Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.80 $2.80 35%
PEN-2   EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $14.70 $2.70 23%
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-5-2 $51.90 $39.90 333%
    SFT (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-5-2-7 $32.70 $30.30 1263%
    DD (7/8/2/5)-(6/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-6 $19.30 $3.30 21%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :461       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE VENEZUELA 7 1 1nk 11   14 1 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 113 3.00 19% 4.20 4.40 W
10  BAINBRIDGE DANCER 8 3 2nk 21   24 2 (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00 7.50  
MY HUNNY BUNNY 2 2 3½ 34   3 3 (pattersha)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 7% 13.50 4.90 S
LODGE HILL 6 4 42 45   4 4 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 49% 1.10 0.80  
ERA 3 6 7 8   7 510¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 13.00  
OUR LADY IN RED 4 7 8 7   89 612¾ (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
PICARDY 1 8 6 66   58 713¼ (bedard alan)NUNEZ Y 120 12.00 57.10  
EMPRESS CELEST 5 5 54 5   6 813½ (smith r)FLORES E 123 15.00 50.50  
SCR  DESTIN FOR DRAMA               (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 118 5.00    
SCR  EARLY               (crane clovis)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 1.40    
 
PEN-2   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:222 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECLARATION TIME 5 3 6 6   44 1¼ (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50 41% 1.40 1.90 W
MADE TO HUSTLE 4 1 1½ 11   1 2¼ (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 6% 16.40 5.50 P
BOURBON CURRENCY 2 8 88 8   75 3 (wolfe jr)BAKER J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 18.40 S
ANY SUGAR HONEY 6 2 2½ 21   2 4 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00 29% 2.40 2.60  
NAUTICAL NATURE 1 7 53 44   32 5 (ippolito ma)CALDERON OLIVER 121 30.00 53.50  
EDWARD MADDEN 3 6 75 7   5 6 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00 3.40  
11  PARK PLACE 8 5 32 3   6 77 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50 6.70  
JIMMY THE KID 7 4 4 54   8 8 (martin au)VARGAS L 121 30.00 93.90  
SCR  ALMOND CIDER               (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 119 8.00    
SCR  BRIT'S CANDYMAN               (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK               (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.00    
SCR  MEMORY BOUQUET               (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00    
 
PEN-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:22 :46 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ANNABELLE 5 4 1 1nk   1½ 1¼ (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 10.00 2.10 DH
DANCING CHIME 7 1 45 43   4 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 14% 6.10 0.60 W
WARRIORS JEWEL 6 2 5 5   3 3¼ (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00 5.20  
CASTASPELLA 8 6 34 3   2½ 4¾ (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 6% 16.50 7.10  
CRUZIN ANNA 3 8 711½ 6   65 5 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 8.30  
10  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL 9 3 2 2nk   53 6 (crane clovis)FLORES E 125 6.00 6% 15.40 16.10  
CHARGE THAT DRESS 4 7 811½ 9   76 7 (stites will)CALDERON OLIVER 122 15.00 20.00  
ADIOS MEISTER 1 9 913 78   8 810¼ (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 4.50  
RED BETTY 2 5 6 8   9 912½ (albright )VARGAS L 122 20.00 22.60  
SCR  THUNDAR CLOUD               (brown kelton)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-4   08/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:232 :472       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEDICATED HERO 1 3 11 2nk   1½ 1½ (brown a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 6.00 4.80  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
AU SOME WARRIOR 2 2 3 1nk   2½ 2½ (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 2.00  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
SUPER LINO 3 1 21 3   35 310¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00 1.60 S
  (by UNCLE LINO out of BLUE VALENTINE by SILVER TRAIN)
PUNCH IT MARGARET 4 4 4 4   413 416¾ (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10  
  (by ACCELERATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  EXPLOSIVE LOVE               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  LIKEAGENTLEMAN               (brown keith )LEWIS M 113 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNIQUELY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
 
PEN-5   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:222 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROPHY ROOM 5 1 22 23   22 1½ (tapsas ilias)OCASIO M 125 3.00 1.70  
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN 1 6 5 46   43 2½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00 30% 2.30 4.10 P
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 4 3 36   3 3 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 16.20  
HE IS BAD 4 3 12 13   12 4 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 2.50 3.10  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 6 2 45 58   56 5 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
CAPTAIN CARDO 3 5 6 610   68 65 (geralis e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 25% 3.00 5.80  
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT               (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 123 6.00    
 
PEN-6   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONIC LEGACY 3 4 2½ 1½   1½ 11 (lake a)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 1.30  
DEE JAY 1 6 32 4   2½ 21 (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.50 17% 5.00 1.80 P
PORTAL ONE 5 1 4 32   32 3 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 3.90  
YES IT'S ROO 7 3 7 7   6 4 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
GAGETOWN 4 7 54 5   5 5 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 10.00 15% 5.60 70.40  
MR PHIL 6 2 67 6   7 610¾ (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 121 8.00 25.80  
CALLIN MY NAME 2 5 1½ 2½   4 715½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00 20% 4.00 10.40  
 
PEN-7   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVY RULES 4 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (lake a)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 1.20  
SPORTING THE GOLD 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 44% 1.30 4.20 P
GOING AT IT 2 6 54 5   44 3 (wolfe jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 7.60  
FREEDOM'S START 5 3 42 33   32 44 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
EMPTY MY POUCH 6 1 65 4   5 5 (albright r)CORA D 119 6.00 22% 3.50 4.00  
CHUCKA MOON 1 5 3½ 6   68 616½ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 6.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.