Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/6)-(6/9/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/6)-(6/9/2/3/4)-(6/4/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/9/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/3/4)-(6/9/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/3/4)-(6/9/2/3/4)-(6/9/2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/2/3/4)-(6/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/3/4)-(6/4/8/9)-(1/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/9)-(6/4/8/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/9)-(6/4/8/10/9)-(6/4/8/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/9)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/9)-(1/2/5)-(5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/6)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/3/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/3/2/1)-(5/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFRICAN ANGEL Jun18 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00    
2  AMUNET Jun18 Feb14 Jan17 Dec22 Oct19 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.00    
3  GRAY VIXEN Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (fields kevin)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 49% 1.10    
4  PRIVATE CREDIT Jun18 May30 Oct12 Sep13 Aug05 (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  PHABULOUS PHOEBE May30 Apr06 Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00    
6  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Jun19 May31 May03 Mar21 Mar06 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NORMANDY LIFE Jun19 May30 May08 Mar15 Feb21 (albright )VARGAS L 118 10.00    
8  LADY HAMILTON Jun15 Jun04 May04 Mar29 Feb24 (magee ki)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 6.00 9% 10.70    
9  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jun12 May15 May01 Apr10 Mar06 (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 12.00    
SCR  SURPRISINGLY SWEET Jun26 May26 Mar14 Nov08 Jul05 (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00    
 
PEN-2   07/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON DIVA Oct24 Oct05 Sep15 Aug04 Jul19 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00    
2  LAVINIA SPIRIT Jun26 Jun06 May16 May03 Apr22 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  AUNT JO Jun25 Jun12 May29 May08 Mar01 (rideout ronald)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 7% 13.30    
4  BRACCESCA Jun12 Apr28 Jan17 Dec08 Oct27 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOMETHING SILLY Jun20 Jun01 May16 Apr26 Apr12 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
6  TAPESTRY COLORS Sep22 Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Aug20 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  BREEZY DANCE Jul03 Jun10 May29 May06 Apr17 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00    
8  FIREBALL EXPRESS Jun27 Jun12 Jun04 May17 May03 (albright r)CORA D 123 8.00    
9  ELL GRAY Jun12 May29 Nov29 Nov07 Oct09 (servis ty)RAMOS C 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
10  AIKEN TO BELONG Jun12 Jun30 Jun03 Jul16 Jul02 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
 
PEN-3   07/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH WARRIOR Jun23 Nov17 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
2  TAP IN FORMATION Jun26 May18 May01 Feb27 Jan24 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 121 10.00    
3  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jun26 May30 May02 Mar21 Feb23 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 20.00    
4  RESTORED ORDER Jun04 May11 Apr12 Feb24 Feb10 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  UNCLE REMI Jun20 Mar08 Feb03 Jan13 Oct22 (smith law)VARGAS L 119 12.00    
6  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Jun06 May24 May02 Mar29 Mar01 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  NAUTICAL NATURE Jun06 Mar06 Feb01 Dec14 Nov10 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
8  CAPT. CANDY Jun20 May31 May24 May02 Apr16 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
9  EDWARD MADDEN Jun26 Jun06 Nov04 Oct26 Sep20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  ANY SUGAR HONEY Jun06 Sep14 Aug04 Jul18 Jun22 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  GOLDEN ARM Jul03 Jun22 May24 May07 Apr29 (smith lawrence)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY JUNIOR May24 May02 Dec20 Nov22 Nov15 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
2  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT May24 May07 Nov15 Oct18 Sep19 (acquilano james)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  DOCTOR ABBIE May31 May24 Apr22 Apr13 Mar02 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.50    
4  SOCIAL LADY Jun16 May22 May07 Apr10 Mar11 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00    
5  SWAN POINT May24 May02 Dec20 Nov22 Nov15 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  STASSI May08 Mar07 Jan26 Dec22 Nov29 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00    
 
PEN-5   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jun19 May15 Apr06 Mar21 Mar01 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 8.00    
2  CADDY MAN Jun04 Mar20 Mar11 Feb19 Jan31 (lake scot)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
3  REDEEM EDDIE May31 May15 May02 Mar08 Feb22 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 1.80    
SCR  YES SIR ROBERT Jun20 May31 May15 Mar22 Feb23 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.50    
5  SYNONYM Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Sep07 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 37% 1.70    
6  TWIXTER Jun27 Jun12 May31 May04 Mar15 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARGO SHIP Jun13 May15 May03 Apr08 Mar08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE THE MUSIC May27 May03 Mar14     (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WARRIOR ON TAP         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
3  GOTTA HAVE HEART Jun26 Jun12 May24 May02 Mar14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  BAG OF GOLD Jun26 Jun12 May22 May02 Mar22 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.00 48% 1.10    
5  SEYMOUR FASTER Jun25 Jun12       (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
6  LOVE IS FOREVER Jun26 May14 Apr03 Mar13 Feb14 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.00    
7  DOUBLE NICKEL Jun26 May24 Dec23 Dec03 Nov03 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
 
PEN-7   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Jun07 May25 Apr23 Feb18   (brion ker)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  HOPPERTULLIO Jun26 Jun11       (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
3  THREELEFTIESANDBOB Jun18 May31       (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
4  TEN AND CHANGE Jun25 Jun11 May29     (albright )VARGAS L 122 8.00    
5  UNCLE EDDIE Jun12 May30 May15 Mar28 Mar14 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 1.80 51% 0.90    
6  ROLLY Jun04 May22 May10     (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.