Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/1/7)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(1/2/5)-(7/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(7/1/3)-(9/5/4/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(9/5/4/2/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(9/5/4/2/6)-(8/7/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-5   WIN (9/5/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/2/6)-(9/5/4/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/2/6)-(9/5/4/2/6)-(9/5/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/4/2/6)-(8/7/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/2/6)-(8/7/1/3)-(8/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/4)-(2/4/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/4)-(2/4/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME THE WARRIOR Jul15 Jul04       (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEFROCK by BLAME)
2  BANANA PUDDING Jun23         (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
3  LITTLE MISS MUNNY Jul24 Jul15 Jun18 May29 Apr20 (miller henry)AYALA J 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
4  GRINNING Nov25 Oct15       (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TICKLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  MAHJONG GIRL Jul24 Jul10 Mar13 Nov19   (wismer s)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  BIANCA Jul24 Jun26       (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 4.00    
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
 
PID-2   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONET'S NAME Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 Feb23 Feb07 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  BOURBON BLAST Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 Aug30 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 124 5.00    
3  RED PIXIE Aug05 Jul04 Jun25 Jun04 Dec02 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
4  LET'S BE HONEST Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Apr13 (musarro josep)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 4.00 ★    
5  SHORESY Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May16 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT May22 Oct25 Oct02 Sep05 Aug21 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
7  SEIVER Jul28 Jun26 Apr12 Mar30 Mar09 (barron rory)LOPEZ DERECK 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRETTY FLATTERING Jun17 May28 Mar09 Jan17 Dec29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANILLA BEAN Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 Nov19 Oct19 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  NATURE TRAIL Jul08 Jun06 May15 Oct17 Oct04 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  LAST GLIMMER Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
SCR  DREAMFUL Jun03 Mar03 Oct17 Sep18 Aug10 (martin w)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80    
5  SHE HAD A SECRET Jul09 Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 Oct02 (roberson don)ALLEN D 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  PATH TO VICTORY Jul23 Jul04 Jun04 May29 Oct12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
 
PID-4   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE SKY Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 Apr24 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 May28 Apr13 (ruberto v)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
3  CAMILO Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 Feb02 Jan06 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 8% 11.40    
4  TIZ LUCKY Jul16 Jul04 Jun12 May20 Nov14 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 8.00    
5  JOHN DUTTON Jul03 May31 Apr19 Mar06 Feb22 (davis ch)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00    
SCR  TRIPLE START Jun15 Jun01 Apr27 Sep09 Aug05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
7  UNCLE KENNY Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 May28 Feb02 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
PID-5   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF HEARTS Jun24 May18 Apr26 Apr14 Mar29 (fennessy john)WALKER M 118 12.00    
2  CARMEL SUNRISE Jul08 Jun18 Feb11 Jan20 Nov04 (valdez moises)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 20.00 8% 11.70    
3  LADY FREE WILL Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 May16 Apr12 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00    
4  JULIETTE FALLS Jul10 Jun11 May22 Sep19 Aug30 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 Apr13 Mar16 (valdez m)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 Oct24 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUSIE'S SAVER Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 Apr27 (amaya joan)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
8  SIGN AND SEAL Jul29 Feb24 Feb09 Dec29 Oct10 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00    
9  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Apr12 Mar02 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
10  READY SHE IS Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 Sep26 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
 
PID-6   08/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jul31 Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 May29 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00 9% 9.50    
2  HECTOR Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 May20 May04 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.80    
3  CITY TRIPPER Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 Oct18 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DON ANTONIO Jul01 Jun17 May27 Aug22 Jul24 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
5  TONY SMALL Jul23 Jun24 Jun12 May29 May21 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 6.00    
6  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Jul31 Jul23 Jun16 May26 Apr30 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
7  COLONEL POPPY Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 May20 Oct26 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
8  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Jul31 Jul02 Oct23 Sep28 Sep20 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
PID-7   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Jul30 Jun11 May27 Apr16 Mar27 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
2  UP FOR IT Jul18 Jun12 May18 Jan19 Dec21 (matz mic)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
3  PENNY POLKA Jul30 Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 Aug16 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 15.00    
4  I'M HEADING EAST Jul24 Jun11 May21 Oct11 Oct04 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MODAROSA Jun17 May18 Nov02     (mott ril)GALLARDO A 118 1.60    
6  INSCRUTABLE Jul22 Jul15 Jun28 Jun15 May19 (connelly tere)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
7  FLEUR DELACOUR Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 Dec20 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
8  CLOUD IN THE WIND Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
PID-8   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PANDA Jul27 Oct10 Oct03 Sep06 Aug28 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00    
2  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Jul10 May28 Oct25 Sep26 Sep06 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 2.50 62% 0.60    
3  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 Mar25 Mar07 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50    
4  SEDUCTIVE (IRE) Jun16 Sep06 Aug01 Jul19 Jun21 (blackhurst ra)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 6.00 6% 15.00    
5  ALL BIZZ Jul02 Jun12 Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 (dixon linda)CAMILO D 122 15.00    
6  WILD LOOKER Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May21 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Jul30 Jul10 Feb21 Jan22 Aug10 (antus lawrence)BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
SCR  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jul30 Jul17 Jun17 May29 Mar14 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
9  TIZ PROMISING RVF Jun25 Jun10 May28 Oct16 Oct04 (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
10  LIGHTNING ROUND Jul30 Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.