Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-7 $10.20 $1.20 13%
PEN-3   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $15.80 $7.80 98%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/23/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :46       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTOR U AND ME IN 7 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (coletti edw)RAMOS O 113 3.00 15% 5.90 1.70 W
CORRECTED PEDIGREE 6 6 5 5   5 2 (rodriguez fra)ALVELO C 123 5.00 4.40 P
J R JONE Z 1 5 4 4   3 3 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 10.70  
C C GOLDRUSH 2 3 6 6   4 43 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 28% 2.60 2.80  
CHIEF REIDER 5 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 5 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 29% 2.50 16.70  
PRACTICALLYMINE 3 7 7 7   7 65 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 8.10  
DUBAI FIRE 4 4 3 33   6 710¼ (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 6.00  
SCR  SHARP SENSATION               (mccaslin john)CORA D 123 15.00    
 
PEN-2   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:103 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACHMO 8 6 5 56 4 11 1 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00 3.80  
ET'S MAGIC MAN 2 4 68 66 6 5 2 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 121 4.00 7.60  
SAPONARA 1 2 3 3 3 4 3 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 112 8.00 9.50  
MEMORY BOUQUET 6 5 1 12 1½ 21 4 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 6.00 33% 2.00 2.90  
RESTORED ORDER 4 1 2 22 2½ 3 5 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 34% 2.00 3.70  
LACCO AMENO 3 8 813 813 711¾ 7 6 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 8% 11.20 3.10  
LA PAZ 5 3 4 4 5 6 7 (smith r)FLORES E 121 10.00 30.80  
WILL E SUTTON 7 7 712 711 812¾ 811¼ 814 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL               (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 123 2.50    
SCR  BONDED (IRE)               (martin au)VARGAS L 121 12.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CARDO               (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 121 15.00    
SCR  MORE THAN WORK               (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00    
 
PEN-3   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:253   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE NAKURU 4 6 6 6 7 2nk 1nk (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50 19% 4.30 6.90 W
BARLEEWON 8 4 5 5 4 4¼ 2nk (harigeorgi)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00 5.00  
JO JO KATZ 1 8 8 8 6 5 3 (graci kim)VARGAS L 121 6.00 15% 5.50 7.80 S
TWIXTER 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 42 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 10.00 17.00  
CRAZY KATER 2 5 4 4 2½ 3.2 5 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 44% 1.30 1.00  
HROTHGAR 6 2 2½ 31 31 6 64 (morzan javi)CALDERON OLIVER 121 30.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
BOURBON CURRENCY 5 7 7 7 8 7 76 (wolfe jr)BAKER J 121 8.00 6.40  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 7 3 31 21 5 8 810½ (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 20.00 12.40  
SCR  CAERUS               (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  CLASS WIZARD               (maher edwar)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.00    
SCR  JACK SLYE               (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 2.50    
SCR  SUMMER ANTHEM               (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.80    
 
PEN-4   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZ SHARP 8 1 5 1nk   1nk 1nk (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 6.00 15.50  
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS 7 4 6 6   5¾ 2nk (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 23% 3.30 1.20 P
ROCK ANNA ROLL 4 2 22 3.2   2nk 31 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00 5% 19.00 33.60 S
OUR ETHAN CHARLES 5 3 3 4   4¾ 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 15% 5.80 4.50  
REBEL INVASION 2 6 12 2nk   3.2 5 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 41% 1.50 1.50  
RIDLEY PARK 1 8 8 8   8 6 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 23.70  
MY MAN WOODY 3 5 4 5   6 7 (bo)LUNA PAUL 120 12.00 38.20  
TEAM TRAVIS 6 7 7 7   7 810½ (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 34.30  
 
PEN-5   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFAMOUS NONO 1 5 5 3½   2nk 1 (barboza v)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 46% 1.20 1.70 W
BOSS HOLIDAY 4 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 123 3.00 3.90  
WINNING CANDY 5 3 3.2 2nk   32 3 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50 23% 3.40 3.20 S
ROCKIN THE PALACE 2 6 6 5   44 4 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00 7.80  
MIGHTY MINION 6 2 4 6   6 5 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00 27.20  
GRAB THE GOLD 3 4 1nk 4¾   55 617¾ (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
 
PEN-6   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHAKI JACK 8 1 1nk 11   13 15 (graci kimbe)RAMOS O 125 2.50 31% 2.20 1.00 W
I ONCE STOOD ALONE 6 4 4 21   23 25 (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 125 3.00 3.90  
CHAIN REACTION 3 7 8 8   5 3 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50 26% 2.80 4.90 S
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 7 6 6 5   4 46 (kravets b)VARGAS L 125 12.00 46.10  
SCREEN STAR 1 5 2nk 32   33 5 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 77.00  
HASHTAG WINNING 4 8 7 6   6 6 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 4.00 17% 5.00 3.70  
A T M AWESOME 2 3 5 75   8 714 (zalalas michael)CORA D 125 12.00 24.40  
ADY'S MUNNY 5 2 31 4   7 8100 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00 12.00  
 
PEN-7   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LIBERTY BELLE 5 3 2½ 1½ 1 17 1 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 21% 3.70 0.50 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HARLANDS THUNDER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
INTRO 2 5 6 69 5 27 2 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 4.00 22.40  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of NARRATE by HONEST PLEASURE)
GATE SONG 4 6 41 3½ 2 37 310¼ (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 34% 1.90 1.50 S
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
PEACEOFTASTYCAKE 3 1 1½ 2½ 3 48 410¾ (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 15.00 5% 19.00 82.10  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
CRUZIN ANNA 6 2 5 4 47 59 519¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 14.70  
  (by FAST ANNA out of LITTLE CHERIE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SPICY K 7 7 7 711 717½ 716 636½ (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 125 15.00 13% 6.40 30.50  
  (by ACCELERATE out of J K'S GIRL by NOONMARK)
CHARGE THAT DRESS 1 4 31 53 612½ 614 738 (stites will)CALDERON OLIVER 122 10.00 43.30  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of DECOLLETE by TIZWAY)
 
PEN-8   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROM KNIGHT 6 1 11 11   12 1 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 3.50 1.70  
BROKENHEARTED 4 5 21 21   22 2 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.00 P
MACHO HONCHO 5 4 42 34   35 3 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 27% 2.80 5.50 S
GRUMPY BROOKSIE 2 2 5 58   610 411½ (fields kevin)CORA D 120 20.00 33.40  
NORTHWOODS 1 3 31 45   46 512 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 3 6 6 612   59 612½ (smith thoma)CALDERON OLIVER 120 4.50 11.60  
SCR  BAG OF GOLD               (moreno tito)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
SCR  SKYHOOK               (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 116 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.