Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/8)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8)-(4/6/3/7)-(2/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/7)-(2/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/7)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/7/5/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(2/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(2/7/5/4)-(1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/4)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/4)-(1/5/3)-(8/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(8/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(8/3/4/1)-(4/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/1)-(4/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/1)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/23/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J R JONE Z Jun27 Jun05 May24 May02 Apr15 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
2  C C GOLDRUSH Jul26 Jul03 Jun11 Jun02 Nov12 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  PRACTICALLYMINE Aug16 Jul25 Jun26 Jun18 May31 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
4  DUBAI FIRE Aug03 Mar08 Jan25 Dec01 Oct28 (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
5  CHIEF REIDER Jul26 Oct19 Sep06 Aug18 Jul19 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION Jul26 Jul02 Feb06 Dec27 Dec05 (mccaslin john)CORA D 123 15.00    
7  CORRECTED PEDIGREE Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 May24 Jan31 (rodriguez fra)ALVELO C 123 5.00 ★    
8  FACTOR U AND ME IN Jul26 Jul10 Jun25 May28 Nov28 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
PEN-2   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAPONARA Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 May29 May12 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 112 8.00    
2  ET'S MAGIC MAN Jul17 Jul05 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 121 4.00    
3  LACCO AMENO Jul25 Jul04 May31 Nov12 Oct14 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 8% 11.20    
4  RESTORED ORDER Jul25 Jul11 Jun04 May11 Apr12 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
5  LA PAZ Aug02 Jul25 Jul03 Jun11 Nov30 (smith r)FLORES E 121 10.00    
6  MEMORY BOUQUET Aug16 Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 May31 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  WILL E SUTTON Jul25 Jul05 Apr16 Feb02 Nov22 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SACHMO Aug02 Jul04 Jun11 May16 Oct26 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CARDO Aug15 Aug02 Jun02 May09 Apr07 (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 121 15.00    
SCR  BONDED (IRE) Jul26 Jul17 Jun14 May24 Mar24 (martin au)VARGAS L 121 12.00    
SCR  MORE THAN WORK Jul08 Jun17 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00    
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 Jun10 May11 (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 123 2.50    
 
PEN-3   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JO JO KATZ Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov14 (graci kim)VARGAS L 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  CRAZY KATER Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov18 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  TWIXTER Aug08 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 10.00    
4  LAKE NAKURU Aug08 Jul25 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  JACK SLYE Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Mar15 Feb16 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 2.50    
6  BOURBON CURRENCY Aug15 Jul17 Jun19 May31 Feb29 (wolfe jr)BAKER J 121 8.00    
7  HROTHGAR Jul17 Jul05 Jun25 Jun10 Jan18 (mo)LUNA PAUL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jul12 Jul03 Jun13 Mar22 Mar01 (moreno tito)CALDERON OLIVER 121 20.00    
9  BARLEEWON Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 10.00    
SCR  CLASS WIZARD Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 Oct21 (maher edwar)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.00    
SCR  SUMMER ANTHEM Jul26 Jun28 May22 Nov16 Oct11 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.80    
SCR  CAERUS Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 May05 Apr21 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDLEY PARK Aug16 Jul10 May16 May02 Dec27 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
2  REBEL INVASION Aug02 Jul12 Dec15 Sep15 Aug21 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  MY MAN WOODY Aug08 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May14 (bobadilla f)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00    
4  ROCK ANNA ROLL Aug10 Jun08 May18 May04 Feb07 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 May22 Apr15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
6  TEAM TRAVIS Jun19 May03 Dec28 Dec10   (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
7  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 May31 May24 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  AZ SHARP Jul07 Jun18 May26 Apr27 Jun14 (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 6.00    
 
PEN-5   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFAMOUS NONO Jul17 Jun01 Apr26 Feb14 Jan10 (barboza victor )BEATO INOEL 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  ROCKIN THE PALACE Aug02 Jul17 Jun19 May15 Apr06 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00    
3  GRAB THE GOLD Aug14 Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 May22 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOSS HOLIDAY Aug02 Jun27 Apr19 Mar21 Mar06 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 123 3.00    
5  WINNING CANDY Jul26 Jul03 Sep13 Aug16 Jun22 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  MIGHTY MINION Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 Jun06 May22 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00    
 
PEN-6   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREEN STAR Jul26 Jul03 Jun11 May29 May10 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  A T M AWESOME Aug02 Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 Mar13 (zalalas michael)CORA D 125 12.00    
3  CHAIN REACTION Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 May24 May08 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  HASHTAG WINNING Jul26 Jun13 May24 Mar21 Feb16 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  ADY'S MUNNY Jul26 May08 Mar13 Nov10 Aug08 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00    
6  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jul26 Jul03 May29 May08 Mar07 (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 125 3.00    
7  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Jul19 Jun20 May08 Mar15 Feb08 (kravets b)VARGAS L 125 12.00    
8  KHAKI JACK Aug02 Jun27 May24 Sep15 Aug16 (graci kimbe)RAMOS O 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-7   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGE THAT DRESS Aug15         (stites will)CALDERON OLIVER 122 10.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of DECOLLETE by TIZWAY)
2  INTRO Jul18 Jun13 May23 May03 Apr03 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 4.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of NARRATE by HONEST PLEASURE)
3  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE Jul24         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
4  GATE SONG Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 Apr26 Mar01 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 34% 1.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
5  LADY LIBERTY BELLE Jul31         (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HARLANDS THUNDER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  CRUZIN ANNA Aug15         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of LITTLE CHERIE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
7  SPICY K         (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 125 15.00 13% 6.40    
  (by ACCELERATE out of J K'S GIRL by NOONMARK)
 
PEN-8   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHWOODS Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun19 Jun04 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 May29 (fields kevin)CORA D 120 20.00    
3  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 May17 May02 (smith thoma)CALDERON OLIVER 120 4.50    
4  BROKENHEARTED Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun19 Jun12 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  SKYHOOK Jul26 May16 May01 Apr08 Mar25 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 116 6.00    
6  MACHO HONCHO Jul26 Jun13 May24 Nov08 Sep21 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  BAG OF GOLD Aug16 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May22 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
8  PROM KNIGHT Aug16 Aug02 Jul01 Jun11 May08 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.