Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/5)-(6/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/5)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/8/10/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(6/8/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(6/8/10/9)-(6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/3/9)-(6/8/10/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/10/9)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10/9)-(6/4)-(2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICARDY Jul02 Jun08 May16 Apr29 Mar26 (bedard alan)NUNEZ Y 120 12.00    
2  MY HUNNY BUNNY Jun04 Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 Jul10 (pattersha)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 7% 13.50    
3  ERA Jul04         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00    
SCR  EARLY Jun25 Jun06 May16 May08   (crane clovis)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
5  OUR LADY IN RED Jun18 Feb21 Feb07     (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  EMPRESS CELEST Jul09 May28       (smith r)FLORES E 123 15.00    
7  LODGE HILL Nov25 Nov11 Oct08     (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
8  I LOVE VENEZUELA Jun16 May03 Feb07 Dec01 Nov04 (yanez re)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Jul25 Jun26 Apr10 Mar20 Feb09 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 118 5.00    
10  BAINBRIDGE DANCER May30 Nov18       (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 Jun06 Mar27 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 1.40    
 
PEN-2   08/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUTICAL NATURE Jul11 Jun06 Mar06 Feb01 Dec14 (ippolito ma)CALDERON OLIVER 121 30.00    
2  BOURBON CURRENCY Jul17 Jun19 May31 Feb29 Feb01 (wolfe jr)BAKER J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  EDWARD MADDEN Aug01 Jul11 Jun26 Jun06 Nov04 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00    
SCR  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Jul11 Jun06 May24 May02 Mar29 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00    
5  MADE TO HUSTLE Jul18 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 6% 16.40    
6  DECLARATION TIME Jul05 Jun13 Oct21 Aug30 Aug18 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  ANY SUGAR HONEY Aug01 Jul11 Jun06 Sep14 Aug04 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  JIMMY THE KID Jul06 Jun26 May25 Apr13 Mar22 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 121 30.00    
SCR  MEMORY BOUQUET Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 May31 May17 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul05 Jun12 May24 May04 Feb07 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.00    
11  PARK PLACE Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May24 May10 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
SCR  ALMOND CIDER Jul21 Jul01 May29 May13 Apr17 (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 119 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS MEISTER Jul24         (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
2  RED BETTY Jul24 Jul17       (albright )VARGAS L 122 20.00    
3  CRUZIN ANNA         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 ★    
4  CHARGE THAT DRESS         (stites will)CALDERON OLIVER 122 15.00    
5  LADY ANNABELLE         (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 10.00    
SCR  THUNDAR CLOUD Jul06         (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.00 35% 1.80    
7  WARRIORS JEWEL Jul18 Jul04 May30 May09   (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00    
8  DANCING CHIME Jul24 Jun27 May17 May02 Oct25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
9  CASTASPELLA         (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 6% 16.50    
10  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL Jul09 Jun06 May17 May25 May11 (crane clo)RODRIGUEZ R 125 6.00 6% 15.40    
 
PEN-4   08/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEDICATED HERO Aug02         (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 118 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
SCR  LIKEAGENTLEMAN         (brown keith )LEWIS M 113 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNIQUELY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
3  AU SOME WARRIOR         (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
SCR  EXPLOSIVE LOVE         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  SUPER LINO         (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of BLUE VALENTINE by SILVER TRAIN)
6  PUNCH IT MARGARET         (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by ACCELERATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
PEN-5   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT Jul24 Jun25 Jun08 May22 May07 (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 123 6.00    
2  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May04 Mar27 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jul11 Jun26 May30 May02 Mar21 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00    
4  CAPTAIN CARDO Aug02 Jun02 May09 Apr07 Mar02 (geralis e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  HE IS BAD Jun27 May23 May08 Mar13 Mar01 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 2.50    
6  TROPHY ROOM Jul24 Jun24 Jun01 May22 Apr16 (tapsas ilias)RUIZ ELISEO 125 3.00    
7  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jul24 Jul04 Jun11 May29 May02 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE JAY Jul19 Jun26 May31 May11 Mar20 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  CALLIN MY NAME Jul24 Jun19 May24 May03 Apr09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  ICONIC LEGACY Jul02 May18 Apr10 Feb21 Nov14 (lake a)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00    
4  GAGETOWN Jul24 Jun20 May24 May15 May02 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 10.00 15% 5.60    
5  PORTAL ONE Jun27 May31 May04 Mar21 Feb29 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50    
6  MR PHIL Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 May24 (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 121 8.00    
7  YES IT'S ROO Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 May24 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCKA MOON Aug02 Jun13 May04 Mar15 Dec06 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
2  GOING AT IT Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (wolfe jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
3  SPORTING THE GOLD Jul25 Jul10 Jun04 May23 May02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  NAVY RULES Jul15 Jul01 Aug23 Jul12 Jun14 (lake a)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
5  FREEDOM'S START Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 May22 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  EMPTY MY POUCH Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Jun18 May23 (albright r)CORA D 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.