12 Jul16 Jul09 Jun04 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 4.50    
5  TWELVETWO Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Oct19 Oct02 (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Aug28 Aug19 May23 May09 Apr12 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  AWESOME FANTASY Aug29 Aug12 Jul25 Jun25 Jun11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.50    
 
PID-6   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETROIT CITY Aug07 Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 Mar23 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
2  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun25 (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STANHOPE Aug21 Jul16 Jul02 Nov24 Oct16 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 122 4.00 ★    
4  THE CONNECTOR Aug23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50    
5  GUACO Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 Oct19 (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
6  TONY SMALL Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 Jun12 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 3.00    
7  ENJOY THE MUSIC Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Jun12 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
PID-7   09/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECLARED Aug21 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 Jun21 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50    
2  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun24 Jun05 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00    
3  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Aug21 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 May17 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  GOODIE GOOMER Aug21 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Aug10 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 1.80    
5  E MINOR Jul30 Jul03 May28 Apr10 Mar01 (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00    
6  RACE CRAFT Feb25 Jan28 Jan04 Dec02 Nov10 (maker michael)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
PID-8   09/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH HOLIDAY Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 (skawinski c)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNCLE JOCK Aug27 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  HE'S ON THE FLY Aug05 Jul24 May20 Oct03 Sep17 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
4  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 (brooks geral)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
5  CREATIVE CHOICE Aug12 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 Jun10 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUTTLEY Aug19 Jul30 Jul24 Jun24 Jun05 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 8.00    
7  EXTRA MEDIUM Aug27 Aug12 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
8  SAMURAI LEGACY Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.