Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-4   EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-1 $21.20 $9.20 77%
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-1-3 $73.00 $61.00 508%
PID-5   WIN (9/5/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $12.60 $2.60 26%
PID-7   SFT (8/7/4)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00  7-8-2-4 $60.40 $24.40 68%
PID-8   WIN (2/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $18.80 $10.80 135%
    EXA (2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-2 $78.60 $54.60 228%
    DD (8/7/4)-(2/4/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-4 $95.00 $71.00 296%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRINNING 4 2 21 21½ 2nk 11½ 15 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 0.40  
  (by BERNARDINI out of TICKLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  MAHJONG GIRL 5 5 11 11½ 1nk 21½ 25 (wismer s)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5% 19.00 30.10 P
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  LITTLE MISS MUNNY 3 6 67½ 66 42½ 44 37½ (miller henry)AYALA J 120 3.50 26% 2.90 4.40 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
6  BIANCA 6 3 34 34½ 31 34 49¼ (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 4.00 13.00  
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
2  BANANA PUDDING 2 4 56½ 55 53 56½ 513 (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 26% 2.90 5.70  
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
1  BLAME THE WARRIOR 1 1 46 45 64 66¾ 614½ (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50 13.70  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEFROCK by BLAME)
 
PID-2   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:124 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED PIXIE 3 4 42½ 31½ 31 11½ 14 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 2.50 67% 0.50 0.60 W
2  BOURBON BLAST 2 2 52½ 62¾ 53¾ 31½ 24 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 124 5.00 7.00  
4  LET'S BE HONEST 4 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 21½ 34¼ (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.00 ★ 11.60 S
8  PRETTY FLATTERING 7 7 74 74¼ 43½ 53¾ 410¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 32.30  
7  SEIVER 6 6 63 51¾ 74¾ 65¾ 517¾ (barron rory)LOPEZ DERECK 115 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
5  SHORESY 5 5 32 41¾ 64¾ 76¼ 619½ (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00 33.80  
1  SONET'S NAME 1 3 1½ 2nk 2nk 43½ 721¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 10% 9.40 2.30  
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT               (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:254 :51 1:15 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PATH TO VICTORY 5 4 54½ 43½ 42½ 1nk 13½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 9.30  
1  VANILLA BEAN 1 1 32 32 31 2nk 23½ (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50 29% 2.50 2.00 P
5  SHE HAD A SECRET 4 2 1½ 11½ 11 3½ 35¼ (roberson don)ALLEN D 122 6.00 15% 5.50 6.50 S
2  NATURE TRAIL 2 5 44 54 55 54 45¼ (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.20  
3  LAST GLIMMER 3 3 2½ 21½ 21 42½ 512 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 1.90  
SCR  DREAMFUL               (martin w)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80    
 
PID-4   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:113 1:364   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNCLE KENNY 6 1 35 45½ 2nk 1½ 13½ (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 50% 1.00 1.30 W
1  TAP THE SKY 1 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 23½ (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 17% 4.80 3.20 P
3  CAMILO 3 3 59 58 42¾ 42½ 34 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 8% 11.40 7.60 S
5  JOHN DUTTON 5 6 47 35½ 3.2 32 46¼ (davis ch)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 3.40  
2  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 2 5 69½ 68¼ 53¼ 54½ 57¾ (ruberto v)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 16.10  
4  TIZ LUCKY 4 4 1½ 2½ 65¼ 69½ 618¾ (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 8.00 5.60  
SCR  TRIPLE START               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MILLE DREAMS (FR) 9 6 77½ 66 51¼ 4¼ 11 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 38% 1.60 5.30 W
10  READY SHE IS 10 10 1015½ 1017½ 95¼ 5½ 21 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 6.10  
6  ORPHAN EXCHANGE 6 2 43½ 33½ 3½ 3.2 32 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.40 S
5  AMPLIO ESQUEMA 5 7 65½ 44 4¾ 2nk 42 (valdez m)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.20 2.80  
2  CARMEL SUNRISE 2 5 912½ 913½ 106¾ 92 52½ (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 8% 11.70 13.80  
3  LADY FREE WILL 3 8 54½ 76½ 72¾ 61½ 66¼ (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 3.40  
4  JULIETTE FALLS 4 4 22½ 22 1nk 1nk 76½ (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 13% 6.80 7.30  
7  SUSIE'S SAVER 7 9 87½ 87½ 84¼ 105 88 (amaya joan)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00 31.30  
1  QUEEN OF HEARTS 1 1 33 55½ 62¾ 71½ 98½ (fennessy john)WALKER M 118 12.00 12.10  
8  SIGN AND SEAL 8 3 12½ 12 2nk 82 108¾ (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00 11.60  
 
PID-6   08/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HECTOR 2 5 32½ 32   42 1½ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.80 1.20  
8  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 8 2 11½ 11½   11½ 2½ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.60 P
1  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 1 8 87½ 74½   63¼ 3¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00 9% 9.50 4.70 S
5  TONY SMALL 5 3 65 85   53 41¼ (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 6.00 13.10  
7  COLONEL POPPY 7 6 54½ 43½   31½ 51¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.50 13% 6.80 7.60  
3  CITY TRIPPER 3 4 21½ 21½   21½ 64¾ (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
6  MIDNIGHT AMBITION 6 7 76½ 64½   75¼ 76¼ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 18.70  
4  DON ANTONIO 4 1 42½ 54   87¼ 810¾ (monserra)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00 62.70  
 
PID-7   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLEUR DELACOUR 6 1 1½ 1½   11½ 12¾ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 34% 1.90 0.90 W
8  CLOUD IN THE WIND 7 2 2½ 2½   21½ 22¾ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 39% 1.60 2.40 P
2  UP FOR IT 2 3 31½ 32   32 33¼ (matz mic)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 ★ 3.90 S
4  I'M HEADING EAST 4 5 73¾ 53   43½ 45 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
6  INSCRUTABLE 5 6 62¾ 63½   66 59¼ (connelly tere)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 30.60  
1  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE 1 7 41½ 42   55 69¾ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00 20.10  
3  PENNY POLKA 3 4 51¾ 73¾   78 711½ (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 15.00 29.00  
SCR  MODAROSA               (mott ril)GALLARDO A 118 1.60    
 
PID-8   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:121 1:373   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEDUCTIVE (IRE) 4 5 54 53½ 33 33 11 (blackhurst )SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 6% 15.00 8.40 W
2  PROTECTTHEWITNESS 2 3 11½ 11½ 11 11½ 21 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 2.50 62% 0.60 1.20 P
1  LA PANDA 1 4 32 32 21 21½ 31 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 1.40  
5  ALL BIZZ 5 7 811 87½ 77 57 49½ (dixon k)WALKER M 122 15.00 23.30  
6  WILD LOOKER 6 1 43 42½ 55 47 511¼ (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
9  TIZ PROMISING RVF 7 8 77 74½ 66 710½ 616 (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 6% 15.10 52.90  
10  LIGHTNING ROUND 8 6 64 63½ 87¼ 810¾ 716¼ (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00 36.50  
3  SCOOP THERE IT IS 3 2 21½ 21½ 45 68½ 818 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 7.10  
SCR  ALL ABOUT KATHERN               (antus lawrence)BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
SCR  SWITCHRATTLENROLL               (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.