Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $8.42 $2.42 40%
CD-3   WIN (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.34 $4.34 54%
    EXA (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-3 $85.78 $61.78 257%
CD-6   EXA (5/8/9/4)-(5/8/9/4/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-8 $35.14 $3.14 10%
CD-8   WIN (4/11/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $29.44 $21.44 268%
    DD (5/3/8/4)-(4/11/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-8 $80.83 $64.83 405%
    PK3 (5/8/9/4)-(5/3/8/4)-(4/11/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  5-8-8 $110.63 $78.63 246%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GERLIN'S EMPIRE 7 6 62½ 42½   31½ 1¼ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30 3.21 W
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FRENCH PRESS by CURLIN)
1  ITWILLBEFUN 1 8 41½ 31   2½ 2¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 2.94  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
4  WISCONSIN GAL 3 4 1½ 11   1½ 3¾ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 4.00 28% 2.60 4.78 S
  (by ARMY MULE out of DREAM SEQUENCE by SMILE)
7  GOOD TEMPER 6 7 94¼ 86¾   67 46¼ (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5.47  
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL WALL by BLAME)
2  EZ TREE ATES 2 9 84 55   56 56½ (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 ★ 4.53  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of IRISH JASPER by FIRST DEFENCE)
5  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW 4 3 2½ 21   44½ 611 (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.27  
  (by AUDIBLE out of SUNDAY DRIVER by QUALITY ROAD)
10  MACLEAN'S LULLABY 9 1 31 65¼   711 722 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 119 3.00 ★ 14.82  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  MY CHERRY PIE 8 5 73 76¼   814 833 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 31.68  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TABLE JUMPER by JUMP START)
6  TECTONIC 5 2 52½ 99¼   917½ 940 (wojczynski justin)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 12.80  
  (by MO TOWN out of EURASIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MY BOSSY LADY               (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AFSANEH by SCAT DADDY)
 
CD-2   09/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:134 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 1 5 63 63¼ 63½ 52 12¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 ★ 1.43  
7  CHA CHA CHUKKA 7 4 42 52¼ 32 3½ 22¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 18.50 10.55 P
6  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 6 2 21 21 2½ 2½ 34½ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 2.46  
5  SACRED SAINT 5 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 44¾ (scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 49.28  
2  WITS AND WAGERS 2 6 52½ 42 52½ 63 54¾ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 9.49  
3  EAST SHORE 3 3 31½ 31 42 41 67½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.00 64% 0.60 2.99  
4  STERLING LUCK 4 7 73½ 73¾ 75 79½ 718¾ (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.75  
 
CD-3   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME AARON 1 7 51¾ 51¾   2½ 12 (green tro)TORRES A 121 8.00 7% 13.60 5.17 W
3  NABOKOV 3 3 2½ 3.2   1½ 22 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 6% 14.50 9.73 P
5  PRINCIP 5 5 74¼ 63¼   43 34¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 14.86  
8  G T FIVE HUNDRED 8 1 4¾ 41¾   63½ 49 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 21.53  
6  ZOOMBIE 6 8 84¾ 73¾   75½ 511½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 3.85  
2  FIT TO FLY 2 6 1½ 1nk   53 612¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 4.98  
7  I GOT NO MUNNY 7 4 62¾ 84¾   86½ 719¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 63% 0.60 1.43  
4  GLOBAL STAGE 4 2 3½ 2nk   32½ 820¾ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 14.27  
 
CD-4   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PERFECT MAGIC 6 2 2nk 1nk   12 12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 10.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YOU ASKED by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  TROUBLESHOOTING 1 1 1nk 2nk   22 22 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 48% 1.10 5.37 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  KRAKEN 2 8 811 810¼   57 32¾ (orseno joseph )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.64 S
  (by JUSTIFY out of INTENTONSEDUCTION by STREET SENSE)
5  ZAT'S THE ONE 4 3 41½ 41½   32½ 43¾ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.79  
  (by MCKINZIE out of HOLDERS SEASON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  SPICED UP 8 6 31 31   43½ 55¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 3.69  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CARDAMON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  RIDDLER 3 5 66 67½   68 67¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 2.87  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PROUD INDIAN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  SAVING HEART 5 7 710 710   810½ 79¼ (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 4.65  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SPRINGSIDE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  GOLDEN GOAL 7 4 54 55   78½ 811¾ (demeritte)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00 5% 19.00 50.27  
  (by GAME WINNER out of KAT ZIPPITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  PRETTY CAPABLE               (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of LOVE ON THE RUN by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CD-5   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ARTHUR 7 2 32½ 32   21 11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00 2.99  
4  LEND IT TEWMEY 4 3 1nk 1½   11 21 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.50 7% 13.40 8.38 P
3  TAP THE CANDY 3 8 54½ 54   44 34¼ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 8.18  
2  REWIRE 2 5 43½ 43½   54½ 46¼ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 8% 12.30 3.27  
5  HASKELLED 5 9 66 65   65½ 57 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 64% 0.60 4.10  
8  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 8 1 2nk 2½   33½ 68 (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 5.00 ★ 4.85  
1  REDHILL 1 6 911¼ 912½   79 710¼ (pittman b)BEALMEAR C 114 30.00 17.92  
6  EL MIC TIESUN 6 4 88¾ 810½   911 812¾ (mcgoey monica)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00 53.18  
9  MERLOTTI 9 7 76¼ 76   89 912¾ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.37  
 
CD-6   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOOK'EM 5 2 1½ 11   14 14½ (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 28% 2.60 0.76 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of FLUMMOXED by OUTWORK)
8  FLASH WEAR 8 1 42 32   24 24½ (vance tho)TORRES A 119 4.00 23% 3.40 17.17 P
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of NOTHING TO WEAR by MALIBU MOON)
10  KEYANA 10 7 31½ 21   35 39¼ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 3.22  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HONORABLE MEMORY by HONOR CODE)
1  DARK THIRTY (IRE) 1 10 85½ 77½   58½ 412¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 18.68  
  (by OUTWORK out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
6  SPLIT SUCCESS 6 11 107½ 99   711 513¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 24.12  
  (by DIVISIDERO out of ANNIE AND CAROLINE by VERRAZANO)
2  HER HOLY NAME 2 8 53½ 55½   48½ 614 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.50 ★ 9.15  
  (by KANTHAROS out of I'LL TAKE THAT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  GLOBAL QUEEN 3 9 96 88½   812 716 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 74.35  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
4  TEGWAR 4 6 64 67½   912½ 818¼ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 40.99  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of MARQUEE CAL GAL by COWBOY CAL)
9  VERY COSMOPOLITAN 9 3 2½ 43½   610½ 920 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 23% 3.40 8.95  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of T'AS D'BEAUX YEUX by DESERT PARTY)
7  BOUJI IS A WORD 7 5 117½ 1115½   1019½ 1032½ (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00 70.74  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SILVER THREADS by UNION RAGS)
11  LOCAL ELECTION 11 4 74½ 1011½   1120½ 1135¼ (brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 77.07  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SWEETIE DARLING by BERNARDINI)
 
CD-7   09/26/2024 6600ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:382   2:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SAN SIRO 8 2nk 41½ 41½ 11 12½ 12¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 10% 8.60 2.93 W
6  NATIVE SHAMAN 6 61¾ 62½ 73 51¼ 22½ 22¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.01  
5  WINSTON WOLF 5 4¾ 51½ 52 73 55 34¼ (amoss tho)TORRES A 122 3.00 31% 2.30 3.38 S
2  HARLEEZY 2 72¼ 73 62½ 62¾ 76 47 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 20.79  
1  GORILLA TREK 1 51¾ 31 31 31 34 57 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 17.27  
3  FIRST PLAYER 3 3½ 1½ 1½ 21 45 69 (mcgee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.52  
4  MANDATORY MEETING 4 1nk 2½ 2½ 41¼ 65½ 711 (blair jordan)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 17.42  
7  DAILY GRIND 7 83¼ 83¼ 83½ 85½ 811 835¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 4.33  
 
CD-8   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FORGE IN FIRE 7 3 1½ 3½ 12 14½ 12 (bahena ism)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.72 W
2  CAT ON TIME 2 6 83¾ 94¾ 65½ 24½ 22 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 12.00 5.15  
7  SAGITTARIUS 6 8 42 52 44½ 35 36½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 5% 18.50 7.48 S
11  GOD OF WINE 9 5 31 41½ 33 46 48¼ (roberson d)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 27% 2.70 6.41  
6  MO RHODES 5 9 73¼ 72¾ 76 57 58½ (amoss m)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 ★ 2.31  
1  PATCH O'BRIEN 1 4 93¾ 83¾ 86 78½ 610 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00 7.19  
9  CRUSADING 8 7 52 62½ 55 68 710½ (brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 30.33  
4  MR MCGREGOR 3 1 62¼ 1nk 22 89 819½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 46% 1.20 4.27  
5  TWIRLING TROILLET 4 2 2½ 2nk 98 914 921¾ (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 10.94  
SCR  ANDY'S CANDY               (gibson de)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (reed r)TORRES A 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.