Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PEN-2   Win (6/9/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PEN-3   Win (6/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
PEN-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
PEN-5   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
PEN-6   Win (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
PEN-7   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:104 1:224   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY VIXEN 3 8 66 42 21 1nk 11 (fields kevin)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 49% 1.10 1.40 W
AFRICAN ANGEL 1 4 4 32 32 31 21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00 4.70  
AMUNET 2 7 76 7 5 5 3 (matz michae)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.00 1.80  
PRIVATE CREDIT 4 1 1 11 11 2nk 42 (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 7% 13.90 23.20  
LADY HAMILTON 7 2 2 21 4 42 52 (magee kieron)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 6.00 9% 10.70 5.50  
NORMANDY LIFE 6 5 5 53 6 6 69 (albright ge)VARGAS L 118 10.00 34.70  
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 8 3 3 64 77 711½ 718¾ (meister willi)INIRIO J 121 12.00 49.20  
LASTCHANCE ROMANCE 5 6 88 816¼ 8100 8100 8100 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.90  
SCR  PHABULOUS PHOEBE               (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISINGLY SWEET               (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00    
 
PEN-2   07/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:224 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPESTRY COLORS 6 4 2nk 1nk   11 1¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 30% 2.40 1.40 W
FIREBALL EXPRESS 8 5 3½ 32   33 2¾ (albright r)CORA D 123 8.00 9.20  
ELL GRAY 9 1 1nk 2nk   21 3 (servis tyle)RAMOS C 123 2.50 19% 4.20 2.60 S
LAVINIA SPIRIT 2 7 6 5   44 42 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 120 5.00 18% 4.60 3.80  
BREEZY DANCE 7 3 5 6   6 5 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 9.10  
AUNT JO 3 2 4¾ 43   5 6 (rideout ronald)AGUILAR M 123 6.00 7% 13.30 29.20 DH
SOMETHING SILLY 5 8 8 88   77 6 (bobadilla f)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 30.00 92.50 DH
DON DIVA 1 9 9 910   910 8 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00 37.00  
BRACCESCA 4 10 1012¾ 1018   1016 912½ (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
10  AIKEN TO BELONG 10 6 7 7   89 1017¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 123 12.00 62.60  
 
PEN-3   07/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:222 :443       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPT. CANDY 8 3 1nk 1½   12 1 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 6.00 17% 4.90 2.90 W
10  ANY SUGAR HONEY 10 4 3½ 2½   22 2 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 121 8.00 21.00 P
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 6 6 6 6   54 34 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00 41% 1.40 1.60 S
EDWARD MADDEN 9 5 5 4   3 34 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00 S
RESTORED ORDER 4 10 10 911½   9 5 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 17% 4.80 7.80  
BEACH WARRIOR 1 7 7 78   7 6 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 4.60  
UNCLE REMI 5 1 2nk 32   44 7 (smith lawre)VARGAS L 119 12.00 28.60  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 3 8 8 8   89 8 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 20.00 59.80  
TAP IN FORMATION 2 9 9 1011½   1011½ 98 (coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 8.70  
NAUTICAL NATURE 7 2 4¾ 5   66 109 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 68.10  
SCR  GOLDEN ARM               (smith m)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY JUNIOR 1 2 23 21 1nk 13 1 (houghton thomas)TORRES JOMAR 123 1.60 56% 0.80 0.40 W
STASSI 6 4 5 42 31 23 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 20.20  
SWAN POINT 5 5 6 63 5 3 3 (murillo ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.70 S
SOCIAL LADY 4 6 33 32 4 5 4 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 6.10  
GOLDEN MOONLIGHT 2 1 13 11 2nk 4 5 (acquilano james)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 13% 6.80 8.00  
DOCTOR ABBIE 3 3 4 5 6 6 616 (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.50 7.20  
 
PEN-5   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNONYM 3 1 1 13   16 14 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 37% 1.70 2.90 W
REDEEM EDDIE 2 4 46 4   26 24 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 1.80 0.40  
TWIXTER 4 3 2 23   37 3 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
CADDY MAN 1 2 32 36   410 419¾ (lake scott )HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00 4.70  
SCR  CARGO SHIP               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50    
SCR  ROCKIN THE PALACE               (kravets bru)VARGAS L 121 8.00    
SCR  YES SIR ROBERT               (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.50    
 
PEN-6   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAG OF GOLD 4 2 3½ 1nk   11 1hd (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.00 48% 1.10 0.70 W
SEYMOUR FASTER 5 4 5¾ 5   5 2hd (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 16.80  
GOTTA HAVE HEART 3 5 6 6   31 3 (stites flint )INIRIO J 125 3.50 20% 4.00 6.70 S
DOUBLE NICKEL 7 6 7 7   6 4 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 15.00 39.40  
BE THE MUSIC 1 1 1nk 3.2   21 54 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 12.00 5% 19.00 32.40  
LOVE IS FOREVER 6 7 4¾ 2nk   4 6 (coletti edwar)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.00 3.10  
WARRIOR ON TAP 2 3 2nk 4   7 714 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 7% 13.50 6.10  
 
PEN-7   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:141 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE EDDIE 5 1 1½ 1½ 11 15 114½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 1.80 51% 0.90 0.60 W
ROLLY 6 3 2½ 2½ 21 25 214½ (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
HOPPERTULLIO 2 5 3 42 4 3 315¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 13.10  
BOTTOMLESS REFILL 1 6 54 32 3 4 418½ (brion keri)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 20% 4.00 2.00  
THREELEFTIESANDBOB 3 4 4 5 5 5 520¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 50.00  
TEN AND CHANGE 4 2 65 6 616½ 623½ 641¾ (albright am)VARGAS L 122 8.00 40.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.