Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-2   WIN (3/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (3/6/8/10)-(3/6/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-6 $33.50 $21.50 179%
    TRI (3/6/8/10)-(3/6/8/10)-(3/6/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-6-3 $39.05 $27.05 225%
PEN-3   WIN (2/7/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    DD (3/6/8/10)-(2/7/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-6 $31.10 $11.10 56%
PEN-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $13.60 $7.60 127%
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $22.20 $16.20 270%
    DD (2/7/6/4/1)-(3/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-6 $28.80 $13.80 92%
    PK3 (3/6/8/10)-(2/7/6/4/1)-(3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-6-6 $126.05 $96.05 320%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMITY ROAD 6 4 21 21 1½ 15 110 (soto- martin)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 2.50 0.90  
AWESOME LAUNCH 4 3 7 7 66 47 210 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 8.00 8.50  
SWIFT TAP 5 5 4 52 3 35 310¾ (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 116 4.00 9% 9.70 14.50 S
SYNONYM 1 2 11 11 2½ 25 415¼ (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
RUNANDSCORE 3 1 32 3 44 5 517 (rodriguez migu)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 37% 1.70 6.40  
EARL OF DASSEL 2 6 5 63 7 710½ 618¾ (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 5.80  
EGOT A POKER FACE 7 7 6 4 54 6 719¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 20% 4.10 3.90  
 
PEN-2   07/31/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:223 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EQUISTAR 6 1 11 12   14 13 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 14% 6.10 6.40 W
LAVINIA SPIRIT 4 4 21 22   24 23 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 6.00 20% 3.90 5.10 P
CHALICE 2 5 7 7   46 3 (merryman eliza)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.00 27% 2.70 1.00 S
DISCO FLASH 3 7 5 5   5 4 (padilla hug)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00 40.00  
FIREBALL EXPRESS 1 6 6 6   6 5 (albright r)CORA D 123 5.00 2.90  
LOUELLA STREET 5 2 31 32   34 6 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 9.20  
10  DON DIVA 7 3 4 4   7 7 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
SCR  AUNT JO               (smith lawrence )BEATO INOEL 123 12.00    
SCR  BREEZY DANCE               (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00    
SCR  FORCEZILLA               (davis jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD 5 7 5 21   1½ 12 (rathman )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00 13% 6.80 4.70 W
TRUE PHENOMENON 2 5 4 5   4 22 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.00 31% 2.20 1.70 P
WEST ABBOTT 8 1 3 4   2½ 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00 6.60  
COMBAT HOOFS 4 4 7 7   53 4 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10.70  
MAYDAY MAYHEM 7 3 6 6   6 5 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 12.00 6.80  
DUST BUNNY 1 9 9 9   87 6 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
10  BETCHA BOOTS BABE 9 2 11 11   3½ 79 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00 45.30  
SMART SHERYL LEE 3 8 8 8   910 812½ (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 12% 7.40 22.80  
CARDINAL WAR CRY 6 6 21 31   7 916¾ (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 20% 3.90 3.30  
SCR  DAKOTA SPRINGS               (houghton th)INIRIO J 118 20.00    
SCR  MARION GRACE               (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.50    
SCR  SNAPPY RIDE               (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 12.00    
 
PEN-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:22 :454 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON SIGN 6 1 4 1nk   1 12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 125 5.00 5% 19.00 5.80 W
HE'S INCREDIBLE 3 2 1nk 2nk   2 22 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.50 45% 1.20 4.10 P
B B BAD 4 6 6 6   5 3 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00 7.70  
MEMORY BOUQUET 5 4 2nk 3.2   33 4 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 1.30  
NEIGH DUDE 2 5 5 4   4 5 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 4.50 14% 6.20 2.40  
TOMMY THE TORCH 1 3 3 5   6 68 (albright )VARGAS L 121 15.00 30.80  
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK               (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 4.00    
 
PEN-5   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKOTO 6 2 2½ 2nk   11 1 (agnew naoise)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 3.10  
FREEDOM'S START 3 3 3 32   3 2 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 4.60  
EMPTY MY POUCH 1 4 44 65   64 3 (albright r)CORA D 119 3.00 39% 1.60 3.10 S
GOING AT IT 5 5 5 4   4 4 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 6% 16.00 4.90  
TIZ SPEEDY 2 6 6 54   54 5 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 12.00 5.10  
DREAM RIVER 4 1 1½ 1nk   21 6 (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 119 3.50 27% 2.70 3.50  
SCR  GAMERUN               (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 12.00    
SCR  ZAMBONI WARRIOR               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHINESEIAM 5 3 1 14   15 1 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 4.10  
MY BROTHER CHARLIE 6 7 54 45   25 2 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 54% 0.90 1.80 P
DOUBLE NICKEL 2 6 6 610   59 38 (kravets bruce )TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
SEYMOUR FASTER 1 4 2 24   3 4 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 8% 11.10 2.70  
WARRIOR ON TAP 4 2 4 3   48 510½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 15.80  
THREELEFTIESANDBOB 3 1 3 55   6 614¼ (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 20.00 23.20  
SYLVIA I AM 7 5 7 711   711½ 714½ (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 3.00 16% 5.30 5.10  
SCR  SALVO TRIGGER               (meister wil)INIRIO J 125 50.00    
 
PEN-7   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:223 :462 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAHAMA PEARL 5 2 12 11   13 12 (soto- marti)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 6.00 3.40  
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 6 5 5 21   23 22 (kravets b)VARGAS L 125 2.50 50% 1.00 2.50 P
SHE'S GOT GAME 4 3 43 32   3 3 (mccaslin jo)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 6.00 6.90  
PHANCY PHILLY 2 7 7 7   510 411¼ (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 118 15.00 3.30  
CLASSY SADIE 8 1 32 43   4 511¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 4.00 13% 6.50 6.10  
KASHAN 7 4 22 5   610 612½ (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 125 4.50 10.20  
MS MERRABEL 3 6 6 6   710¼ 715½ (king lawrence )TORRES JOMAR 125 8.00 10% 9.10 8.90  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 1 8 813 810½   815¼ 829 (miller a)BEATO INOEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00 50.20  
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY               (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.