Handicappers' Racing Form

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-2   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-4   Win (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-5   Win (9/5/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PID-6   Win (8/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PID-7   Win (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-8   Win (2/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PID-1   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME THE WARRIOR Jul15 Jul04       (judd cassandra)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50    
BANANA PUDDING Jun23         (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
LITTLE MISS MUNNY Jul24 Jul15 Jun18 May29 Apr20 (miller d)AYALA J 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
GRINNING Nov25 Oct15       (mott riley)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
MAHJONG GIRL Jul24 Jul10 Mar13 Nov19   (wismer s)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIANCA Jul24 Jun26       (connelly teresa)WALKER M 120 4.00    
 
PID-2   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONET'S NAME Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 Feb23 Feb07 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
BOURBON BLAST Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 Aug30 (stokes lan)RODRIGUEZ O 124 5.00    
RED PIXIE Aug05 Jul04 Jun25 Jun04 Dec02 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
LET'S BE HONEST Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Apr13 (musarro joseph)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 4.00    
SHORESY Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May16 (bowersock maria)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT May22 Oct25 Oct02 Sep05 Aug21 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
SEIVER Jul28 Jun26 Apr12 Mar30 Mar09 (barron rory)LOPEZ DERECK 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY FLATTERING Jun17 May28 Mar09 Jan17 Dec29 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANILLA BEAN Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 Nov19 Oct19 (rogers micha)AYALA J 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
NATURE TRAIL Jul08 Jun06 May15 Oct17 Oct04 (judd cassandra)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
LAST GLIMMER Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
SCR  DREAMFUL Jun03 Mar03 Oct17 Sep18 Aug10 (martin wil)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80    
SHE HAD A SECRET Jul09 Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 Oct02 (roberson don)ALLEN D 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
PATH TO VICTORY Jul23 Jul04 Jun04 May29 Oct12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
 
PID-4   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE SKY Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 Apr24 (connelly t)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 May28 Apr13 (ruberto v)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
CAMILO Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 Feb02 Jan06 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 8% 11.40    
TIZ LUCKY Jul16 Jul04 Jun12 May20 Nov14 (bourke john)AYALA J 122 8.00    
JOHN DUTTON Jul03 May31 Apr19 Mar06 Feb22 (davis chri)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00    
SCR  TRIPLE START Jun15 Jun01 Apr27 Sep09 Aug05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
UNCLE KENNY Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 May28 Feb02 (potts ron )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
PID-5   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF HEARTS Jun24 May18 Apr26 Apr14 Mar29 (fennessy john)WALKER M 118 12.00    
CARMEL SUNRISE Jul08 Jun18 Feb11 Jan20 Nov04 (valdez moises)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 20.00 8% 11.70    
LADY FREE WILL Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 May16 Apr12 (bernardin)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00    
JULIETTE FALLS Jul10 Jun11 May22 Sep19 Aug30 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
AMPLIO ESQUEMA Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 Apr13 Mar16 (valdez moi)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
ORPHAN EXCHANGE Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 Oct24 (russell randall)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUSIE'S SAVER Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 Apr27 (amaya joan)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
SIGN AND SEAL Jul29 Feb24 Feb09 Dec29 Oct10 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00    
MILLE DREAMS (FR) Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Apr12 Mar02 (kintz ma)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
10  READY SHE IS Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 Sep26 (cheeks kat)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PID-6   08/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jul31 Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 May29 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00 9% 9.50    
HECTOR Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 May20 May04 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.80    
CITY TRIPPER Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 Oct18 (barron rory)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DON ANTONIO Jul01 Jun17 May27 Aug22 Jul24 (monserrate marisa)ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
TONY SMALL Jul23 Jun24 Jun12 May29 May21 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 6.00    
MIDNIGHT AMBITION Jul31 Jul23 Jun16 May26 Apr30 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
COLONEL POPPY Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 May20 Oct26 (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Jul31 Jul02 Oct23 Sep28 Sep20 (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
PID-7   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Jul30 Jun11 May27 Apr16 Mar27 (pappada michael)WALKER M 122 12.00    
UP FOR IT Jul18 Jun12 May18 Jan19 Dec21 (matz micha)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
PENNY POLKA Jul30 Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 Aug16 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 15.00    
I'M HEADING EAST Jul24 Jun11 May21 Oct11 Oct04 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MODAROSA Jun17 May18 Nov02     (mott riley)GALLARDO A 118 1.60    
INSCRUTABLE Jul22 Jul15 Jun28 Jun15 May19 (connelly teresa)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
FLEUR DELACOUR Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 Dec20 (rice kevin)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
CLOUD IN THE WIND Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
PID-8   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PANDA Jul27 Oct10 Oct03 Sep06 Aug28 (cooper tho)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00    
PROTECTTHEWITNESS Jul10 May28 Oct25 Sep26 Sep06 (rojas e)LOPEZ DERECK 115 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCOOP THERE IT IS Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 Mar25 Mar07 (pappada m)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50    
SEDUCTIVE (IRE) Jun16 Sep06 Aug01 Jul19 Jun21 (blackhurst rand)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 6.00 6% 15.00    
ALL BIZZ Jul02 Jun12 Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 (dixon k)CAMILO D 122 15.00    
WILD LOOKER Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May21 (kleine l)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Jul30 Jul10 Feb21 Jan22 Aug10 (antus lawrence)BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
SCR  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jul30 Jul17 Jun17 May29 Mar14 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
TIZ PROMISING RVF Jun25 Jun10 May28 Oct16 Oct04 (valdez moi)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
10  LIGHTNING ROUND Jul30 Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.